The Swamp Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 I sure would like to see a trof dig in east of Hawaii and a SE ridge. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 I agree we need to shut the pacific down but we also need that SE ridge to help stop things up in the center of the country and the west. simply having blocking in the pacific and things riding over the top is not enough, we need something to cause things t buckle a bit and the SE ridge does that 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 -56F AK/YT day 7 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 That lobe over the Bering sea is going nuts on this run. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 From the very center of that thing. Convective at 1F... Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 3 minutes ago, paulb/eugene said: -56F AK/YT day 7 BIG league cold! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Such a strange pattern. Stable, but strange. 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 3 hours ago, paulb/eugene said: Isn’t this the lowest 500mb height ever over Puget Sound? this is March 5 1951. Looks like 504 over Seattle, 498 Bellingham That’s one heck of a TPV lobe. Getting the squeeze from the blocks over the NPAC/GOA and NE-Canada/Greenland. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwonder Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 7 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 9'er We will get there by Christmas! Baby steps Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 24 minutes ago, puyallupjon said: I agree we need to shut the pacific down but we also need that SE ridge to help stop things up in the center of the country and the west. simply having blocking in the pacific and things riding over the top is not enough, we need something to cause things t buckle a bit and the SE ridge does that The upstream pattern and momentum transfer/propagation forces the SE-ridge. It’s not the other way around. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 14 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Such a strange pattern. Stable, but strange. It’s a pattern we haven’t seen in awhile. That’s for sure. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 2 minutes ago, Phil said: It’s a pattern we haven’t seen in awhile. That’s for sure. 1950? 1 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Pacific shutting down in the long range at least. Might go somewhere. 1 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 FWIW, Dec 1949 wasn't incredibly snowy at my place anyway. Then 5 feet comes down a month later. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 24 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, 5/21, 5/22, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Not much action for here on the GFS. Hopefully in a couple weeks models might kick that vortex out of Alaska but I doubt it. That thing is gonna end up like that Greenland vortex which wouldn't move for years. I was bullish on this winter until that vortex set up shop there. We just aren't going to see meaningful cold when it gets stuck up there. Might be some Washington-based marginal events tho. 1 1 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 11 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: 1950? Does resemble the 1950s a bit. NPAC is less amplified, but it’s getting there slowly. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 As in the Pacific shuts down post day 11. Hope that solves your confusion. @Deweydog 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 31 minutes ago, Phil said: That’s one heck of a TPV lobe. Getting the squeeze from the blocks over the NPAC/GOA and NE-Canada/Greenland. D**n phil is that even possible? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 2 minutes ago, seattleweatherguy said: D**n phil is that even possible? I doubt it's possible anymore. 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 5 minutes ago, Kayla said: As in the Pacific shuts down post day 11. Hope that solves your confusion. @Deweydog So the systems beyond day 11 are hitching rides on trans-Pacific flights as opposed to a pretty typical jet stream? It’s not a firehose, but the store is definitely still open for business. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 16 minutes ago, Kayla said: Pacific shutting down in the long range at least. Might go somewhere. Looks pretty +EPO to me through the end. Think mid latitude blocking maybe finally gets going a bit at the end of the month. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said: I doubt it's possible anymore. We’ve lost the Tiger. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 6 minutes ago, Deweydog said: We’ve lost the Tiger. 2-25-19 will be forever known as the "end of the road" for Lane County. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 6 minutes ago, Deweydog said: We’ve lost the Tiger. Tiger wasn't onboard in Dec 1949. Then look what happened... 2 1 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 CMC looks primed around the end of the run. And NO Alaskan TPV lobe... 3 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Raining and 39. .03” so far on the day. 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 11 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: CMC looks primed around the end of the run. And NO Alaskan TPV lobe... The GEM has looked primed at day 10 for the better part of a week now. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 1 minute ago, ShawniganLake said: The GEM has looked primed at day 10 for the better part of a week now. Ironically, tonight’s run does not. A good sign? 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 41 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Not much action for here on the GFS. Hopefully in a couple weeks models might kick that vortex out of Alaska but I doubt it. That thing is gonna end up like that Greenland vortex which wouldn't move for years. I was bullish on this winter until that vortex set up shop there. We just aren't going to see meaningful cold when it gets stuck up there. Might be some Washington-based marginal events tho. A SSW is probably our only hope at this point. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
seattleweatherguy Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 4 hours ago, paulb/eugene said: Isn’t this the lowest 500mb height ever over Puget Sound? this is March 5 1951. Looks like 504 over Seattle, 498 Bellingham this would be historic 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 00z GEFS Day 7 SSW underway 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 Just now, DJ Droppin said: 00z GEFS Day 7 SSW underway Assuming the solution verifies. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 1 minute ago, AbbyJr said: Assuming the solution verifies. Of course, but good ensembles(GFS) support and timing has sped up with it beginning at Day 6.5 now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwonder Posted December 11, 2020 Report Share Posted December 11, 2020 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z GEFS Day 7 SSW underway Yes! correct 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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