October 2022 PNW weather Discussion. + Ultimate Leg Reveal Extravaganza

[Randyc321]

11 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

I don't know what to say.  I can't even talk about a cold winter without people raking me over the coals.  It just seems kind of pointless for me to post here anymore.  I will even though it's not that much fun.  People will just have to ignore me if they want to I guess.

It blows my mind that people can't see how interesting it is to go from an endless warm pattern into a pattern that would bring an Arctic outbreak in the winter even if it pops back to warm again.

But, its not Winter

[Randyc321]

10 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

A 2-3 day soaking rain event would be more impressive in my opinion.    The dryness has been off the charts and does not look to change much.

This.

Rain now, cold later.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 hour ago, Dave said:

September 2021. This guy was on my couch while I was watching TV. That's a quarter there for reference. Yours does still look a little more stout though. 

 

Probably wolf spiders.

Envy. I haven’t had any beautiful large spiders in my home in years.

[Meatyorologist]

6 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

had one in a corner outside above our front door last year like that, stuck around until we had a low in the lower 30s in late october and poof was gone.  didn't come back this year so probably went somewhere and died.  (not sure what spider life spans are but this one looked old)

I poked mine for fun and it backed up like "wtf dude... " was gone by morning

[TT-SEA]

12Z GEFS is actually weaker and more progressive with the trough early next week than its 00Z run.    Something has to give... the operational runs are trending in the opposite direction as the ensembles and this is only 5 days away.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

49 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

had one in a corner outside above our front door last year like that, stuck around until we had a low in the lower 30s in late october and poof was gone.  didn't come back this year so probably went somewhere and died.  (not sure what spider life spans are but this one looked old)

Most spiders live but a season. Tarantulas can live for many years, but there are none of those in the PNW.

People tend to notice spiders most in the late summer and early autumn because they have had all season to grow and are therefore at maximum size (particularly the females, who tend to be larger).

[TT-SEA]

Huge difference between the GFS (top) and the GEFS (bottom) for Monday which is day 5.

 

[SouthHillFrosty]

Somebody needs to open a pest control company with all these spiders

[Rubus Leucodermis]

3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Somebody needs to open a pest control company with all these spiders

Spiders are pest control.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Huge difference between the GFS (top) and the GEFS (bottom) for Monday which is day 5.

 

The torching will continue until morale improves.

[Meatyorologist]

3 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Probably wolf spiders.

Envy. I haven’t had any beautiful large spiders in my home in years.

That one's Eratigena Atrica, otherwise known as the 'Giant House Spider'. And they get that name for a reason.... These gigantified, but quite harmless, cousins of the Hobo Spider can surpass 3" in length (I've seen one this big before, they can be truly intimidating.)

And just like the Hobo Spider, Eratigena Atrica migrated from England via cargo ships in the 19th century. Our very similar climate is ideal for them. In fact, our drier, warmer summers compared to England make the PNW an even more hospitable place for these critters. Again, they're completely harmless, and while technically invasive, they don't seem to be placing any undue strain on the ecosystem. Oh and they're kind of an anti-bug cheat code for the inside of your home. Love these guys...super useful and honestly quite fun to observe.

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

The torching will continue until morale improves.

The GEFS is not biting at all... in fact its going the opposite direction.    It does not even show 850mb temps going below normal at all early next week.   It just sends that trough eastward without cutting off.

 

[ShawniganLake]

7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Huge difference between the GFS (top) and the GEFS (bottom) for Monday which is day 5.

 

The ensembles actually warmed some.  Operational is now well on the cold side of the mean. 

[TT-SEA]

9 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

The ensembles actually warmed some.  Operational is now well on the cold side of the mean. 

Yeah... by mid-week the GEFS has the trough centered over Minnesota with another ridge out here.  

 

[RentonHill]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Yeah... by mid-week the GEFS has the trough centered over Minnesota with another ridge out here.  

I bet Euro backs off and its ends up somewhere in between

[Omegaraptor]

19 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

That one's Eratigena Atrica, otherwise known as the 'Giant House Spider'. And they get that name for a reason.... These gigantified, but quite harmless, cousins of the Hobo Spider can surpass 3" in length (I've seen one this big before, they can be truly intimidating.)

