Effective June 1, 2024, I will be the Secretary of the Oregon Chapter of the AMS.
Mark Nelsen has decided to step away from the executive committee, and I won the election between myself and Mike Krejci (runs weather-reporter.com and weathersigma.com (a new model site that is still being worked on) so check out his sites).
Back to civilization now after a successful 12 day climb of North America's tallest peak, Denali, home of some of the most extreme weather on the planet, with my 4 great friends Roger, Matt, Scott, and Aaron. For the first half of the climb we were very lucky with the weather and only needed 9 days to get enough good weather days to acclimatize and summit on the evening of the 20th. After we reached the summit we got about 20 minutes of clear sky -28 degree weather with light wind until a cloud
Reality is... the lunacy in major cities and the entire cancel culture thing arose during Trump's presidency. All of it was a massive over-reaction to spite Trump and the MAGA crowd. The lunacy has gone way down in major cities since late 2020. And I am certain it will all ramp up again under Trump because half the country hates him so much they will cut off their own nose to spite him. I think its all stupid but its pretty easy to see how this is going to play out if Trump wins. Our societal issues will get significantly worse. And then it will swing the other way in 2028.
I wonder what kind of sentence that this judge will give Trump.
I saw that only about 10-20% of felonies of this class result in jail time. Trump has some things going for him such as no prior record and his age. But there's also some things against him like his antagonizing of the judge and there is no universe where he will show remorse (even faking it) at sentencing. Not going to be shocked if the judge hands down some kind of confinement, whether at Mar-a-Lago or in New York. I can think of worse living conditions than Mar-a-Lago, so perhaps the judge may want to put him somewhere else. The next thing is whether the sentence would take effect immediately or be paused while the appeals play out. If Trump is immediately under some kind of confinement, boy what turmoil will that cause in this country and it would perfectly feed in to the idea of election interference that he often talks about.
No idea... because the reality is that most of them want to live on the streets and make their own rules. Not all of course. But a majority do not want assistance and do not want follow rules in shelters or in transition housing. Seattle Times did a ride along during a sweep last year and everyone was offered shelter and 100% of the people refused. Presumably because they would have to follow rules and would not be allowed to do drugs out in the open.
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