OysterPrintout Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 51 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Unsettling trends with the parallel GFS. parallel GFS and trends don't belong in the same sentence 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 hour ago, TacomaWaWx said: Please let us know what you see up there on top of your high horse lol It does increase my elevation! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 4 hours ago, jakerepp said: True! I'd much rather have it show us cold 5 days out than to see Pepto for 11 days out. This. 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 What’s the first 00z model we get? Anything faster than the GFS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, RentonHillTC said: What’s the first 00z model we get? Anything faster than the GFS? NAM rolls out around 6:30/12:30, then GFS at 7:30, then Euro at 9:30. 1 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 00z GFS is going to be a thing of beauty!!!! Hopefully Rob is on standby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: NAM rolls out around 6:30/12:30, then GFS at 7:30, then Euro at 9:30. What about GEM? ICON? JMA?? I’ll take anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: What about GEM? ICON? JMA?? I’ll take anything Already mentioned NAM 00z improved at 78h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, paulb/eugene said: Already mentioned NAM 00z improved at 78h Arctic air already spilling through Purcell Trench into GEG then 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtep Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 hour ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Glad to see that a sub tropical climate can get a snowstorm but not the pnw I remember being able to count on snow pretty much every other year as a kid in Fort Worth. Definitely not true for the last 10 years, but it's been cool to see them do well this winter. It would be crazy to see mixed precip on the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Fun fact. I have never used tire chains. 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 5 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: What about GEM? ICON? JMA?? I’ll take anything Neither of those are particularly reliable models, and I don't pay attention to them as they roll out. Breathe. Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, paulb/eugene said: Arctic air already spilling through Purcell Trench into GEG then Good call. You know about the Purcell Trench. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Fun fact. I have never used tire chains. I was born with 11 fingers. 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Neither of those are particularly reliable models, and I don't pay attention to them as they roll out. Breathe. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Fun fact. I have never used tire chains. Neither have I. In November 1985 my school bus got stuck on the way to school. We all thought we'd miss school, but the bus driver got out and put chains on. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 hours ago, hawkstwelve said: That NWWashingtonWx is usually a pretty negative voice in the weather Twittersphere when it comes to discussing upcoming possibilities. He comes across as a professional met whose been burned a few too many times by the models. Understandable really, but a bit boring in my opinion. Half of the fun is riding the models till your pants fall off. Most of the time you'll get screwed, burnt out, and pissed off but occasionally they will make a turn like this one and it makes it all worth it. Little different when you're a met, though. A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 24 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Fun fact. I have never used tire chains. I have once. They suck. Honestly, unless you really have to get somewhere and the roads are horrific, there is no reason you should ever have to use them. 1 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 4, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 ICON is still not on board, since it was mentioned. Seems to think it's yesterday still! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 18 minutes ago, Snowdrift said: Neither have I. In November 1985 my school bus got stuck on the way to school. We all thought we'd miss school, but the bus driver got out and put chains on. My bus never came in November 1985. 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 18z gfs has 850s at Spokane bottoming out at -20. Thickness bottoms out at 497. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 00z GFS HR 3 ! (Past 12 runs)! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Absolutely. They are playing to a different audience than weather enthusiasts who visit a weather enthusiast forum. Automatically have to be more cautious to jump on things when you have broader public appeal. That being said it still lends itself to becoming a bit unnecessarily jaded to the whole model riding train and just taking the easy way out for forecasts. Yes, generally if you bet climo you will win in the PNW but where is the fun in that? Put some skin in the game, I say. Live by the 18z, die by the 18z. Yeah, I get it. But at least when someone like Jaya is "onboard", you know there's a realistic chance that the sh*t gets real. 2 A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z GFS HR 3 ! (Past 12 runs)! Flux capacitor Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 No whammies, No whammies, No whammies! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 I have only needed to chain up a vehicle once...After I got my first car/truck stuck against a power pole in 1993. Only way I could get it out of the ditch, minimal damage. Found out you can’t turn at normal speed on compact snow and ice. 1992/93 was a great first winter of driving, I learned a lot with a rear wheel drive El Camino! 2 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Pivotal WAY too slow to my liking. C'MON!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: I have only needed to chain up a vehicle once...After I got my first car/truck stuck against a power pole in 1993. Only way I could get it out of the ditch, minimal damage. Found out you can’t turn at normal speed on compact snow and ice. 1992/93 was a great first winter of driving, I learned a lot with a rear wheel drive El Camino! Yikes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Day 1 (Past 4 runs) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Already a few notches to the west 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, DJ Droppin said: Day 1 (Past 4 runs) Good trends!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Day 2 (Past 4 runs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Not liking the angle of the ridge as much as the 18z. Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Day 3 (Past 4 runs) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Concerning trends 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Day 3.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Concerning trends Rugpull jk I’m sure it’ll be fine. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Concerning trends No the cold air and trough is just slightly delayed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Doesn’t look as good as the 18z 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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