PNW January 2022, Contact Info for Phil

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Moderate snow 32.3.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, snow maniac said:

Moderate sleet and snow now

You must be on the edge of the cold air, Shelton is 37.

[joelgombiner]

Wind switched from SE to S here in N. Seattle. Temp popped up from 35 to 39 and some drizzle is developing. 

[seattleweatherguy]

I wonder when the NWS will put up a wsw or sws up based on the Euro

[mtep]

Slushy mess out there right now. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Heavy snow 32.1.

[joelgombiner]

Beautiful storm system. Notice the cloud streets streaming offshore SW Alaska as Arctic air flows out over the Pacific. 

[snow_wizard]

2 hours ago, hawkstwelve said:

Geez... The 12z GFS is still showing 6-9 inches here by 10AM tomorrow even with Kuchera ratios. Normally it starts to cut it's outlandish totals about 24-36 hours before the event but not this time. At least not yet. 06z Euro showed 3-4 inches and the 06z HRDPS also shows 6-8 inches.

I have been pretty dang skeptical of this one for a while now but it sure seems the models think it will happen. NWS remains steadfast that we will see mostly cold rain. Not sure what to believe at this point.

It seems like they're giving no respect to how cold the east wind is.  I'm pretty convinced it will be snow at least from Seattle to Everett or so.  Here...we'll have to wait and see.  Obviously that early blast of precip the ECMWF is showing is marine air interacting with the outflow.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Ridge in the mid range is looking pretty dirty on the Euro not a great low level cold setup sadly 

[snow_wizard]

Talk about a massive cave to the GFS on the part of the ECMWF.  The GFS has handled the cold outflow a lot better.  Only 33 here currently.

[TT-SEA]

That is an ugly pattern starting in a few days on the 12Z ECMWF... was looking forward to a ridge and quiet weather.    Instead it shows days of rain and maybe a couple AR events.    

[RentonHill]

Target acquired

[Deweydog]

Windstorm pattern on the Euro…

[Chewbacca Defense]

1 hour ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Just when I thought it couldn’t get any worse my brothers car is broken down now…so I’m flying to spokane and will have to get a hotel room there. It’s too late to change my flights so pretty unsure what to do now. 

At least you can get back in the correct timezone?  Looking for a silver lining here....

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Windstorm pattern on the Euro…

Looking active. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

That is an ugly pattern starting in a few days on the 12Z ECMWF... was looking forward to a ridge and quiet weather.    Instead it shows days of rain and maybe a couple AR events.    

How does it handle Wednesday night Thursday system? I don't have the snow maps.

[snow_wizard]

5 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Ridge in the mid range is looking pretty dirty on the Euro not a great low level cold setup sadly 

Looks like everything is going to reset further east than what models showed yesterday.  That means the retrogression sequence to get us to the good stuff again will take longer.  Bummer.

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

How does it handle Wednesday night Thursday system? I don't have the snow maps.

Still pretty good for your area and places to the north... but its much quicker with the warm up out here.   925mb temp is up to +7C by Thursday morning.   

[RayRay]

Heaviest snow I ever saw.

[Everleigh]

Those snow maps still show my area in the 1, maybe 2 inches of snow range. I'd like to be farther from that dang snow hole, but if I get another 1-2 inches tonight, that'd be pretty cool. Not betting on it though. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, RayRay said:

Heaviest snow I ever saw.

Where abouts are you? I have a feeling you are close to me. I'm by mission lake and it's been snowing hard here on and off.

[theRunner]

41.1 degrees right now at my station @1,000ft. Stations just 30 mins south of me down in Renton are reading 5-9 degrees cooler, must be some warm air stuck here

[MossMan]

57 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Total snow through 10AM tomorrow per 12z Euro. This is an increase for most in the Central Sound vs 00z.

Vomit over my house.

[BLI snowman]

8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

That is an ugly pattern starting in a few days on the 12Z ECMWF... was looking forward to a ridge and quiet weather.    Instead it shows days of rain and maybe a couple AR events.    

Getting the Pacific to quiet down for more than 24 hours has become such a challenge in the winter now. 

 

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

Vomit over my house.

Ice dams are bad enough, but vomit ice dams? Yeesh…

[BLI snowman]

Over 8" of rain for Portland on the Euro.....

[TeacherLori]

36 here in Lynnwood. Still have 6 inches on the deck and the side streets are still covered with snow. The main street is partially cleared, partially ruts with a median of snow. Had a moment of chunky rain (where, admittedly, I got really happy and excited) but that didn't last. For now, no precip. Lots of dangerous-looking icicles, though, which I have a feeling won't last beyond today.

Wearing my lucky snowflake earrings; hopefully that helps for some additional snowfall tonight.

[snow_wizard]

9 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

How does it handle Wednesday night Thursday system? I don't have the snow maps.

Looking pretty bad for here, but you do ok.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, RayRay said:

Wow not far from mission lake. Do you know Minard? Green Mountain snowshoe time soon after classes!!!

Yep, your just east of me about 2 miles.

[RayRay]

nice.

[KingstonWX]

Temp down to 35 here, rain looking chunky. 

[snow_wizard]

I do need to clarify that snow propbably won't happen for most places until the dynamic cooling really kicks in tonight.  Obviously the Hood Canal area could be an exception.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

Looking pretty bad for here, but you do ok.

Euro is showing over a foot of new here by Thursday morning. We'll see.

[RayRay]

Now, if there is a peak at nighttime that is pretty lucky since ECWMF is 4 F degrees off the actual temperature here...

36-4 = 32 which equals some good snow accumulations from 7pm onwards to make up for what was lost...

[snow_wizard]

I knew the NWS was wrong about the wind advisory from Seattle southward.  Just don't know what's going on with them lately.

[KingstonWX]

Switching over to snow here now. Interesting.

[joelgombiner]

Precipitation is increasing here in Seattle and temperature has fallen off a degree down to 38. Probably seeing a little evaporative cooling going on. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I knew the NWS was wrong about the wind advisory from Seattle southward.  Just don't know what's going on with them lately.

Yep you called it lastnight, I remember.  This is why I pay attention to what you say. I've learned a lot from you over the years my friend. 

[MossMan]

Temp down to 37. This stupid south wind needs to stop, it’s eating my snow bigly!

[Cjmessling]

Changed from a borderline freezing rain to a sleet storm here at lake cushman. Snow mixing in more and more. Should get some intense bands here towards 3-4pm