February 2024 Weather in the PNW

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

12z ECMWF was great, here's the 10:1 ratio map. Anyone got the kuchera? 

 

[Slushy Inch]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

 

Wow great euro run. Too bad about first trough pullback 

[Deweydog]

Lovely day!

[Slushy Inch]

1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

Lovely day!

Truly nice out!

[ShawniganLake]

11 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

The EURO straight up buries me. 

Also buries the California coast. . 2-3 feet for the Oregon coast too. 

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

3 and a half inches at salem, nice! And 104 inches at Mount hood, hhhhoooolllyyy shhhhhiit!! The snowpack might be above average soon!!

[Slushy Inch]

Seems like we it was never going to be possible to score on both troughs. When first trended better second trended worse. Now it’s reversed.

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Truly nice out!

Indeed! 

[ShawniganLake]

6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

 

160” in the mountains is pretty crazy.  

[Slushy Inch]

8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

 

Something weird is going on with this run. When I check 6 hr precip map it doesn’t match snow map.

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Something weird is going on with this run. When I check 6 hr precip map it doesn’t match snow map.

Lots of precip overall!  

 

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

12z ECMWF surface temperature loop and precip type loop. Precip type doesn't match well with snow maps, I would assume the precip type map is the one not working properly, but maybe it's the snow map.

[umadbro]

16 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

 

Pass

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

TIm can you post the ana front from the euro please

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I’m in the pepto. First trough will be fine above 1000’. 

[Doinko]

Snow in the 20s for the south/central Willamette Valley at the end of the run

[DeepFriedEgg]

8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I’m in the pepto. First trough will be fine above 1000’. 

And I was getting clowned on for saying 1000' yesterday.... 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I’m in the pepto. First trough will be fine above 1000’. 

16 inches here on the Kuchera! lol the 10.1 map must be almost 2 feet

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Just now, DeepFriedEgg said:

And I was getting clowned on for saying 1000' yesterday.... 

Snow levels will be lower in Washington. 1000 for Oregon looks good. 

[ShawniganLake]

23 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

12z ECMWF surface temperature loop and precip type loop. Precip type doesn't match well with snow maps, I would assume the precip type map is the one not working properly, but maybe it's the snow map.

Cold showery airmass with 42/34 type days in the lowlands. Snow maps end up looking pretty even though only sticking snow is likely during the heaviest showers or overnight precip. After a few days coverage and amounts end up looking pretty uniform across a wider area. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

47 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

The EURO straight up buries me. 

Same for me. Crazy.

[TT-SEA]

16 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

TIm can you post the ana front from the euro please

 

[Phishy Wx]

Cheer up Graupel season is right around the corner!!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

 

It's going to be a fun week of winter weather, many different possible outcomes.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

 

No good for me. Throw it out

[umadbro]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

It's going to be a fun week of winter weather, many different possible outcomes.

Lots and lots of cold rain below 1000’

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I’m encouraged by the trends today. 

[MossMan]

1 hour ago, Phil said:

I’m happy with my 13.5”. It’s below average, but 11” of that fell within a week and barely melted for 12 days. So it felt like much more (for reference, the 3 feet that fell in Jan  2016 was gone within a week).

Also, it’s probably more than you’ll get this winter.  

I’ll give you this token winter. I have had between 20 and 40” every winter for the last 7 or so straight…And we will be right back to it next winter!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

12 minutes ago, umadbro said:

Lots and lots of cold rain below 1000’

Especially down in your area.

[the_convergence_zone]

That mid-week atmospheric river looks like a jackpot, especially for the Cascades. It's rare to have a strong AR like that with the snow level remaining near 3,000 ft for the entire event (and then collapsing down to 1,000-1,500 ft in the postfrontal period later in the week). 3-6+ inches of SWE is a big deal in a bad snow year. 

Remains to be seen if something will spin up in the right spot in the cold sector at the end of next week. 

 

 

[MossMan]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

 

If that comes true I could beat out Phil for the seasonal total!! 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Can’t wait to see more eps maps!!!!

[Cascadia_Wx]

17 minutes ago, umadbro said:

Lots and lots of cold rain below 1000’

Good. Mountains need it 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

11 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Good. Mountains need it 

Thank you!! This is a massive blessing for the mountains.

[Hawksfan2008]

[Omegaraptor]

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

 

Everyone needs a vacation sometimes. Even El Nino.

[Phishy Wx]

probably the last chance at snow for the lowlands this year (if it even happens). we aren't even at our El Nino winter average (34") yet.  currently at 26" ish.  yearly average around 50".  La Nina usually 55-60"+

Probably going to be a bottom 20 winter, need to check but records go back to the 1880s

[DareDuck]

2 hours ago, Phil said:

That’s good! Beneath the friendly trolling, I’ve always meant it when I say I’m happy for anyone that sees snow. It’s a precious commodity these days. I wish you guys could read my mind so you’d see that I legitimately pull for you all every winter.

I’m just messing with Randy because he’s in the screw zone after trolling me relentlessly for years. If there’s one thing I’ve learned in this lifetime it’s that karma takes no prisoners.

Yup I’m hoping for things to continue like they have so we don’t have to constantly deal with “well Randy will get 6”” comments that just aren’t true. According to some folks on here he has 4’ of snow because any pattern will dump on him despite not being true. 

[SnowWillarrive]

2 hours ago, Phil said:

That’s good! Beneath the friendly trolling, I’ve always meant it when I say I’m happy for anyone that sees snow. It’s a precious commodity these days. I wish you guys could read my mind so you’d see that I legitimately pull for you all every winter.

I’m just messing with Randy because he’s in the screw zone after trolling me relentlessly for years. If there’s one thing I’ve learned in this lifetime it’s that karma takes no prisoners.

I wish and hope everyone gets snow with the upcoming pattern. 

With that being said I’m only confident Mossman will see significant snow. Karma doesn’t exist. 

[snow_wizard]

Pretty amazing how the EPS has gone to emphasizing the second trough now.  We could easily see that get even better.