Omegaraptor Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 17 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I am sure March and April will be non-stop storms and mountain snow. If it goes on and on like last spring again I may have to make a trip to southern Oregon. Been a while. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Cheer up, Day 13 of the Druncle is shaping up! Obviously it's a lock, it's coming, and it's a MBG! Gonna be a long week 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 1 minute ago, RentonHill said: Gonna be a long week Yep, and not for the reasons we'd hope for. Ah well at least we'll see more sun than rain. I think. Fairly sure. I think. 00z GFS in 4 hours 29 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 Beautiful day, very cool. Was 33F at 10am. Currently at 39F under clear skies and sunshine. I spotted this fellow out in my backyard. Don't see him? Here, let's try again. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 But Wait.... ....There's MORE! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 Negativity at Larch! https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=TR951 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 1 minute ago, NWbyNW said: Beautiful day, very cool. Was 33F at 10am. Currently at 39F under clear skies and sunshine. I spotted this fellow out in my backyard. Don't see him? Here, let's try again. Now that's a score! Majestic sight. That right there improves the day. Every single time. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: Negativity at Larch! https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=TR951 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 High of 37 here so far, down to 36 now. Shame PDX hit 40 today. Could have scored all three winter months with sub-40 highs with some chilly weather possible in February. At least other spots might do it, including here. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 11 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: If it goes on and on like last spring again I may have to make a trip to southern Oregon. Been a while. Hopefully we will wait ten years again for another cool and wet spring 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 56 minutes ago, Phil said: The precursor patterns were strong in 2017/18, 2018/19, and 2020/21. All culminated a major SSW events that culminated in bonafide “blocking” patterns that redirected RWTs, which is how they delivered in the PNW and elsewhere across the NH. There is nothing even remotely close to that going forward. To the contrary, the upcoming NH pattern will help strengthen the PV/TPV and lock up the arctic airmass in the high latitudes. Even though it’s a “cool” pattern for the west, it will become progressively less continental (and less cool in general) as the polar airmass gradually retracts. And may eventually end up warm/zonal altogether. The pattern may grow more favorable for upward wave driving during the second half of February, but that pattern itself is associated with warmth in the PNW/other places. So that pattern, should it manifest, will take at least a couple weeks to knock out the vortex, at which point we will be into March. Not ready to close the curtain just yet, but it’s getting close. Assuming that February is toast, this will go down as a pretty warm and abysmal winter overall nationally. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 5 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: But Wait.... ....There's MORE! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 41 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I am sure March and April will be non-stop storms and mountain snow. Probably so. I have very mixed feelings on that. I have gotten to the point where spring is by far my least favorite time of year. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 Just now, RentonHill said: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 4 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: Assuming that February is toast, this will go down as a pretty warm and abysmal winter overall nationally. I think Feb has a good shot. We always knew January would take some serious luck. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 16 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: If it goes on and on like last spring again I may have to make a trip to southern Oregon. Been a while. Apparently a rapidly re-strengthening Nina is the kiss of death for spring... lets avoid that. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 3 hours ago, TT-SEA said: Really nice signal at the end of the 12Z EPS. where have I seen this before? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 Looks like 38 will be it here today. Nice solid chill. It certainly appears there will be some teens tonight. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 2 minutes ago, Terreboner2 said: Good thunderstorms over here!!! A high of 16 so far today. Looks like we will make a run at below zero tonight. Yeah....the climate over there is so much better. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 3 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: where have I seen this before? And here we are in a cold snap. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 57 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said: I don't know when this will turn around, but the Washington Cascades are still significantly below average precipitation for every period from the last 7 days to the last 12 months. They're 15-25"+ below normal in the last six months (shown below). Hoping that eventually the storm train returns for Feb-April. I can smell the wildfire smoke already. gross 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Apparently a rapidly re-strengthening Nina is the kiss of death for spring... lets avoid that. I think the best bet for an enjoyable spring and summer might be going to neutral. That is very much on the table right now. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 1 minute ago, Phishy Wx said: I can smell the wildfire smoke already. gross That map is actually getting close to fulfilling long term drought criteria for the NW 1/4 of WA. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I think Feb has a good shot. We always knew January would take some serious luck. It may well be a cooler than average month in this region, but that doesn't always mean much. By late February coolish onshore flow can easily give us cold anomalies. After this week there's no signs of another pattern favorable for driving arctic air into the region. Nationally it's pretty clear that barring a freak March, this will be a very mild and snow deprived winter for almost everywhere. