PNW December 2022 - Part II

[Front Ranger]

11 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:

I think HIO hit 3F on 1/13/2017. The PDX low temp doesn't tell the story of just how cold a lot of the metro got that day. 

SEA's low temps definitely don't reflect how cold many places around Seattle metro have gotten since 2000, either. Neither are good decoupling spots.

[RentonHill]

ICON....

 

[MossMan]

Just now, Deweydog said:

About January????

MLK is coming fast!! 

[ShawniganLake]

22F. A little over an inch so far today. 

[Doinko]

14 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:

I think HIO hit 3F on 1/13/2017. The PDX low temp doesn't tell the story of just how cold a lot of the metro got that day. 

I don't think we got that cold because of a light east wind but that was a very cold week after an amazing snowstorm. How much snow did you end up with? We had around 13" with the big storm

[Jbolin]

2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

NWS is BULLISH

And yet for SEW, it's quite rare 

[The Cats Meow]

2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

About January????

January is going to torch. I already know that.

[TT-SEA]

32 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

January 20, 1954 seems like the best analog down here. Bit before most of our time. 

Interesting... it does look similar based on the Snoqualmie Falls data.    Very slow warm up with that one up here.    It was in the 30s for another week afterwards.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Just now, RentonHillTC said:

ICON....

 

Yup. It’s a notch north this run. Anymore and we are screwed. Could be already 

[Meatyorologist]

ICON is ROCK SOLID

[Meatyorologist]

Just now, SouthHillFrosty said:

Yup. It’s a notch north this run. Anymore and we are screwed. Could be already 

? Looks south and faster to me.

[Doinko]

Seattle will get a foot

[Phishy Wx]

[Hawksfan2008]

5 minutes ago, T-Town said:

 

NWS and the Icon 

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

? Looks south and faster to me.

I just noticed that too... I though the farther north and west version was the 12Z run.   

[RentonHill]

2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

? Looks south and faster to me.

 

[SouthHillFrosty]

1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

? Looks south and faster to me.

Should have clarified. The snow line a is a notch north (only for the south puget sound)

[GHweatherChris]

I am gonna go with 1 - 3" here, transition to rain/snow mid morning tomorrow and then just rain for a bit.  But should a bit of snow left on the ground after the precip ends.

[Hawksfan2008]

3 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

ICON is ROCK SOLID

That would be IDEAL. RGEM also snowier 

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Seattle will get a foot

It comes down to 1-2 degrees... but that could actually happen.    

[MossMan]

I’m going to shoot for the moon…I will get somewhere between 7-13”! Let’s go!! 

[KingstonWX]

30 here with a DP of 27. Light flurries just started. 

[Poulsbo Snowman]

21 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

imagine 30 years from now and those of us who are still alive (lol) will be all sitting around on whatever people sit around on on the internet in 2052 talking about the incredible ANAL LOG of December 2022.  top shelf

I would be about 90 then.  Not sure I'll be sitting around the internet the, but one never knows.

[MikeInEverett]

Hope this comes in a certain way to where the snow shadow won’t effect things up here as much. Some models are showing it more than others 

[BLI snowman]

5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Interesting... it does look similar based on the Snoqualmie Falls data.    Very slow warm up with that one up here.    It was in the 30s for another week afterwards.

Very intense cold onshore flow trough settled back in over the whole region between the 23rd and 26th. Dropped a ton of wet snow pretty much everywhere.

As a whole, that was a pretty epic and underrated two week stretch for much of the region. Kind of a poor man's December 2008. Back when mid to late January wasn't a perpetual pile of poo. 

[MWG]

oof this is sad lol

[Poulsbo Snowman]

17 minutes ago, JSnowlin said:

I keep hearing the term "south of seattle", what exactly does that mean with regard precip type (change)?

I understand there's a modicum of wiggle room in that inference but are we talking DT south, SeaTac south, Tacoma south etc? 

The warm nose/finger/tongue, depending on your preference, seems to be from about SEATAC south.  But it could be as far south as Tacoma, leaving Seattle in the snow.  Really is going to depend on where the low lands.   It won't mean much for where I live, but it will mean everything to those who live in other places.  

[Lynnwoodweather]

12 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

King 5 is showing the rain/snow line getting right up to I-90 tomorrow morning. It’s going to be close with this!

That can't be Rich Marriott's forecast

[Snownerd3000]

18 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

I've called the your employer, the police, and your mother.

 

 

..To wish them a merry Christmas! And to tell them about the ***** ******** *** **** ** in your basement

Buster vibes from you. Such a potty mouth 

[Cold Snap]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

It comes down to 1-2 degrees... but that could actually happen.    

If it does and at least 7.9 inches falls after midnight, SEA will get another top 10 snowiest day only two winters after having one. That would be quite impressive since the last top 10 snowfall before the Feb 2021 one was in Nov 1985. I’m pretty sure the two day total was in the top 15 for two day totals.

[lowlandsnow]

I think it's a good sign NWS Seattle is bullish given they are normally very pessimistic

[High Desert Mat?]

22 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Nws has this transition figured out! 

Where’s central Oregons Andrew!!!!!!!!

[RentonHill]

Weeklies - i'll delete if someone else posted I missed it

[BLI snowman]

1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said:

Weeklies - i'll delete if someone else posted I missed it

Really is like clockwork with the month that shall not be named.

[GHweatherChris]

Awesome, 35 degrees here, light E wind, 925 temps between -3 and -4, and it is drizzling.

[Meatyorologist]

If anything is a consolation, the ICON is the most on point temp wise this afternoon.

[xfkirsten]

35 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Has anyone covered how much of a mess the roads are going to be despite any potential warm up then crashing temps?  I predict lots of spin outs.

As someone who is supposed to drive up to Snoqualmie tonight, tomorrow night, and Wednesday night... that is the part that I am dreading.

I have a Civic.

[WildrootParable]

Our dusty flurries just stopped after going all morning. Still holding at 30 degrees. I don't know enough to have informed hunches about the weather, but it really feels like it's gearing up for something, out there. It's like a deep breath. Weird feeling. 

...as if it wasn't difficult enough trying to get things done the week before Christmas. 

[MossMan]

3 minutes ago, xfkirsten said:

As someone who is supposed to drive up to Snoqualmie tonight, tomorrow night, and Wednesday night... that is the part that I am dreading.

I have a Civic.

That might be rough going. You will most likely need to chain up. 

[Poulsbo Snowman]

I really need everyone to stop posting for a while.  It's hard to focus on my work while I read all of this stuff.  Everyone, take a break for a bit, then come back.  The show doesn't start until after dark.