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October 2022 PNW weather Discussion. + Ultimate Leg Reveal Extravaganza


TacomaWx

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19 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Beautiful sunny morning Corvallis, low of 34. So close to a freeze!

Ditto. The very top of our cars started to freeze but not on the windows. The low dropped to 33.9 here this am...so close.

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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6 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

Looks like the new GFS will be onboard at the end of November.  I know some paid sites have it now.

Not sure how to upload a pdf, so I just print screened the announcement 

 

Screenshot_20221027-105721_Samsung Notes.jpg

Is it on WB yet? If not then hopefully soon.

Hopefully will be better than the FV3 or MFR.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 20 (Most recent: Feb 13, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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11 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Is it on WB yet? If not then hopefully soon.

Hopefully will be better than the FV3 or MFR.

Don't know about WB but I just found it on weathermodels.com sort of hidden and I didn't know they had it until now.  Harder to use until it gets to be the operational 

Here is day 7 on the new one:

image.png

And day 7 of the current.  

 

 

 

 

image.png

Edited by Brian_in_Leavenworth
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50F and not a cloud in the sky. Beautiful fall day. Trees are all still green and not much falling at all. Weird shitt.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 20 (Most recent: Feb 13, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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39 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

Looks like the new GFS will be onboard at the end of November.  I know some paid sites have it now.

Not sure how to upload a pdf, so I just print screened the announcement 

 

Screenshot_20221027-105721_Samsung Notes.jpg

“GFS overestimates the accumulated snow depth for mixed precipitation events with marginal temperatures…” Ya don’t say!

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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4 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

“GFS overestimates the accumulated snow depth for mixed precipitation events with marginal temperatures…” Ya don’t say!

You know the model sucks (esp for our microclimates) when it says that in the description.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 20 (Most recent: Feb 13, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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3 hours ago, Kolk1604 said:

To all the east weather weenies! 

La Nina conditions--which bring colder and wetter than normal conditions to our region, particularly after the New Year-- have strengthened and the NOAA Climate Prediction Center keeps La Nina around into mid-winter (see below). 

Picture1.png

I would love a transition year to neutral next year.  One more year of potential mayhem before El Nino rages.

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1 minute ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Is it me or is today super dark?  Went to an eye exam at 10 and coming home around 11 it looked almost like dusk and not mid day.

It’s pretty gloomy here in Vancouver, too. Had to turn a few lights on about a half hour ago.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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24 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

50F and not a cloud in the sky. Beautiful fall day. Trees are all still green and not much falling at all. Weird shitt.

Beautiful sunshine here as well. I have noticed the leaves are finally looking more fall-like and are flying off trees today. 

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2 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Is it me or is today super dark?  Went to an eye exam at 10 and coming home around 11 it looked almost like dusk and not mid day.

Definitely not dark here. Brilliant sunshine in New Fresno.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 20 (Most recent: Feb 13, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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2 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Is it me or is today super dark?  Went to an eye exam at 10 and coming home around 11 it looked almost like dusk and not mid day.

Its become much brighter here over the last couple of hours.    Seeing peaks of sun at times as well now.   

The region is very split today with perfect sunshine to the south and clouds/rain to the north and west.   Typical warm conveyor belt set up.    

COD-GOES-West-subregional-Pac_NW.02.20221027.185617-over=map-bars=.gif

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Looks like we got down to 49 this morning 60 and breezy this morning first time we’ve hit 60 since 10/20. 
 Were at 1.10” of rain so far this month but the grass still hasn’t started greening up really. That might start to accelerate with the upcoming ARs and moist warm rainfall. 

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2023-2024 cold season stats

Lowest Max-24

Lowest Min-13

Sub 40 Highs-8

Sub 32 Highs-3

Freezes-21

Rainfall MTD-0.11”

Rainfall (Since 10/1)- 25.29”

Total snowfall-TR.

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Don’t see any smoke this afternoon…thank god that’s over. We have a clear look at some of the fresh snow in the Oregon/southern WA cascades for the first time really since the pattern shifted a week ago. Snow in NE Oregon ranges too. 

G18_sector_pnw_GEOCOLOR_24fr_20221027-1536.gif

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2023-2024 cold season stats

Lowest Max-24

Lowest Min-13

Sub 40 Highs-8

Sub 32 Highs-3

Freezes-21

Rainfall MTD-0.11”

Rainfall (Since 10/1)- 25.29”

Total snowfall-TR.

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54 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Its become much brighter here over the last couple of hours.    Seeing peaks of sun at times as well now.   

The region is very split today with perfect sunshine to the south and clouds/rain to the north and west.   Typical warm conveyor belt set up.    

COD-GOES-West-subregional-Pac_NW.02.20221027.185617-over=map-bars=.gif

Cliff Mass would keep track of the darkest days.

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Its become much brighter here over the last couple of hours.    Seeing peaks of sun at times as well now.   

The region is very split today with perfect sunshine to the south and clouds/rain to the north and west.   Typical warm conveyor belt set up.    

COD-GOES-West-subregional-Pac_NW.02.20221027.185617-over=map-bars=.gif

Yeah… cloudy Washington and sunny Oregon is not an uncommon pattern this time of year.

Think in one recent November (2018 or 2019) it was pretty much the default pattern.

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Definitely in the warm sector now... south wind has kicked in and its sunny.   And our Japanese Maples are turning now.    They usually hold their color for 3-4 weeks but usually start in late September so will probably be accelerated this year.  

20221027_131839.jpg

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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19 minutes ago, Doinko said:
 

500h_anom.na.png

 

500h_anom.na.png

 

500h_anom.na.png

 

The Euro looks pretty great at the end with the massive block in AK

The GFS's block is not as massive compared to the Euro, but it's a very strong one nonetheless. 

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Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

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1 hour ago, Tyler Mode said:

Just over two week difference...blowing dust ad smoke, to fresh snow!  It's a beautiful day around Portland!  Breezy south wind, 60 degrees.  Blue skies, fresh snow on the mountains.

10.15.22 MSH.jpeg

10.27.22 MSH.jpeg

It's a truly nice sunny day. Completely clean air without any lingering dust or smoke.

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14 minutes ago, Cloud said:

SEA is flirting with 60 today and will most likely ending the negative departure streak.

Today is already +3 in the books unless SEA drops well below 49 by midnight which seems impossible with the south wind roaring.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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