October 2022 PNW weather Discussion. + Ultimate Leg Reveal Extravaganza

[TigerWoodsLibido]

7 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

No problem. Well, DJ Droppin is my artist/producer name, so I thought it was time for a change something more fitting for this forum, and Gradient Keeper is one of my old names from years ago on the Fox 12 Weather Blog because of how often I would post pressure gradients.

00z GFS in 2 hours 2 minutes

Night shift tonight Rob?

[Gradient Keeper]

Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Night shift tonight Rob?

Hey buddy. It's the weekend, so it's possible.

00z ECMWF in 4 hours 2 minutes

[Gradient Keeper]

3 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

My family doesn't want to move there. The rest of them don't like cold and snow and I'm disabled with severe epilepsy so I can go long periods of time having seizures over and over, and I convulse into the fencing position on my side every night. If I turn onto my back then I will stop breathing. This most likely happened because when I was barely 2, my mom neglected me and I pushed a screen out a second story window, and I fell out the window too, onto my arms, knees and the left side of my head. My arms, legs, teeth and tongue hurt all the time. Our family lives in a one-room flat behind my mother in law's house and it's a miracle its still standing on a brick foundation. My bio family are sociopaths that I carry shame and embarrassment from because of their past and the fact that I am related to them makes me sick and makes my seizures worse. I struggled to make friends in school because of it and was largely an introvert as a result.

I've had 2 brain surgeries to put an implant down in to my brain and it helps make the seizures shorter and I'm incredibly grateful to the people that saved my life and they do the same for so many others. Along with my wife, her family, the kids and my scant few in-person friends my life is a very sad one, where typing out simple messages can sometimes take up to 30 mins because I keep forgetting words and my train of thought is constantly derailed, making work nigh impossible because of an inability to focus enough. Because of that, I haven't been able to find proper, repetitive work that I can support my family with, so that causes even further stress and a feedback loop. This forum is one of the few ways I'm able to focus and stay calm. My kids come over once every couple of weeks but otherwise it's just me and my wife's family here. Her sister lives in Indiana and I'd love to move there, but it's just not going to happen and I've come to the stage of hopelessness. Feels tough to pull one's self up by their bootstraps when there are no bootstraps to pull up. Family, sports and weather are the things that keep me going. Grateful to still be here because I could die any night. I may not have a lot of cold down here but my family and friends are wonderful and I'm grateful for the ability to chat with other people about the weather.

I can't even imagine what you go through, the daily struggles, and pain you endure. I can't. I read your comment here trying to do so, and I can't.  I've read about your story on ncaa.com website and it sheds more light on yourself and who you are. Man, you have an incredible collection of jerseys! I am glad you can find something you enjoy, the weather, this forum, sports, hey, in life we take whatever we can get to give us brighter moments amidst all of the rough times. You definitely have a lot of friends here buddy, and hopefully this Winter will be very memorable from Medford to British Columbia!

Think Cold and SNOW! C'MON!!!!

[TacomaWx]

39 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

I spoke with Phil a few days ago. He is doing okay currently taking time away right now due to personal and family issues. He'll be back soon.

Gotcha makes sense. Hope Mr.Acronym Science man is doing alright. 

[MWG]

3 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

TOUCHDOWN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

[TacomaWx]

58/49 today…0.16” this morning and 1.26” MTD. Might get a midnight low. Also running +3.9 degrees above normal this month 

[Terreboner]

4 minutes ago, MWG said:

Those maps is funny.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

8 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

I can't even imagine what you go through, the daily struggles, and pain you endure. I can't. I read your comment here trying to do so, and I can't.  I've read about your story on ncaa.com website and it sheds more light on yourself and who you are. Man, you have an incredible collection of jerseys! I am glad you can find something you enjoy, the weather, this forum, sports, hey, in life we take whatever we can get to give us brighter moments amidst all of the rough times. You definitely have a lot of friends here buddy, and hopefully this Winter will be very memorable from Medford to British Columbia!

Think Cold and SNOW! C'MON!!!!

I just read it too.  I had no idea.   Because we really don't know much about each other aside from weather.   Thanks for pointing that out to me.  I'm sorry he has suffered so much, but he is a real hero for his fight and for bringing awareness to his condition. 

[Dave]

6 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

The EC is pretty boring. We get all the way down to 37F on one morning and most of the rest of the days look above normal. That precip will likely get significantly reduced here or trend north. We just don't see significant rain or winter weather below freezing here anymore.

Just because it hasn't occurred in the last few years that is hardly credible evidence that anything has changed recently. 

In Dec 2013 we had 6 inches of snow that pretty much all fell in the 20's.

In Feb 2014 we had 10+ inches of snow. Some of it fell in the low 20's right in the middle of the day. I believe we had more snow than Tim that winter.

Jan 2017 we had snow fall at freezing and nearly had an amazing event. I believe we had around 16-20 hours worth of snowfall that didn't stick. We still got around 7".

Feb 2019 speaks for itself. Very heavy snow. The biggest in 50 years. It stuck to everything including all the roads. Huge ruts everywhere. Who cares if some of it fell at 33?

Feb 2022 was a lot of slushy snow that could have been better, but nothing to complain about. 

Btw, blowing snow is cool to see from a warm location, like inside a house but being out in it in person is cool for about one minute. It gets old very quickly. When I lived in Beaverton in 96, the blowing took all of my snow and I got stuck with maybe 2 inches. I walked around the neighborhood looking for it, but never was able to find it. I'm guessing it might still be in Hillsboro somewhere. 

