Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Bering Sea trough further west. Hmmm.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Looks like it could get to cold to snow. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Day 5 Well, that's very different Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Day 5 (Past 4 runs) Not far from going into a chilly and maybe cold pattern much sooner. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Still bit too progressive, but if this is a trend.. Can't rule out an arctic blast for Christmas. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Day 6 (Past 4 runs) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OysterPrintout Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Me trying to get these maps into a christmas blast CMON 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Big improvements on the 0z so far. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 It would be really nice if that ridge either developed further west setting up around ~150 W, or flattened so the bitter air in BC, AK, YK isn't flushed out by the ridge. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, OysterPrintout said: Me trying to get these maps into a christmas blast CMON Exactly! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 I don't hate this 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 WARNING SHOT! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Day 6.5 chilly NWLY onshore flow 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Day 7 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 12 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 5 Well, that's very different Totally caved to the Euro, to no one's surprise. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 YOU’VE ALL BEEN WARNED!!!! 1 2 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 If we go right into a big ridge we could develop a strong cold pool.... Fake cold blast 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 I am focusing entirely on the big improvements noted Day 4 to 6. I hope to see models trend to develop that ridge a bit further west with kona sitting under it and thus the Bering Sea trough held back near Kamchatka. Do I expect that trend to continue? No, but hoping so. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 That is a nice cold shot early next week on this run. Good to see. 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwonder Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 15 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 7 patience weenies! anything past day 7 in the model’s is useless at this point give it a few more days and we should start moving into prime time 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 00z GEM at Day 4 trending similarly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 GEM not too similar by Day 5 though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Not much of a block in the clown range, compared to the Drunk Uncle. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 12 minutes ago, weatherwonder said: patience weenies! anything past day 7 in the model’s is useless at this point give it a few more days and we should start moving into prime time Just curious as to your reasoning. Not saying you are wrong, how would I know? But we would really like to hear your train of thought, other than "Its coming". 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Holy crap! The GFS is a wee bit colder on the trough early next week. Thickness drops to 519 over SEA on this run. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Yawn 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: Not much of a block in the clown range, compared to the Drunk Uncle. The improvement on that trough in the believable range gives me lots of hope. Pretty typical to have something like that before the big stuff. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 GFS is about to turn up a block here at the end. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Chris is not on board. 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 This GFS run makes the snow the 12z ECMWF was showing early next week seem really possible. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: Chris is not on board. I think just the cold snap early next week is a pretty big deal. That is legit cold on this run. As Justin pointed out earlier that type of behavior in late December is classic before a good January. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, iFred said: Kind of not looking forward to our future climate. The ice age? 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, iFred said: Kind of not looking forward to our future climate. Same. That's why I root for these snow events, as rare as they may be. There will be fewer and fewer with time; might as well enjoy these to the best of my ability. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 16, 2020 Report Share Posted December 16, 2020 Look like another small cold snap late in the run. Way better than climo on this run overall. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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