Popular Post MossMan Posted January 18, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Right on cue for February. 6 3 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 4 minutes ago, MossMan said: Right on cue for February. almost like they plan them that way 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 12 GFS... 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 6 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: 12 GFS... We'll have to scour the ensembles for good news. It is still a step down the road to a good direction. Pretty soon though the lowlands are going to start running out of time... 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 10 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: 12 GFS... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 12z GEFS at Day 10 vs 6z GEFS - we are probably at the "delay" stage now that some long term cold signal has been picked up. Models will start picking up more details on the transition and it will extend the time until actual cold 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Low of 44 this morning…0.02” since midnight and exactly 7” of rain this month. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 The dryness on the models for the final 1/3 of January is pretty impressive. Could be our longest winter dry streak since December 2017. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 33 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: 12z GEFS at Day 10 vs 6z GEFS - we are probably at the "delay" stage now that some long term cold signal has been picked up. Models will start picking up more details on the transition and it will extend the time until actual cold Go out to Jan 30th, the timing is actually moved up. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Some pretty serious PNA dips starting to show up. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 back half of 12z GEFS 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 pretty decent snow shower in progress 36 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 12 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: back half of 12z GEFS Just compared to this time last week…it’s a pretty massive improvement. A week ago there was nothing at all on the ensembles even at 300+ hours. 3 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luvssnow_spokane Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Snowing in Spokane!! Not sticking, but I am still loving it! 6 Quote My Weather Station https://tempestwx.com/station/61434 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, luvssnow_seattle said: Snowing in Spokane!! Not sticking, but I am still loving it! getting a dusting out here on colder surfaces. I still have a good bit of snow from previous events in my front yard that is shaded and faces Due North 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: We'll have to scour the ensembles for good news. It is still a step down the road to a good direction. Pretty soon though the lowlands are going to start running out of time... Usually I consider February 14th to be the cutoff date. If there’s nothing on the models by mid February it’s time to bring out the forks. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Just now, TacomaWaWx said: Usually I consider February 14th to be the cutoff date. If there’s nothing on the models by mid February it’s time to bring out the forks. That’s a good rule of thumb. We have had some good stuff in late February in recent years. Going back to 2011, we’ve had major lowland cold/snow events in late February 3 times. But chances are if the models in mid February show nothing then it’s time to pack it in. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: That’s a good rule of thumb. We have had some good stuff in late February in recent years. Going back to 2011, we’ve had major lowland cold/snow events in late February 3 times. But chances are if the models in mid February show nothing then it’s time to pack it in. February 2011 and 2018 were pretty decent events especially 2011. Pretty hard to get a below freezing high temp that late in the season. 30/25 here on 2/25 and 32/22 on 2/26. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Low overcast and 41 after a low of 38 have picked up .05” so far today Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 21 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: February 2011 and 2018 were pretty decent events especially 2011. Pretty hard to get a below freezing high temp that late in the season. 30/25 here on 2/25 and 32/22 on 2/26. Last subfreezing high here in March was in 1960. Probably almost dew.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 The inversion the last 3-4 days has been nice at least it has felt like winter with fog at times highs below 45 and lows in the 30s lot of January ridges recently have torched us into the 50s Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 6 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Last subfreezing high here in March was in 1960. Probably almost dew.... Lol hard for me to imagine getting a sub freezing high in March nowadays. Have recorded a couple days in March with high temps of 37. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 45.5, .03", and maybe the slightest hint of Covid symptoms. 1 2 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 10 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Lol hard for me to imagine getting a sub freezing high in March nowadays. Have recorded a couple days in March with high temps of 37. I had a 36 degree high on 3/6/19. Coldest since 1989. Only March events that I'm aware of that have had subfreezing highs here are 1865, 1867, 1870, 1896, 1906, and 1960. So a pretty select list. Probably will happen again someday but it could be decades. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsktkr Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 February is going to be cold and there is going to be tons of snow. Gas up people.....it's on! 4 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Kayla Posted January 18, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Doesn't get much better than this 15 days out. It's coming® 11 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 End of EPS 4 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 4 minutes ago, Kayla said: Doesn't get much better than this 15 days out. It's coming® Who didn't see this one coming? February is the new January. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 cold core concentrated east of the Divide.... next 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 19 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: I had a 36 degree high on 3/6/19. Coldest since 1989. Only March events that I'm aware of that have had subfreezing highs here are 1865, 1867, 1870, 1896, 1906, and 1960. So a pretty select list. Probably will happen again someday but it could be decades. That day was 37/32 here with a trace of snow not too bad for March. considering we were just a couple days off from a March sub freezing high 11 years ago it definitely is still possible. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 And it doesn’t appear that we will have to wait as long as we did in 2011 or 2018! The first ALERT didn’t happen until 2/6/18! Things looked bleak that first week of February. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: And it doesn’t appear that we will have to wait as long as we did in 2011 or 2018! The first ALERT didn’t happen until 2/6/18! Things looked bleak that first week of February. foreshadowing? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 12z CFS delivers a fairly significant arctic blast the first week of February. 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Today reminds me of the pain that myself, acerJake, and Tim had to endure for weeks straight in January/First part of February 2018. Endless drizzly goo. We were rewarded for all of our whining though!! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 30 minutes ago, Kayla said: Doesn't get much better than this 15 days out. It's coming® Unbelievably this reminds me of shades of 2019. Only this time the bulk of the winter preceding it hasn't been a dumpster fire. 4 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Sub-freezing highs are very rare up here even though March snow is very common. Sub-40 highs are very common though. Looks like you have to go all the way back to March 2015 to find the last time Silver Falls did not have a sub-40 high in March. Coldest high I can find since then was 33 on 3/6/17. Also recorded 8" of snow in the park that day. 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 The new sled for my 3yr old just arrived so two brand new sleds ready to hit the neighbors 40 acres of hills! 9 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 8 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Unbelievably this reminds me of shades of 2019. Only this time the bulk of the winter preceding it hasn't been a dumpster fire. This winter hasn’t been a torch at all. December finished -2.1 here and we’re only +0.3 for January right now. Not to mention one of the best winter events in the 21st century last month. With the inversion pattern likely dominating the rest of the month we can definitely pull off our coldest January since 2017…not saying much though since they’ve all torched in recent years. 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 19 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Unbelievably this reminds me of shades of 2019. Only this time the bulk of the winter preceding it hasn't been a dumpster fire. here's where we were at this point in 2019 vs today 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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