East Dubzz Posted January 28, 2022 Report Share Posted January 28, 2022 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 28, 2022 Report Share Posted January 28, 2022 18z GFS drills Nebraska. Wow. Too bad it is 5 days out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 28, 2022 Report Share Posted January 28, 2022 18z GFS. 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 28, 2022 Report Share Posted January 28, 2022 2nd wave on the GFS keeps snow going all day Thursday 2 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted January 28, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 28, 2022 2 minutes ago, Clinton said: 2nd wave on the GFS keeps snow going all day Thursday Getting GHD-1 vibes…the consistency is scary this far out… 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 28, 2022 Report Share Posted January 28, 2022 The GFS shifted a bit south but obviously still much further north than the Euro. Chicago manages to be in the crosshairs of both models. Looks pretty good there. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 28, 2022 Report Share Posted January 28, 2022 10 minutes ago, Tom said: Getting GHD-1 vibes…the consistency is scary this far out… Actually, Euro paints GHD-1 style storm, while the GFS is firmly in the GHD-2/Dec 2000 event mode. The last 2 were massive hitters across the I-94 corridor here in SMI with 20" in Jackson in '00, and Kzoo scoring the jackzone of 20" in 2015. Sign me up! 21 minutes ago, Clinton said: If it pans out I hope your feeling good enough to enjoy it. I know you were hoping for some warmer weather but that doesn't look to be headed your way anytime soon. Thank you amigo! That is key. I've had a miserable last 7 days with swollen lower legs & feet that had some infection develop and the pain at times has been debilitating. 4th day on an anti-biotic and while the response has seemed a bit slower than other times I've had to use such, I think I am slowly turning a corner after 16 total days with the issue. By next week's event I will (knock on wood) be much better and have some decent mobility restored. I hope a bunch of us can share a good hit similar to the GHD storms! 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 28, 2022 Report Share Posted January 28, 2022 18z GEFS expanded further south. North edge didn’t move a lot. No drastic change. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 28, 2022 Report Share Posted January 28, 2022 18z GEFS 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 28, 2022 Report Share Posted January 28, 2022 It’s times like this I really miss the DGEX. Someone would be getting 40” on it. 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 The sig qpf is an ingredient missing here (like elsewhere) all winter. DTX Passage of this front Tuesday night sets the stage for the mid week event that continues to show potential for a lengthy period of winter weather. Today`s extended model runs show some convergence of solutions on a colder outcome for SE MI, or one that at least offers a smaller mixed precip footprint in the blended guidance database. As confidence increases in the position of the bulk frontal zone, additional refinement can be made on binning precipitation type to the QPF field. A strong draw of Gulf moisture into the Ohio valley is shown to result in impressive 2 to 3 day totals across the southern Great Lakes from late Wednesday into early Friday of next week. 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 18z Euro Control and snow is still falling at the end of the run for Chicago and points east. 2 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 Go north please! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 18z EPS did come north a bit. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 I was talking to our Assistant Principal today at school. We have not had a snow day or late start this year. Almost unheard of going into February. Last year we had 5 snow/cold days and three 10 AM starts. He talked to our Superintendent yesterday. If we have any type of decent storm next week, he will probably call off. Had lots of flu and stomach flu in the buildings, so it might heal some kids and teachers up. Fingers crossed. Good to have days to use. Our school calendar builds in 5 days and several late starts. Last time we had to make up days was 2006. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 18z Euro mean came north a tick as well. Not a lot but a little. Still in the right direction for iowa. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 7 minutes ago, bud2380 said: 18z Euro mean came north a tick as well. Not a lot but a little. Still in the right direction for iowa. Do you have a snow map of the 18z Euro? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 The all time state record for 24 hour snowfall in Iowa is 24” set in 1918. That makes iowa the 6th lowest 24 hour snowfall in the United States. Which is crazy to think about. Even South Carolina’s record is 24”. It just doesn’t snow really heavy in iowa all that often. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OttumwaSnomow Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 minute ago, bud2380 said: The all time state record for 24 hour snowfall in Iowa is 24” set in 1918. That makes iowa the 6th lowest 24 hour snowfall in the United States. Which is crazy to think about. Even South Carolina’s record is 24”. It just doesn’t snow really heavy in iowa all that often. I saw 36" from 4 am until 7 pm on feb 11th 1983 Mt Airy Maryland about 35 miles west of I95 1000 ft elevation. Completely whiteout conditions 6 to 7 hours with continuous thundersnow. Truly unforgettable.. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 I’m a little surprised ND and WI are that lower too. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Snowman Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 Present & accounted for, for the 00z GFS Looking forward to my hopes shattering on this run Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 00z icon is south but still ok for lincoln and omaha, just not me lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
centralweather44 Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 Seems like 18 & 00z runs have been south for us in SE Nebraska. Then day runs look better. Expecting the same again here tonight. Hoping for more consistency in the next day or two Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 Rain fest on icon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 0z ICON has 2 waves like the 18z GFS absolutely buries KC and Chicago 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Snowman Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 Energy that will eventually produce this storm looks further south off the SW coast of Cali at Hour 66 (compared to 18z) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Snowman Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 9 minutes ago, The Snowman said: Energy that will eventually produce this storm looks further south off the SW coast of Cali at Hour 66 (compared to 18z) A little faster & further south as it starts coming onshore California at Hour 102 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 Gfs going south Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 A little south and less snow totals, but I’d take this any day. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jayhawker85 Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 22 minutes ago, Clinton said: 0z ICON has 2 waves like the 18z GFS absolutely buries KC and Chicago This would be a epic dream!! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 0z GFS for those further east 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Snowman Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 Bummer run I say despite 6" in the forecast Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 Just now, Jayhawker85 said: This would be a epic dream!! It and the GFS look great, now we have to hold it for 4 more days lol. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 Yup I’m out. This is going to continue to go south. Prepare to be disappointed. Icon would be the longest snowfall of all time though. Lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 Can’t say that run of the GFS makes me feel good. Even though it shows 8” here the further south solution appears it’s winning out. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 The Canadian and UK are complete disasters. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 29, 2022 Report Share Posted January 29, 2022 4 minutes ago, bud2380 said: The Canadian and UK are complete disasters. The UK is way beyond south. It's increasingly looking like Iowa can wave bye-bye to this one. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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