[Doinko]

14 minutes ago, Dave said:

Just because it hasn't occurred in the last few years that is hardly credible evidence that anything has changed recently. 

In Dec 2013 we had 6 inches of snow that pretty much all fell in the 20's.

In Feb 2014 we had 10+ inches of snow. Some of it fell in the low 20's right in the middle of the day. I believe we had more snow than Tim that winter.

Jan 2017 we had snow fall at freezing and nearly had an amazing event. I believe we had around 16-20 hours worth of snowfall that didn't stick. We still got around 7".

Feb 2019 speaks for itself. Very heavy snow. The biggest in 50 years. It stuck to everything including all the roads. Huge ruts everywhere. Who cares if some of it fell at 33?

Feb 2022 was a lot of slushy snow that could have been better, but nothing to complain about. 

Btw, blowing snow is cool to see from a warm location, like inside a house but being out in it in person is cool for about one minute. It gets old very quickly. When I lived in Beaverton in 96, the blowing took all of my snow and I got stuck with maybe 2 inches. I walked around the neighborhood looking for it, but never was able to find it. I'm guessing it might still be in Hillsboro somewhere. 

Yeah during most of our snow events we get a strong east wind downsloping off of the west hills. I remember February 2014 had blizzard conditions for a few hours too. Sometimes I enjoy it but other times I'd rather have it accumulate more cleanly

[Kolk1604]

12Z Euro - end of the run. Plenty of Arctic air in Canada. Will we perhaps see that shift west in future runs? 

[Jbolin]

1 hour ago, Gradient Keeper said:

No problem. Well, DJ Droppin is my artist/producer name, so I thought it was time for a change something more fitting for this forum, and Gradient Keeper is one of my old names from years ago on the Fox 12 Weather Blog because of how often I would post pressure gradients.

00z GFS in 2 hours 2 minutes

Ha, no s***, me too. I figured JSnowlin (now), should at least help manifest a possible cold'ish January.

Anything's possible. Hell we might get really lucky and Rob's knee gives out, next thing you know we get a three day blizzard and hold an impromptu hockey scrimmage on the Columbia river

[Doinko]

5 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Yeah that would rival our January Wine Dine 1969 "Big Snow" where most locations in the south valley had 3'-4' of snow. Like a hallway in some areas where people were constantly shoveling.

In 2-25-19 some people around Drain, Elkton and other even more remote areas than that just melted snow and hunted for all their food. Was wild.

November 2022 southern Willamette Valley blizzard!

[Gradient Keeper]

18 minutes ago, JSnowlin said:

Ha, no s***, me too. I figured JSnowlin (now), should at least help manifest a possible cold'ish January.

Anything's possible. Hell we might get really lucky and Rob's knee gives out, next thing you know we get a three day blizzard and hold an impromptu hockey scrimmage on the Columbia river

I do like the JSnowlin. Well, I ain't playing goalie! Haha

00z GFS in 1 minute!!!!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

1 hour ago, Gradient Keeper said:

I can't even imagine what you go through, the daily struggles, and pain you endure. I can't. I read your comment here trying to do so, and I can't.  I've read about your story on ncaa.com website and it sheds more light on yourself and who you are. Man, you have an incredible collection of jerseys! I am glad you can find something you enjoy, the weather, this forum, sports, hey, in life we take whatever we can get to give us brighter moments amidst all of the rough times. You definitely have a lot of friends here buddy, and hopefully this Winter will be very memorable from Medford to British Columbia!

Think Cold and SNOW! C'MON!!!!

Thanks man. It means so much to have the support of so many people, including y'all. Thanks for helping lift my spirits when times are tough.

[Jbolin]

4 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

I do like the JSnowlin. Well, I ain't playing goalie! Haha

00z GFS in 1 minute!!!!

No joke, one hip check from the post and you're in rehab for the next three years. 

[Jbolin]

2 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Thanks man. It means so much to have the support of so many people, including y'all. Thanks for helping lift my spirits when times are tough.

Eh, no worries mate, we go yor back. And if ya ever need help about town we can always call ya a Roo-ber. (Australian Uber)

Wait, wtf did I go aussie all of a sudden? 

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS Day 1

[SouthHillFrosty]

2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

00z GFS Day 1

[RentonHill]

3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

We are way too optimistic way too early. Gonna blow our load on some chilly nights with mixed precip and warm roads and then get Judas'ed for Dec-Jan

[Jbolin]

6 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

00z GFS Day 1

What's up with that weak a** upper trough over the ARKLATEX? 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 2

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 3 (Past 8 runs). Yep, that's right, 8 runs. Why? 4 is for rookies.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Day 3 (Past 8 runs). Yep, that's right, 8 runs. Why? 4 is for rookies.

If only it could be the last 69 runs.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 4 (Past 8 runs)

[Jbolin]

5 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

Day 4 (Past 8 runs)

OH YEA!

[Deweydog]

This winter has been incredible.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 5 (Past 8 runs)

[NWbyNW]

Just wanted to point out the excellent amount of snowfall over the past 24hrs along the British Columbia Coast Range and into Alaska as well. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 6 (Past 8 runs)

[Gradient Keeper]

Oh ......

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 7 (Past 8 runs) You can see the major differences now and why anything beyond Day 6 is usually not reliable.

[Gradient Keeper]

Ohhh....

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 8

[Gradient Keeper]

Closer, but not there just yet. Need that block to develop bit further east....

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 9'er. You can see the definite potential ahead.

[RentonHill]

Watching this i get the same feeling of trying to punch someone in your dreams

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 10

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals

[Jbolin]

41 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

This winter has been incredible.

Checks calendar you're "right"