November 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW

[seattleweatherguy]

10 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

976mb into Ocean Shores. Tracks inland almost directly to Seattle at 980mb.

So the euro still has it as a non event Seattle northward since the low is south of Seattle?

[seattleweatherguy]

Well reading the last post the euro is a compromise for western wa and Oregon.

[Meatyorologist]

Just now, seattleweatherguy said:

So the euro still has it as a non event Seattle northward since the low is south of Seattle?

No, it has 40mph+ gusts Mt. Vernon southward. A few 50's in Seattle proper.

[Jesse]

35 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

12z Euro coming in quite a bit stronger and further north so far than the 06z.

NOTE: While this track may be more ideal for Puget Sound windstorm, it is in no way meant as a slight against the lower chance of windstorm for Western OR. Please keep this in mind while viewing the below images...

You sure took my sarcastic comment pretty seriously.

[FroYoBro]

19 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

12z Euro delivers a good blow for most of Western WA and Western OR.

Look Jesse - a solution that doesn't make us pick between the two locations! YAY!

Looks solid. Go king Euro!

[MossMan]

Looks like the windstorm is fizzling already. Oh well. 

[TacomaWaWx]

1 minute ago, iFred said:

This Olympic's wind shadow sucks. Unless the track takes the low near the strait or south of Ocean Shores, we in Everett spend most of the event shadowed.

I wouldn’t be surprised to see this end up a bit north of where it’s projected at the moment. Slight shift north could mean northern WA takes a big hit as well. I think it’ll end up somewhere between Ocean shores and central Vancouver island...so I still think there’s a pretty good chance for strong winds up north too. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

I predict SLE north to BLI gets a hard blow.

[Front Ranger]

Much more of a developing high latitude blocking signal at the end of the Euro. I like where it's going...

But I'll leave the extrapolation to Dewey.

[Deweydog]

11 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Much more of a developing high latitude blocking signal at the end of the Euro. I like where it's going...

But I'll leave the extrapolation to Dewey.

All of my renderings thus far reflect a weakening jet in a somewhat progressive pattern.

I think I’m gonna draw an outlier now though.

[MossMan]

14 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Much more of a developing high latitude blocking signal at the end of the Euro. I like where it's going...

But I'll leave the extrapolation to Dewey.

White Turkey! 

[bainbridgekid]

Quick rundown of the 12z suit of models today. All show a strong storm but significant differences in track and strength remain. The NAM is the furthest South with the Euro next and the GFS, ICON, and GEM further North.

 

[TT-SEA]

12Z EPS...

 

 

[Jesse]

PDX has broken their three day streak in the 40s or lower.

[Kayla]

Very strong signal for high latitude blocking at the end of run on the 12z EPS. Something is a brewing for late this month.

[FroYoBro]

1 minute ago, Kayla said:

Very strong signal for high latitude blocking at the end of run on the 12z EPS. Something is a brewing for late this month.

The turkey in my avatar just made a loud noise. 

[MossMan]

10 minutes ago, Kayla said:

Very strong signal for high latitude blocking at the end of run on the 12z EPS. Something is a brewing for late this month.

December 2008 redux a few weeks earlier this time! 

[Jesse]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

December 2008 redux a few weeks earlier this time! 

You forgot to mention that the blue is over your house!!!!

[Deweydog]

18 minutes ago, Kayla said:

Very strong signal for high latitude blocking at the end of run on the 12z EPS. Something is a brewing for late this month.

Average heights over AK in the 510’s is a teleconnector’s dream!

[Jesse]

15 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Average heights over AK in the 510’s is a teleconnector’s dream!

That looks like a skiers dream.

[TacomaWaWx]

47 currently with a SW breeze. 0.02” so far today not raining now. 

[FroYoBro]

2 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

18z NAM says, "Windstorm? What windstorm?"

The NAM should be put down. We have plenty of other models. 

[Meatyorologist]

NAM just flipped off every met in the PNW w/ that 18z lol. 32k resolution isn't a good look for that model.

Actually, come to think of it, nothing is...

[MossMan]

It’s over. Windstorm cancel. Fork it...Along with the Seahawks defense. 

[Deweydog]

18 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

The NAM should be put down. We have plenty of other models. 

Sometimes the NAM looks COLD!!!

[SouthHillFrosty]

[SilverFallsAndrew]

42 with hissing winds and unrelenting rain.

[Deweydog]

Reminds me a little of the 11-22-09 storm.  It Arcticked a couple weeks after that!!!

[Dave]

1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

Reminds me a little of the 11-22-09 storm.  It Arcticked a couple weeks after that!!!

Wasn't that the super cold but completely wasted dry blast of semi recent memory?

[Dave]

Alert! Tornado in St Helens today.

 

[jakerepp]

2 minutes ago, dolt said:

Alert! Tornado in St Helens today.

 

Woah! 

[Meatyorologist]

3 minutes ago, dolt said:

Alert! Tornado in St Helens today.

 

That's insane!

[Gradient Keeper]

3 minutes ago, dolt said:

Alert! Tornado in St Helens today.

 

Yeah I just saw that. A small one, but crazy motion! Mesoanalysis does show 20kt low level shear and decent helicity, so not too surprising I suppose.

[Dave]

Should we call grandma?

[Deweydog]

Any word on grandma?

[jakerepp]

Just now, Deweydog said:

Any word on grandma?

Yeah, she had shingles, but it's all cleared up now. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Nice to see 10" on the ground at Hoodoo right now. With any luck even some of the lower ski areas can get open by Thanksgiving. 

[MossMan]

19 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

South Sound is the sweet spot for 50-60 mph gusts.

Looks like I get a gust of 13MPH!! Epic!! 

[Blizzard777]

3 hours ago, MossMan said:

Looks like the windstorm is fizzling already. Oh well. 

That’s just what it wants us to think.....be afraid, very afraid ! 

[Tyler Mode]

A small tornado, but not even a report of hail or lightning with it.  Leave it to the NW to have a tornadic rain shower.