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: And here we are in a cold snap. garden variety. has moderated from forecasts 4 or 5 days ago. started as highs in the mid teens and lows below zero, yet here we are IMBY at 22 after a low last night of 9. should get a little colder tonight but I doubt it gets much below 5 above IMBY 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 21 minutes ago, NWbyNW said: Beautiful day, very cool. Was 33F at 10am. Currently at 39F under clear skies and sunshine. I spotted this fellow out in my backyard. Don't see him? Here, let's try again. I was going to post about an eagle I saw here earlier today as well. It was enjoying soaring with the breeze today. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 1 minute ago, Phishy Wx said: garden variety. has moderated from forecasts 4 or 5 days ago. started as highs in the mid teens and lows below zero, yet here we are IMBY at 22 after a low last night of 9. should get a little colder tonight but I doubt it gets much below 5 above IMBY 22/9 is pretty cold. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 10 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: I can smell the wildfire smoke already. gross Root for a lack of Summer convection/t-storms if you don't want raging wildfires. Granted a much smaller % are also started by idiots, negligence, or arsonist psychopaths. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 Just now, BLI snowman said: It may well be a cooler than average month in this region, but that doesn't always mean much. By late February coolish onshore flow can easily give us cold anomalies. After this week there's no signs of another pattern favorable for driving arctic air into the region. Nationally it's pretty clear that barring a freak March, this will be a very mild and snow deprived winter for almost everywhere. Looks like some parts of NE/SD/ND/MN have done well. Valentine, NE is having its snowiest cold season up to Jan 28th on record with a total of 52.5" of snow so far Duluth is having its 5th snowiest cold season to the 28th so far Minneapolis/Saint Paul is having its 5th snowiest cold season to the 28th so far Sioux Falls will end up with its 2nd snowiest January on record Also Buffalo and Grand Rapids did well with their big lake effect snowstorms earlier this winter 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 8 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: It may well be a cooler than average month in this region, but that doesn't always mean much. By late February coolish onshore flow can easily give us cold anomalies. After this week there's no signs of another pattern favorable for driving arctic air into the region. Nationally it's pretty clear that barring a freak March, this will be a very mild and snow deprived winter for almost everywhere. Really hope all measurable precip cuts off in late March, it heats up, and we don’t look back. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 39/32 38 now. 10th sub 40 high this season. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 34.5 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 29, 2023 Report Share Posted January 29, 2023 11 minutes ago, Doinko said: Looks like some parts of NE/SD/ND/MN have done well. Valentine, NE is having its snowiest cold season up to Jan 28th on record with a total of 52.5" of snow so far Duluth is having its 5th snowiest cold season to the 28th so far Minneapolis/Saint Paul is having its 5th snowiest cold season to the 28th so far Sioux Falls will end up with its 2nd snowiest January on record Also Buffalo and Grand Rapids did well with their big lake effect snowstorms earlier this winter Yeah, the northern-skewed storm track has helped those areas in the northern Plains where there's almost always enough cold air to work with in midwinter. This month has been an incredible torch for all but the SW. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 30, 2023 Report Share Posted January 30, 2023 Looks like PDX avoided 40. 39/32 so far maybe they'll record a midnight low 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted January 30, 2023 Report Share Posted January 30, 2023 Widespread improvement in drought conditions compared to a year ago. 9 Quote Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 30, 2023 Report Share Posted January 30, 2023 45 minutes ago, Doinko said: Looks like some parts of NE/SD/ND/MN have done well. Valentine, NE is having its snowiest cold season up to Jan 28th on record with a total of 52.5" of snow so far Duluth is having its 5th snowiest cold season to the 28th so far Minneapolis/Saint Paul is having its 5th snowiest cold season to the 28th so far Sioux Falls will end up with its 2nd snowiest January on record Also Buffalo and Grand Rapids did well with their big lake effect snowstorms earlier this winter Correct me if I'm wrong, but in the northern plains what affects snow totals most is whether they get the moisture/precip at all. Those places are already cold as balls in the winter anyway, but they're also dry winter-wet summer climates. Basically the opposite of our precipitation pattern. Most Januaries at Minneapolis get under 1" of precip, for example. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 30, 2023 Report Share Posted January 30, 2023 1 hour ago, NWbyNW said: Beautiful day, very cool. Was 33F at 10am. Currently at 39F under clear skies and sunshine. I spotted this fellow out in my backyard. Don't see him? Here, let's try again. Nice I snapped this one this afternoon. I think there’s about 10 in the photo. There was probably 25-30 where I was this afternoon. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SunAndSnow Posted January 30, 2023 Report Share Posted January 30, 2023 Love these clear sunny days, feels much better than the perpetually grey days we’ve been having. I’d probably be better off moving to the Bend/central OR area for the sun/snow/thunder. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 30, 2023 Report Share Posted January 30, 2023 38 minutes ago, MossMan said: 34.5 It looks great for widespread cold mins tonight. Should be a lot of teens. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted January 30, 2023 Report Share Posted January 30, 2023 1 hour ago, Gradient Keeper said: But Wait.... ....There's MORE! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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