December 2016 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest
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2118
May 2024 Pacific Northwest Weather
Looks like the 12z GFS is going with a quicker crash later this week, with Thursday being cool now. Nice to see and hopefully the other models follow this. Also shows today and tomorrow being close to the same temp in the Portland area. So upper 70s although it wouldn’t surprise me to see PDX pull off a rogue 80 one of the days. -
1177
2024-2025 California and Southwest Weather Thread
Looks like the cloud deck is not as thick this morning even with a deeper marine layer. -
7812
Polite Politics
I am hearing that we could have some similarities to 1968 in terms of DNC -
7812
Polite Politics
This is not anything like 2016. Trump was still relatively unknown in the political sphere, with many voters unsure how he would ultimately act and carry himself as president. This allowed for a bit of a "well maybe he'll change his attitude once he has the gravity of the presidential office around him" that more moderate voters convinced themselves as they held their nose and voted for him. Pair that unknown quantity with a Hillary Clinton campaign that figured they could just coast to victory because surely nobody would vote for that crazy guy over there, and you have yourself a good recipe for a surprise electoral whalloping. There will be no real surprises here. Biden and Trump are known quantities. Their strengths, their weaknesses, their temperaments, how they govern, their base of support. It's all pretty much baked in at this point. The only possibility for a surprise is third party candidates and whether RFK will play spoiler to one or the other. That being said, there is always the hubub around third parties in the run-up to the election but rarely do they end up actually making a difference. One could argue Jill Stein spoiled some typical Blue Wall states in 2016 but again, I'd place the majority of that blame on Hillary Clinton being an incredibly uninspiring candidate and taking many votes for granted. To be clear: I'm not saying it couldn't happen, I'm saying it most likely won't. Biden is still the favorite to squeak out a win, in my book. My only hope is that a fourth election loss in a row will finally be enough to wake up my party so that we can move on from this toxic Trump brand. It's probably a pipe dream but it's about the only hope I have at this point.- 1
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7812
Polite Politics
I remember that, they went to sleep thinking that Hillary would sweep the election. Only to wake up that Trump won
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