January Weather In The PNW 2024 (Part III) - The Warming Shot

[Front Ranger]

17 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

5pm and still light out! Glorious!!

Not for long!!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Since the SE Willamette Valley is still below freezing with light N winds, I’m afraid this will not be a very fun event for any of y’all. It taking so long just to warm us up is not a good sign.

[Doinko]

1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Since the SE Willamette Valley is still below freezing with light N winds, I’m afraid this will not be a very fun event for any of y’all. It taking so long just to warm us up is not a good sign.

How much new ice have you had?

[Phishy Wx]

3 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Not moving north much yet

it's going to phase over Seattle with an upper level low coming down from BC

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

It looks like offshore flow is between surface and about 3k feet, that layer should cool and we might have sleet in Puget sound.  At 850mb the flow is from sw so it is warmer and saturated.  If the 850 flow was offshore we probably would have mostly snow.

[Lars43]

32 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

I can hear trees breaking in the distance and the power grid continues to get destroyed.

Historically bad ice storm.

It’s going to be bad. See they have lines down again on I5. Friends that work for EPUD said we are up a creek for awhile. 

[Willamette Weenie]

1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Since the SE Willamette Valley is still below freezing with light N winds, I’m afraid this will not be a very fun event for any of y’all. It taking so long just to warm us up is not a good sign.

Maybe if we all go outside and scream towards Cliff Mass in unison the collective air movement will push the cold away? 

[Slushy Inch]

Just now, Phishy Wx said:

it's going to phase over Seattle with an upper level low coming down from BC

I’m aware 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Roman-Dallas Snow-Zone said:

Freezing rain has switched to very fine sleet now and accumulating. Very strange. I see DP matches the temp 26f 

Interesting!

[KingstonWX]

Quite a few mPing members reporting snow or rain/snow mix in the puget sound area. Wishful thinking, or something happening? Nothing on radar. 

[Snowdome]

4 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Since the SE Willamette Valley is still below freezing with light N winds, I’m afraid this will not be a very fun event for any of y’all. It taking so long just to warm us up is not a good sign.

This reminds me of the Feb 2021 ZR event up here. Felt helpless waiting for the cold air to scour out while also waiting for linemen to finally save us. Sending good vibes your way. 

[Ziess]

I'm on the valley floor and my temp just spiked 1 degree to 28 under this heavy rain. Maybe the warm air is coming soon? 

[Lars43]

8 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Not sure, but looks like the south valley was forecasted to get .1 to .3" of freezing rain. I think a lot of people have already exceeded that.

I’m sure that in part is due to them forecasting our temp to rise above freezing by 4pm. We are still at 28. 

[Phishy Wx]

a little off topic but dang

 

 

 

[snow_wizard]

8 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Since the SE Willamette Valley is still below freezing with light N winds, I’m afraid this will not be a very fun event for any of y’all. It taking so long just to warm us up is not a good sign.

You finally got your sub freezing high temps.

[SunAndSnow]

43 minutes ago, MilwaukieOpal said:

It’s definitely coming down. Got some good icicles going.

Hello from Oak Grove, neighbors!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

You finally got your sub freezing high temps.

Be careful what you wish for!

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Now down to 31.1˚F here. Feels mild compared to how it was a few days ago.

[MossMan]

Currently 29.8 with a DP of 24

[OysterPrintout]

Perhaps I didn't look closely enough due to post snow model fatigue (please see your doctor if your PSMF lasts more than 3 days) but seems like precip looks to be a little shorter lived than forecasted here. Would be nice. Stronger echoes on the tail end right now just north of Salem.

[Perturbed Member]

After such a warm December, it's nice to see how cold the entire country is today. 

[snow_wizard]

5 minutes ago, KingstonWX said:

Quite a few mPing members reporting snow or rain/snow mix in the puget sound area. Wishful thinking, or something happening? Nothing on radar. 

There could be snow for a little while before changing to ZR.  There are so many variables in play the models have no way to be perfectly accurate.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

18 minutes ago, Requiem said:

As usual it seems as though the cold air is more entrenched than models anticipated 

 

17 minutes ago, Roman-Dallas Snow-Zone said:

Freezing rain has switched to very fine sleet now and accumulating. Very strange. I see DP matches the temp 26f 

The snow covered Columbia Basin Cold Pool is going to continue to supply cold air to us via the east winds. They are not going to give up without a fight. They are going to fight the southerlies to the bitter end!

[KingstonWX]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

There could be snow for a little while before changing to ZR.  There are so many variables in play the models have no way to be perfectly accurate.

Well yes, but I would assume it would show on radar. The precip appears to be nowhere near the sound right now. 

[CliffMassYelledAtMe]

The lower 48, yes. Although I think Hawaii was also a little cooler than normal last I checked. Thinking AK had to be warmer though since we have their cold.

[The Winter Warlock]

Just now, KingstonWX said:

Well yes, but I would assume it would show on radar. The precip appears to be nowhere near the sound right now. 

Precip is moving into Tacoma already.

 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Just got home, only had a high of 33 today after a low of 15. Currently 31

 Much colder today than I thought it would be.

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, Perturbed Member said:

After such a warm December, it's nice to see how cold the entire country is today. 

Quite pretty.  A week from now the NE quarter of the country is supposed to be in an epic torch.  Thankfully it appears we might avoid that.  Good chance we will see another round of near nationwide cold in February some time.

[ajreich]

We’re stuck at 22.5 for the last 2 hours. Gonna get dicey. 

[FroYoBro]

It is just pouring rain on this backend of the band. Everything already has a pretty decent layer of ice on it. 

 

Once the precipitation passes, it might be a chance for valley locations to start to warmup. 

[Meatyorologist]

Dry air allowing some snow from these first few sacrificial bands to reach the ground. Work is going straight into sublimation instead of melting. Should last briefly before the column saturates and we transition to freezing rain.

[TacomaWx]

I think people reporting those precip types are mistaking snow for sleet. Definitely nicer to see sleet if we do get any though. Nothing falling here yet. 

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Just got home, only had a high of 33 today after a low of 15. Currently 31

 Much colder today than I thought it would be.

I'm unhappy with my numbers today.  We just couldn't decouple last night. 38/26.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Be careful what you wish for!

I would trade that ice storm with him anytime.  I love hard core destructive weather events. I don't want anyone Hurt but I love that stuff.  Really miss the wind storms we used to get.

[TacomaWx]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

I'm unhappy with my numbers today.  We just couldn't decouple last night. 38/26.

East wind? 35/18 here today. Way colder here…we had no wind at all last night. Yesterday was 37/21. 

[KingstonWX]

4 minutes ago, The Winter Warlock said:

Precip is moving into Tacoma already.

 

I'm an idiot and was looking at the coastal radar. My bad. 

[snow_wizard]

I think the ECMWF might be up to it's old tricks of overdoing precip for this area tonight.  It has precip going through the entire night.  Sure don't see how the way this is playing out so far.

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

East wind? 35/18 here today. Way colder here…we had no wind at all last night. Yesterday was 37/21. 

You did very well today.

Yes...the east wind was not my friend last night.  North Bend on the other hand has such a direct feed form the pass that they were pretty darn cold.

[Ziess]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

I think the ECMWF might be up to it's old tricks of overdoing precip for this area tonight.  It has precip going through the entire night.  Sure don't see how the way this is playing out so far.

Wondering the same, radar doesn't show anything out there after this band. 

[Cold Snap]

Looks like a 35/18 day for me today. Nice to get into the teens for five straight days. 33 here right now.