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Jan 14th-16th Upper MW/GL's Storm System


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It’s been snowing here for awhile now, but it’s melting except on top of the old snow pack which we still have a solid cover of. Radar looks decent if it keeps developing and filling in. Really can’t tell what this weird system might produce.

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‘20 - ‘21 season snowfall = 38.5”

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Just got in from busting drifts in the country. This is the kind of site I really don't care what I look like, let her buck!! Gotta like the 91' Twins coat!!!wind driven snow removed one of my contact

Hi, I'm new but I've been reading you guys for a long time (several years).  Just wanted to pop in and say everything is closed in my town: manufacturing plants, banks, restaurants, even the doctors o

I'm not sure I got to the 6.5 they said the airport had, but with it compacting it's possible. Was pretty nonetheless

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DSM area getting nice pivot point on first wave.... Pavement getting covered--- 32.4F 2 meter temp

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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We're just getting some light snow that is barely sticking to the pavement.  It appears we will not be getting much at all.  Last night's Euro was real bad.

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season snowfall: 51.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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I've gotten a dusting! 😀

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 20.9"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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Looks like this will be a non event down here. It’s too warm to accumulate and the snow is light. Radar is showing that it’s not going to last much longer here and the wrap around will miss us to the west. So I suppose this will go down as a trace here. 

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Season Snowfall: 39.5"

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00z HRRR

snku_acc.us_mw.png

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season snowfall: 51.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Just went for a walk. Very slick out there.  About a half inch of slush so far on the sidewalks.  Little more on the snowpack.  It’s a super heavy snow.  Not gonna be fun to shovel. 

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The extremely light snow rate is unable to do anything but maintain the dusting on pavement.

season snowfall: 51.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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5 minutes ago, Hawkeye said:

The extremely light snow rate is unable to do anything but maintain the dusting on pavement.

I was wondering about that...33 degrees up here with drizzle snowflakes. praying for a miracle.

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Wind kicking up even more and getting the first stray flurries. There has to be tens of them! 😆

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

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3 hours ago, FAR_Weather said:

I've gotten a dusting! 😀

More than I'll get.

Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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the CR area is unlikely to see much more than 2" from this I think.

2020-21 Snowfall: (Hiawatha)

TOTAL: 51.6"

(Oct. 18: 0.6") (Oct 19: 2.0") (Nov. ?: 1.5") (Dec. 12: 3.7") (Dec. 23: 0.5") (Dec. 27: 1.2") (Dec. 29: 9.2") (Jan. 15: 2.3”) (Jan 17. 1.1”)  (Jan. 24: 2.5”) (Jan. 26: 6.8") (Jan. 31: 8.5") (Feb. 4: 5.0") (Feb. 6: 0.5") (Feb. 8: 1.0") (Feb. 11: 1.2") (Feb. 13: 1.3") (Feb. 21: 2.7")

 

 

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Well, the roads are icy from flash freezing. That's something I guess?

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 20.9"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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33 minutes ago, jaster220 said:

More than I'll get.

Now I know why. I need more "up-slop"

Quote

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1025 PM EST Thu Jan 14 2021

It is looking like the risk of getting 2 to 4 inches of snow over
our northeast counties in the next 36 hours has increased. Most of
the accumulating snow will be after 5 am Friday and last through
most the morning into mid afternoon before diminishing. The
combination of higher terrain and being near the pivot point for
the precipitation area and also being in the trowal will enhance
the precipitation (some help from up-slop too) Friday morning into
Friday afternoon. Surface temperatures will be just cold enough
for the snow to fall and accumulate. I will let the next shift
consider if we need a Winter Weather Advisory for this since
temperatures will be near freezing and the snowfall rates will
likely be less than a half inch an hour so most of the snow should
melt on the main roads. There may be travel issues on back roads
and overpasses.

 

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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I-29 is closed through South Dakota.

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 20.9"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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Crushing cam models. Allready 2.5" when most cams as recent as 4Z had less than an inch. Radar is like DSM is ground zero. Trying to get some zzz zzz's but it's tough. 

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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15/0z NAM gives me some snow tomorrow morning while the HRRR shafts me. Has snow literally a half county NE of me.

