Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 12z GEM Day 3 (Past 2 runs) Further west, base of block also further west. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Bam... 2 3 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 SCORE 2 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 I like these trends too lol. GFS now has 3 winter storms in 9 days here. Keeping that massive, suppressive blob of cold air west of the Mississippi = more baroclinicity for storm development. 3 1 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, Phil said: I like these trends too lol. GFS now has 3 winter storms in 9 days here. Keeping that massive, suppressive blob of cold air west of the Mississippi = more baroclinicity for storm development. Blessings! 2 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 25 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Positive trends for those who like sunshine and an early spring. Really good analysis Andrew. You continue to show this forum that god gave you a truly special mind. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 This is AWESOME 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Bam... 5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: SCORE Snowy! 🌨 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 GEM still terrible. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: Really good analysis Andrew. You continue to show this forum that god gave you a truly special mind. Blessings. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Niceeeeee! Snow with temps 23-27 PDX to Eugene. RAGING east wind 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, DJ Droppin said: Niceeeeee! Snow with temps 23-27 PDX to Eugene. RAGING east wind February 2014 2 1 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 12z GEFS Coldest ensembles yet Gorge/Columbia Basin. Now that's impressive! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Niceeeeee! Snow with temps 23-27 PDX to Eugene. RAGING east wind Best setup for a good PDX snowstorm. The icy cold East winds will be howling! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: February 2014 And late February 2019. 3 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Niceeeeee! Snow with temps 23-27 PDX to Eugene. RAGING east wind Not that great for us in Medford. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, MWG said: Not that great for us in Medford. That is too bad. I am sure this run has finally figured out all the fine details over the next 2 weeks! 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 What a run !!!! Remember, SHOULD this pattern be correct as the Ensembles now agree with once that low level cold becomes established with the very strong east winds it will stick around awhile perhaps 5+ days. Then we look for systems to move in from the west-southwest. You could NOT ask for anything better at anytime in the Winter. C'MON!!!! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Looking at The Dalles ensembles shows there is still perhaps room for colder runs ahead as there is a big cluster of members from -14c to -20c. C'MON!!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 I have a feeling that in 2 years Randy will be pulling some of our posts over the last few days to remind us how things can change... and how the epic month of February 2021 evolved! 2 1 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Where’s Jesse? This forum isn’t the same without him. 4 1 1 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Wow long range is WET. 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I have a feeling that in 2 years Randy will be pulling some of our posts over the last few days to remind us how things can change... and how the epic month of February 2021 evolved! Andrew says no. 1 1 Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 I'd love to see a battle zone pattern set up. If you want huge snow totals battle pattern can deliver. 6 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, Phil said: Where’s Jesse? This forum isn’t the same without him. Good question.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said: Andrew says no. Oh no sir. Things will be volatile! 2 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Good question.... He is having a busy week, but my understanding is he is very BLESSED. 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 HUGE Euro run in 45 minutes. Well, Day 1 comes in around 9:53 AM, and YES, I realize how unbelievably sad that makes me that I have that information.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: He is having a busy week, but my understanding is he is very BLESSED. Oh really. Well okay then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Really a fun run. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Oregon does well on this run... but these things tend to shift north. 1 1 1 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Khoine Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Notches away from Arctic blast within 96 hours. Let’s go 🌨️⛷ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 12 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Wow long range is WET. But is is COLD and WET? Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Oregon does well on this run... but these things tend to shift north. Popular theory, but some very notable exceptions. Someone may be very blessed. 3 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 2 minutes ago, jakerepp said: But is is COLD and WET? Warm and wet, then cold and wet. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Warm and wet, then cold and wet. And then Armageddon. Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 Just now, jakerepp said: And then Armageddon. Year 2 of the 7 year TRIBULATION is upon us. 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SalemDuck Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 The key is the Alaskan vortex. The GEM keeps it together and strengthens as it moves into Alaska, if that happens it's game over for us other than some brief chilly backdoor action. The GFS weakens it and allows the Alaskan and Greenland ridges to connect which allows cold air to dig back over us in the mid range. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 3 minutes ago, SalemDuck said: The key is the Alaskan vortex. The GEM keeps it together and strengthens as it moves into Alaska, if that happens it's game over for us other than some brief chilly backdoor action. The GFS weakens it and allows the Alaskan and Greenland ridges to connect which allows cold air to dig back over us in the mid range. Thank you for laying it out like this for us noobs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 4, 2021 Report Share Posted February 4, 2021 4 minutes ago, SalemDuck said: The key is the Alaskan vortex. The GEM keeps it together and strengthens as it moves into Alaska, if that happens it's game over for us other than some brief chilly backdoor action. The GFS weakens it and allows the Alaskan and Greenland ridges to connect which allows cold air to dig back over us in the mid range. Exactly..., that is what I was saying earlier. A weaker version (as its been trending) yields much colder and snowier results by later next week. 3 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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