PNW December 2022 - Part II

[RentonHill]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

If the Seattle area can hang onto that cold pocket like the GFS is showing... wow this going to be huge.    Seattle could get more snow that my area.    That is impressive.   This is going to be crazy to track tomorrow morning.   It all comes so fast too.   

i'm supposed to go see Moulin Rouge tomorrow night. Idk how to break it to my wife that it will be....potentially unwise.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

4 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

would be a good time to go to Costa Rica or something.  cause we ain't missing anything here

I have trips to Sacramento, Newport,

and Tulsa planned so it’s good

to know I won’t miss anything. In fact I get back from Tulsa on the 30th, great opportunity to take a day of rest then dig in for the onshore snow flow snow fest. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

32 minutes ago, MWG said:

oof this is sad lol

Hit up crater lake for a dusting 

[Hawksfan2008]

8 minutes ago, lowlandsnow said:

That's the 6z

My bad! Here’s the 12z 

[Brennan]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

18Z GFS shows that little warm spike... but its actually more focused out here than in Seattle.   Either way it crashes hard with the heavy precip during the late morning.

Snow and 12* in Bellingham. We were in that ballpark on December 27th 1996. Snowfall ratios up here will be fantastic. Should have blizzard conditions in most of the county.  

[dhoffine]

46 minutes ago, T-Town said:

 

I hate this picture, I think Enumclaw is in the yellow, but I can never tell  lol

[SouthHillFrosty]

Can’t remember the last time we had a stark snow line like that over Tacoma 

[yellowstone]

3 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said:

My bad! Here’s the 12z 

Even better!

[Christensen87]

North Bend going to get buried. 

[Requiem]

I am more than willing to watch Seattle get another blockbuster snowstorm if that late-week event is as potent as modeled.

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Can’t remember the last time we had a stark snow line like that over Tacoma 

And this is for an event tomorrow... not some map out past 7 days.    Pretty crazy.  

[smerfylicious]

Warmed up to 34 here and never dropped lower than 29 last night. Still flurrying here, I'm sure that added precip kept the temps more stable than thought.

Up to 3" and getting ready for tomorrow

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

8 minutes ago, MossMan said:

The BIG ONE is coming!!!!! 

Been telling you fukers for over a week lol..

[Ice_is_Everywhere]

Waiting is so d*mn hard.

[Terreboner]

4 minutes ago, dhoffine said:

I hate this picture, I think Enumclaw is in the yellow, but I can never tell  lol

Here are some better pictures for those that haven't found this.

 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

And this is for an event tomorrow... not some map out past 7 days.    Pretty crazy.  

That is almost a perfect line like 1996 had. This one is further south

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Christensen87 said:

North Bend going to get buried. 

Not sure.   Models show the warm nose more prominently in the foothills tomorrow morning.   Its possible that Seattle gets more than North Bend.    We probably still get 6-8 inches but I don't think this is a North Bend special because there is not an east wind tomorrow.

[TacomaWx]

I think here atleast in Tacoma tomorrow we should get some snow (Tr.-2”) before we transition over to rain…then switch over to snow and maybe some more accumulation on the backside. It should be really interesting being in the battleground. Get the feeling there’s potential that the snow on the backside ends up being the main event. 

[MikeInEverett]

I’m getting butterflies from the excitement lol

[Requiem]

I have noticed the models seem a bit more gung-ho about that late-week transition event. Definitely could either be a cool little snow event or a nasty ice storm-- more likely a mix of the two.

[MikeInEverett]

Also, I’m a 2nd assistant at Safeway so I’m gonna be dealing with callouts galore but whatever. SNOW!!!

[Doinko]

Huge sleet storm on this run. Temps in the mid teens in Portland as well

[yellowstone]

2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I think here atleast in Tacoma tomorrow we should get some snow (Tr.-2”) before we transition over to rain…then switch over to snow and maybe some more accumulation on the backside. It should be really interesting being in the battleground. Get the feeling there’s potential that the snow on the backside ends up being the main event. 

Agreed. Even here where I expect only a couple hours of rain, the snowfall rates at the end look awesome!  

[Doinko]

 

 

[SnowPlz]

Making chicken stew, cleaned the whole place, going to watch football and bake cookies later while we wait for the storm. These are the times I’ll think about when I’m old and be happy. 

[Poulsbo Snowman]

30 degrees and very light snow.  I really love the NWS sensor around the corner from my house.  I live right behind Poulsbo Middle School.  II often compare it with my weather station.  We are almost always in sync.

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F4468&hours=72

[jakerepp]

I just want to wish you all 'Good luck'.

But I'm not counting on you, personally.

[Poulsbo Snowman]

12 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

I got my speedo ready for streaking 

IF you're wearing speedo, you're not streaking.  

[Cloud]

Gotta zoom out a little bit to do the rates... there is a period where it's close to 1"/hr on the GFS for Seattle... 

Pretty insane stuff. 

[jakerepp]

Jackpot for me

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, yellowstone said:

Agreed. Even here where I expect only a couple hours of rain, the snowfall rates at the end look awesome!  

Yeah I think tomorrow ends up being good here despite likely warming up in the mid part of the event. There’s still that outside chance it goes far enough south that we stay all snow…but right now I think that’s unlikely. Hopefully we can cool down and have enough precip at the end for a decent snowfall. 

[TT-SEA]

Models had been delaying the transition event to late Friday but have since accelerated it again to Thursday afternoon.   Hopefully that means a better chance of mostly snow for the transition... but that might be wishful thinking.

[Requiem]

1 minute ago, jakerepp said:

Jackpot for me

Classic snow/ice event for the PDX metro-- cold air hangs on as ice continues in the easterly-exposed areas.

[GHweatherChris]

Light snow!

[snow maniac]

Very fine light snow falling here now.

[Gummy]

I am really hoping for a 'let's take a look at the WRF map - told ya so' blog post from Cliff tomorrow.

[Hawksfan2008]

11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Not sure.   Models show the warm nose more prominently in the foothills tomorrow morning.   Its possible that Seattle gets more than North Bend.    We probably still get 6-8 inches but I don't think this is a North Bend special because there is not an east wind tomorrow.

Precip is really focused out here once the airmass cools down and then there’s a pretty persistent convergence zone. I think that will make up for the warm period. 

[T-Town]

15 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Can’t remember the last time we had a stark snow line like that over Tacoma 

Just your typical Pt Defiance special. 

[Terreboner]

3 minutes ago, Requiem said:

Classic snow/ice event for the PDX metro-- cold air hangs on as ice continues in the easterly-exposed areas.

Ice may hang on until Christmas day in east counties.  I hope everybody who can takes the hint and travels on Thursday.  I'm sure a lot of people aren't even getting Friday off though.  It is going to be crazy on the roads this holiday weekend for sure.  Grab your popcorn and tune into KATU, KOIN, KGW, and KPTV for all the fun!!!!

[Jbolin]

30 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

Lol I'm fairly certain there are none of those coming.

Not even a Jelly of the month club membership?