Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 Day 5 (Past 4 runs) Now where does this run go from here. A few possibilities. Atmospheric River, another cold trough, or ridge floats towards us. Model comparison - ECMWF, GEM, GFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 Day 6 (Past 4 runs) Model comparison - ECMWF, GEM, GFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 00z GFS vs GEFS Model comparison. GEFS holds a pretty strong signal for a block over Alaska and southeast/eastern US. GFS GEFS 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 Back to the EURO. Day 7 (Past 4 runs) Model comparison - ECMWF, GEM, GFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 40 minutes ago, JBolin said: There are still signs of the absolutely massive Hatchery Creek fire (July 27, 1994) in Tumwater canyon between Coles Corner and Leavenworth. Nearly 150K acres burned before it was finally extinguished by mother nature. Included image is from US-2 just east of the Swiftwater Picnic area and just before the local sheriff's office closed the road. who would stand next to a forest fire tf 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 18 minutes ago, MillCreekMike said: Here’s to a good winter!! Bought a condo with my now wife in downtown Everett over the summer so I’m hoping for some amazing convergence zone activity this year! It’s coming.. Congratulations !!! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 00z GEFS. Lookie there! Chilly members showing up long range. Hmmm! Seattle 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 The ECMWF run looks like the best one yet for a legit cold night the middle of next week. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: 00z GEFS. Lookie there! Chilly members showing up long range. Hmmm! Seattle So it begins. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 4 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 8 That just reeks of potnential. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 Day 9'er 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 Just now, snow_wizard said: That just reeks of potnential. I see a lot of that ahead. Models could be quite intriguing on Halloween 00z! C'MON!!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 10 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: who would stand next to a forest fire tf Right? I just googled [Has Gary Coleman ever seen a forest fire] and no results. Not a single one. HOWEVER, this is mighty interesting. Tell me this isn't a sign. It's creepy like wtf. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 Ah lawd I do crack myself up! 6z GFS in 2 hours 40 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 Back to the jaw dropping EURO! Day 10..... Wow. SO much potential as we move into November folks! 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
selkirks Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 7 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Back to the jaw dropping EURO! Day 10..... Wow. SO much potential as we move into November folks! Insane blocking. I hope that's a theme this winter. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 53 minutes ago, MillCreekMike said: BTW for those that have been discussing it; WestSeattleWx is back on Twitter again. That guy has done this dozens of times over the years. Whenever he does that, always expect to see him active again within the next couple days. It sounds like the guy has some serious issues though. I hope he properly deals with that. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 C'mon EPS deliver! DO IT!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 31 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Right? I just googled [Has Gary Coleman ever seen a forest fire] and no results. Not a single one. HOWEVER, this is mighty interesting. Tell me this isn't a sign. It's creepy like wtf. He was a tiny terror. Don't you dare pinch his cheeks and ask for an autograph. He looks guilty in those photographs. Somebody pushed homeboy too far. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 If the models are right, highs next week will struggle to get out of the 40s in the Puget Sound. 2 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 48 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: C'mon EPS deliver! DO IT!!!! Best run yet. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: Best run yet. Oh? Please do share. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 1 hour ago, SouthHillFrosty said: who would stand next to a forest fire tf Ummm, those folks, b/c there was NO twatter, instacrap, sit-on-my-facebook, whapchat, or any other instant "look at this s***" platform in 1994. You either saw it in person or took a photo and waited a week to tell your "amazing, awesome" story, BRO. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 The GEFS and EPS both have the PNA and EPO solidly minus for week two now. No doubt that would mean cold. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: Oh? Please do share. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: That just reeks of potnential. You shouldn't talk about Tim like that. Oops, my bad, you said POTENTIAL, nvm. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: This...does...not...suck. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Slide that block a bit ---> and dig that trough, then we could see an early November cold shot! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 5 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Slide that block a bit ---> and dig that trough, then we could see an early November cold shot! The control has been pretty cold on recent runs. Certainly a decent shot it will set up right. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 2 hours ago, MillCreekMike said: BTW for those that have been discussing it; WestSeattleWx is back on Twitter again. That guy has done this dozens of times over the years. Whenever he does that, always expect to see him active again within the next couple days. You sure about that? The account is still deactivated. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 1 hour ago, JSnowlin said: You sure about that? The account is still deactivated. He just deactivated again.. As I said before, he's done this quite a few times over the course of his time on this platform. He was on Twitter posting a lot of stuff today from personal stuff (he did gave an insight on why he made the decision to deactivate) to Wx related stuff... then poof, gone again. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brennan Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 Old Farmers Almanac calls for snow and cold weather in the PNW in early to mid November... I think... Lines up with long range models... IT IS HAPPENING! 2 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 1 hour ago, Brennan said: Old Farmers Almanac calls for snow and cold weather in the PNW in early to mid November... I think... Lines up with long range models... IT IS HAPPENING! So you no longer live in SC? I am confused. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 Models show that band of heavy rain clearing the Seattle area by mid-morning and most of the day and tomorrow look dry and pleasant. Then warm front drizzle on Sunday. SEA should end the month around +3 and much drier than normal. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 5 hours ago, JSnowlin said: Ummm, those folks, b/c there was NO twatter, instacrap, sit-on-my-facebook, whapchat, or any other instant "look at this s***" platform in 1994. You either saw it in person or took a photo and waited a week to tell your "amazing, awesome" story, BRO. Where do i find the sit-on-my-facebook? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 5 hours ago, snow_wizard said: Not quite there yet. Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 28, 2022 Report Share Posted October 28, 2022 Ag Weather update yesterday talked about the beginning of the end of the Nina starting now as the trade winds weaken and the AAM increases. They are thinking the jet stream will become much more active later in November with a deep Bering Sea trough forming and storms ejecting storms into the West. We will see. 4 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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