January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, BLI snowman said:

Lower sun angles to cancel out the difference. 

So much cancelling!

[TT-SEA]

High temps on Monday with lots of sun and just some high clouds.

[LowerGarfield]

I'd even be okay if the Canadian verified.

[Perturbed Member]

Even with things being so suppressed, there will be more surprise sources of precip as we get closer. Some of those surface lows for Feb 2014 didn't show up on the models until very short range. Getting that deep cold air in place is much more important than finding moisture. 

It looked pretty much over for the Willamette valley yesterday, but it looks like they could be back in the running now.

[Timmy]

4 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Clark County putting a target on its back.

 

Don’t forget about Columbia! I will walk across the river to your back yard!

Edited January 9 by Timmy

[iFred]

Just now, RentonHill said:

but no super bowl parade  

Probably wont see one of those again. It'll be cool to see the San Antonio Hawks do theirs after the team moves in a couple years.

[TT-SEA]

Sunday and Monday would be stunningly beautiful days in the Portland area with significant snow on the ground... sunshine... and temps below freezing.  

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

And how far.

If you average out all the runs the area a little north of Portland looks like the center of deepest snow.

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, SeanNyberg said:

Why does it have to?

It will some, but maybe not as much as people think.

[BLI snowman]

Just now, Timmy said:

Don’t forget about Columbia! I will walk across the river to your back yard!

Our Oregon microclimate brethren. Closer by air than by car. 

[TT-SEA]

Projected snow depth shown one week from this morning.  

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

4 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

It will have to be eventually trend south. The only question is will it do it in one big jump or slowly?

Or it doesn't, because it is right. 

[Front Ranger]

Euro continues to kick the cold 850s out of the region much faster than CMC in the mid range. But would still be pretty chilly at the surface.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

1 minute ago, Perturbed Member said:

Even with things being so suppressed, there will be more surprise sources of precip as we get closer. Some of those surface lows for Feb 2014 didn't show up on the models until very short range. Getting that deep cold air in place is much more important than finding moisture. 

It looked pretty much over for the Willamette valley yesterday, but it looks like they could be back in the running now.

I remember even a day out the models had moisture focused well south. Moisture even made its way further north on the final forecast.

[TT-SEA]

ECMWF shows almost no clouds from Sunday through Tuesday.  

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Just now, Front Ranger said:

Euro continues to kick the cold 850s out of the region much faster than CMC in the mid range. But would still be pretty chilly at the surface.

Yep i doubt Bellingham would be 39 on Monday. It does this every single time. Warms things up far to fast.

[Mid Valley Duck]

Absolutely gorgeous track and landfall for the Willamette Valley. I'd take my chances at my location with this track and landfall location.
 

[hawkstwelve]

Euro shows 10 inches here over the next five days while the GFS/CMC show 1-2 inches or less.

Someone tell me the Euro will be right. Someone tell me the GFS is off it's rocker. Someone tell me the Euro will be King once again.

[iFred]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

ECMWF shows almost no clouds from Sunday through Tuesday.  

Should be great for keeping the roads above freezing out here.

[TacomaWx]

Western Washington folks losing their minds right now relax it’ll be fine! 

[Phishy Wx]

friend is asking for generator recs cause its going to be -2 in Memphis TN next week according to him. lol

 

 

[iFred]

Just now, Phishy Wx said:

friend is asking for generator recs cause its going to be -2 in Memphis TN next week according to him. lol

 

 

More likely than three inches of snow lasting three days in Seattle.

[Mid Valley Duck]

7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

My call is moisture makes it to Everett with that system.

Something has to give between the two but you need the Euro to be off by 150 miles

[Tyler Mode]

Just some minor differences Euro-GFS you know, 20-30 degrees...lol

[Phishy Wx]

Just now, TacomaWx said:

Western Washington folks losing their minds right now relax it’ll be fine! 

the weenie is strong in here

[TT-SEA]

High temps on Tuesday.   Go Portland!  

[snow_wizard]

Just think if the GFS and ECMWF compromise.  It would be amazing for many.

[DC1]

Gsf has been leading the way on this event I think other models will at some point meet somewhere with it. 

[MossMan]

12 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

February 2014 lite?

I just puked in my mouth…A lot…

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, Mid Valley Duck said:

Something has to give between the two but you need the Euro to be off by 150 miles

Just going by past experience.

[Cold Snap]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

Just think if the GFS and ECMWF compromise.  It would be amazing for many.

Thats usually what I feel like ends up happening with these things but who knows.

[Doinko]

10 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Lower sun angles to cancel out the difference. 

What are your thoughts on this?

[TacomaWx]

Just now, Mid Valley Duck said:

Something has to give between the two but you need the Euro to be off by 150 miles

What Jim means is that precipitation fields usually extend further north. Like the precipitation swath would cover a much larger area on the northern extent. Not necessarily that the low will be north itself. 

[Doinko]

In the short range hoping to see some heavy snow tonight even if it doesn't stick, would be the first flakes of the season

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

I just puked in my mouth…A lot…

You’re getting at least six inches out this one way or another.

[TT-SEA]

Not seeing any signs of a Pacific jet by day 8.

[LowerGarfield]

NWS Spokane is probably relying too hard on the GFS. Shocked they are going against the Euro even with the GFS bias. I mean obviously I'd love that but the GFS is on it's own other than partially the CMC. 

[MossMan]

13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

High temps on Sunday with wall-to-wall sunshine across the entire region.

Just vomited again. 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

14 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Lots of Pepto for Tiger on the latest Euro.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Last time Gfs had that low coming in south was on the 5th.