Doinko Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 Just now, Gradient Keeper said: Day 4 That block is trending stronger I think 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, Doiinko said: That block is trending stronger I think Yep! 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 00z WRF-GFS NEXT Tuesday Tonight's run shows a very active system for next Tuesday as a wave of low pressure quickly develops into a compact, closed 990mb low just off the central Oregon coast. The low continues to deepen making landfall just north of Lincoln City. Importantly from 2-5 PM the low is still deepening down to 986mb as it moves northeast traversing the northern Oregon Coast Range. The pressure gradient is very tight and scoots right over the Coast Range, northern Willamette Valley, and PDX metro. The pressure gradient couplet is very steep over a short distance with isobars aligned perfectly perpendicular from west to east across the area. This really aids in producing strong winds. When we watch for possible windstorms we utilize the PDX(Portland) to EUG(Eugene) pressure gradient. Typically anything over -6mb leads to gusty winds and anything exceeding that can lead to damaging winds. In this case the PDX-EUG gradient far exceeds this at -11 to -13mb. In fact, the gradient is steepest between Portland and Salem at -7 to -8mb. This would likely lead to a quick hitting 2-3 hour damaging wind storm with gusts 60mph+ for PDX metro. This is a long ways away, so let's keep an eye on future model runs to see if they are similarly showing the wind storm potential. 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 Day 5 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 14 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Between the leaves and brittleness, it probably won’t be pretty. Survival of the fittest! I think we can all agree, as long as Tim's Japanese maples survive, all is well. 2 3 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 Luckily palm trees hold up very well in strong winds 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 I like windstorms. Currently 46 degrees! 1 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 Just now, MossMan said: I like windstorms. Currently 46 degrees! Fireplace roaring? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 Day 6 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kokaneekidz Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: That situation on Tuesday is pretty fascinating. That would probably be a big snowfall even 4 to 6 weeks from now. Excellent low trajectory 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 2 hours ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: You might be right. If we average 56/44 over the next 11 days, we will beat the record by .1 degrees. I think we’re going to break the record, but it’s certainly not a given like you said. 44 is probably optimistically chilly 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 I ended up with .13" with that brief burst of rain tonight. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 9 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Fireplace roaring? It will be this weekend! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 4 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: 44 is probably optimistically chilly We're talking about NW flow, but it is PDX. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I ended up with .13" with that brief burst of rain tonight. Better than I expected. What's rain like? Is it still wet? I wouldn't know down here in PDX. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, MossMan said: It will be this weekend! Can't wait to fire up my stove. I have some bone dry wood to burn this winter. 4 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 Just now, Gradient Keeper said: Better than I expected. What's rain like? Is it still wet? I wouldn't know down here in PDX. It made my fluffy orange cat very soggy and cold to the touch. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 Nice signal for so far out. 5 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 00z GEFS. Wet! 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 Day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 28 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: We're talking about NW flow, but it is PDX. For a few days sure. Euro shows plenty of southerly flow after the middle of next week. With active frontal boundaries directed at BC and Washington, Oregon could end up mostly on that warmer and drier side of things. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted October 21, 2022 Author Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 We did pick up 0.01” here yesterday pleased to report the smoke is gone. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 We got a few drops earlier, but it is quite clear out now. Very little smoke. Will we get some thunder in the next couple of days? That would be cool. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 57 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: I think we can all agree, as long as Tim's Japanese maples survive, all is well. Jesse’s been up there every other day watering and saying sweet nurturing things to them ever since the spigot turned off in mid June. Exceptional considering gas prices. 1 5 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 Night shift? 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Night shift? Maybe. I have to get up early to beat the rain cleaning out the gutters and patio cover again thanks to the east wind event last weekend. Sure glad I did it last Thursday for no reason. 6z GFS in 2 hours 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 Significant improvement now across PDX metro! Finally! 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 Canadian ensembles was a soaker. I doubt this verifies, but who knows. 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 The bad air gets less and less! Now it is centralized within the central Puget Sound only. The last place clean onshore air has reached! Portland is mostly all in the green again, but further down the Willamette Valley, conditions vary from unhealthy, unhealthy for sensitive groups, and moderate. We made it everyone. We're almost there. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 2 minutes ago, NWbyNW said: The bad air gets less and less! Now it is centralized within the central Puget Sound only. The last place clean onshore air has reached! Portland is mostly all in the green again, but further down the Willamette Valley, conditions vary from unhealthy, unhealthy for sensitive groups, and moderate. We made it everyone. We're almost there. Thanks! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 Temperatures are gonna start getting cool! So excited. Also RAIN! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 10 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Thanks! You are welcome. Oh! It's you (DJ)! You changed your name since this afternoon! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 19 minutes ago, NWbyNW said: You are welcome. Oh! It's you (DJ)! You changed your name since this afternoon! I recognized the "C'mon!" instantly. It's been trademarked. 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 Marked improvement with the air quality here. Sub 100 and moderate. Can’t wait for it to be completely gone…. Good riddance. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 35 minutes ago, NWbyNW said: You are welcome. Oh! It's you (DJ)! You changed your name since this afternoon! Yup! I changed it a few hours ago! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 21, 2022 Report Share Posted October 21, 2022 15 minutes ago, Dave said: I recognized the "C'mon!" instantly. It's been trademarked. Yeah LOL. I'm not sure which year I started that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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