This would fit the pattern to date for here:

 

20210115 03z HRRR- h18 Surf.png

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Winter 2020-21 Snow Total = 35.1"  Largest Storm: 10.2" (2/15-16)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 3.6 Jan: 10.0 Feb: 20.0 Mar: 0.0 Apr: 0.0

 

Annual avg for mby = 49.7"  Avg for last 10 seasons = 58.4" (118% of normal)

2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

 

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

 

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36 minutes ago, DSM WeatherNut said:

Snowing so hard here in DSM.  Amazing.

http://gigapimp.dynu.com:777/
u: guest p: guest

That's a sweet setup. Where abouts r you in DSM? Iam old part of Waukee, not the richy rich area.

The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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1 hour ago, Grizzcoat said:

Crushing cam models. Allready 2.5" when most cams as recent as 4Z had less than an inch. Radar is like DSM is ground zero. Trying to get some zzz zzz's but it's tough. 

DSM has had a good run this season...#snowmagnet

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I just happened to notice DSM was included in the Blizzard Warning....how long has it been since a legit Blitz hit the region?  By that I mean, heavy snow and strong winds and not just wind driven snow obscuring viz??

Wow, this is a long duration event with Blitz conditions!

Blizzard Warning

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
1207 AM CST Fri Jan 15 2021

...Blizzard to Significantly Impact Central Iowa Tonight into
Friday...

.Strong and gusty northwest winds coupled with moderate to heavy
snowfall will lead to blizzard conditions tonight and throughout
much of the daytime Friday over the western half of Iowa.
Significant travel impacts are expected, especially along
Interstates 80 and 35. Over the eastern half of Iowa, lighter
winds and lower snowfall amounts are forecast but travel impacts
are still anticipated.

IAZ004>007-015>017-023>026-033>037-044>048-057>060-070>073-
081>083-092>094-151415-
/O.CON.KDMX.BZ.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210116T0000Z/
Emmet-Kossuth-Winnebago-Worth-Palo Alto-Hancock-Cerro Gordo-
Pocahontas-Humboldt-Wright-Franklin-Sac-Calhoun-Webster-Hamilton-
Hardin-Crawford-Carroll-Greene-Boone-Story-Audubon-Guthrie-Dallas-
Polk-Cass-Adair-Madison-Warren-Adams-Union-Clarke-Taylor-Ringgold-
Decatur-
Including the cities of Estherville, Algona, Forest City,
Lake Mills, Northwood, Manly, Emmetsburg, Garner, Britt, Kanawha,
Mason City, Clear Lake, Pocahontas, Laurens, Rolfe, Fonda,
Gilmore City, Humboldt, Eagle Grove, Clarion, Belmond, Hampton,
Sac City, Lake View, Odebolt, Wall Lake, Schaller, Early,
Rockwell City, Manson, Lake City, Pomeroy, Fort Dodge,
Webster City, Iowa Falls, Eldora, Ackley, Denison, Carroll,
Jefferson, Boone, Ames, Audubon, Exira, Guthrie Center, Panora,
Bayard, Casey, Perry, Waukee, Adel, Des Moines, Atlantic,
Greenfield, Stuart, Adair, Fontanelle, Winterset, Earlham,
Indianola, Norwalk, Carlisle, Corning, Creston, Osceola, Bedford,
Lenox, New Market, Mount Ayr, Lamoni, and Leon
1207 AM CST Fri Jan 15 2021

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Blizzard conditions. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 8
  inches. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph.

* WHERE...Portions northern and central Iowa.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM CST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Patchy blowing snow
  could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous
  conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Gusty
  winds could bring down tree branches.
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Unreal. Haven't been out yet but heaviest snow I've seen in street lights in a long time. Atmosphere is literally reverse peristalzyling itself of locked up moisture in snow. Will go for a drive in a bit. Radar continues to concentrate in and around DSM vcnty. 

image.png

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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My front door plastered in spackling. Iam sure whole house is frosted.

PXL_20210115_104514298.jpg

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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Ripping nicely in Lincoln this morning, radar definitely looks a bit west of what was modeled. Grass is already covered. 

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"   

2018-19: 55.5"   

2019-20: 17.6"   

2020-21: 49.4" (so far)

Average: 25.9"

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8 minutes ago, Sparky said:

Current position of the low.

 

3E8F74D4-EE47-4F30-823E-E7B3D83766C0.gif

77610EDC-D924-48FC-A184-2F8BB68369D6.gif

Looks further west than what was modeled.  Explains why E. Neb is doing well and why my forecasted amounts have increased.

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