And just like the Hobo Spider, Eratigena Atrica migrated from England via cargo ships in the 19th century. Our very similar climate is ideal for them. In fact, our drier, warmer summers compared to England make the PNW an even more hospitable place for these critters. Again, they're completely harmless, and while technically invasive, they don't seem to be placing any undue strain on the ecosystem. Oh and they're kind of an anti-bug cheat code for the inside of your home. Love these guys...super useful and honestly quite fun to observe.

I saw a Giant House Spider in my house last November. It was at least 2” long. Also worth noting that they are among the fastest spiders.

[ShawniganLake]

16 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

I saw a Giant House Spider in my house last November. It was at least 2” long. Also worth noting that they are among the fastest spiders.

[Phil]

58 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Spiders are pest control.

Yup. As long as they stay in the basement boiler room we let them be (they probably get in thru the piping to the outside, generally don’t hang around inside much anyway).

Haven’t seen a cricket or a roach down there in awhile.

[Phil]

Btw the one in my pic is a wolf spider. These motherf**kers are lightning fast. Can catch jumping crickets with little effort.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Operational GFS was nice for that one trough, still no real pattern change. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

11 minutes ago, Phil said:

Yup. As long as they stay in the basement boiler room we let them be (they probably get in thru the piping to the outside, generally don’t hang around inside much anyway).

Haven’t seen a cricket or a roach down there in awhile.

Spiders are welcome in any room of my home!

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Only down to 55F here last night. Cloudy morning now and 57F.

[Phil]

That’s a lot of dry. New Mexico is the oasis.

[TacomaWx]

Euro still looks like it’ll be kinda snowy and cold in montana/Wyoming…but not very crazy by their standards. Temps on the 2m euro don’t look very extreme. Feeling more confident about going to Yellowstone and being able to enjoy a bit of snow along the way. I’m sure the models will probably trend towards the ensembles and be weaker too with the front. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

13 minutes ago, Phil said:

That’s a lot of dry. New Mexico is the oasis.

[TacomaWx]

18 minutes ago, Phil said:

That’s a lot of dry. New Mexico is the oasis.

Interested to see what happens on the EPS. Looks snowy across the inter mountain west all the way down into New Mexico. 

[TT-SEA]

12Z EPS still does not look very impressive with the trough early next week... just skims on by and ridging builds back in without significant cold air getting into the PNW.

 

[Anti Marine Layer]

How exciting

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said:

How exciting

It will turn sunny this afternoon... and be sunny starting even earlier tomorrow through the weekend.

[Gradient Keeper]

Me. Every. Single. Time. If they are inside I get the vacuum. Thankfully we've only had small to medium sized bastards inside this Summer. A TON of those little tiny suckers. No giant house or wolf spiders since we had new screens put in the windows tightly fitting. It's really nice to be able to sleep knowing they can't crawl around the window screens anymore. I HATE SPIDERS

00z ECMWF in 10 hours 14 minutes

[Phishy Wx]

Jim jinxed the shiit outta that trough lol

[TT-SEA]

12Z EPS... don't see a pattern change yet. 

[Phishy Wx]

lol

 

oof

[TacomaWx]

27 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z EPS... don't see a pattern change yet. 

Augtober is gonna change to fogtober. 

[Cloud]

13 hours ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Wonder when the models will come back to their senses and show us with 580+ heights/850mb temps of 15-20c from now until the end of time.

My guess is tomorrow.

Ouch... Jesse called it. lol 

[Gradient Keeper]

41 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

Jim jinxed the shiit outta that trough lol

So did I apparently. In fact, I might be more to blame than Jim.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said:

So did I apparently. In fact, I might be more to blame than Jim.

“It is never too late for a last-minute rug pull.”

[Cloud]

1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

“It is never too late for a last-minute rug pull.”

We're no longer doing rug pulls on cold and snow.... we're straight up pulling rugs on troughs in what's supposed to be rainy season. 

[Gradient Keeper]

1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

“It is never too late for a last-minute rug pull.”

I think I just didn't believe enough. I guess.

18z GFS in 1 hour

[Cloud]

All Hail Prince GFS. 

HAHA!