Phil Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 This is bonkers. Storm surge flooding came into Winthrop Massachusetts, then it just froze over. Wtf? https://mobile.twitter.com/wx1box/status/949266115372507137?ref_src=twcamp%5Eshare%7Ctwsrc%5Eios%7Ctwgr%5Eother Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 This is bonkers. Storm surge flooding came into Winthrop Massachusetts, then it just froze over. Wtf? https://mobile.twitter.com/wx1box/status/949266115372507137?ref_src=twcamp%5Eshare%7Ctwsrc%5Eios%7Ctwgr%5EotherFlash freeze! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 Did you know that when it snows my eyes become large and the light that you shine can be seen?You just sealed this winter’s fate. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 You just sealed this winter’s fate.I'm a little worried the perceived bust-factor may produce some serious scarring. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 Flash freeze!I remember those from my younger years. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 He's usually pretty accurate with his predictions. I'm hoping he's wrong on this one. It goes in line with what the CPC is predicting though.Welp that will write an end to this winter season. But it will kick off an early jetsking season! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 Wish it had the 850's, as it is hard to tell if there is a motherload of cold air there or not. Also, the ECMWF monthly forecast for February just came out, not looking good for cold. DSzz5OwU0AEn89E.jpgI just saw this on Twitter. Have to see what the 500mb map looks like but it's not looking promising at the moment. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 Welp that will write an end to this winter season. But it will kick off an early jetsking season!You got that right! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat! Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 Yes, but then again, the MJO/tropical forcing that’s producing this pattern change won’t be located over the Indo/Maritime domain forever..eventually it’ll propagate back over the Pacific again..probably in late January. I really want to see equatorward-shifted WPAC forcing this time, rather than the expanded/off-equator WPAC forcing that’s been so problematic lately. If not, I’m not sure how we’ll get there. Maybe a SSW could shake things up enough to make something happen (it would certainly pull forcing equatorward).After all the predictions and the lol's, how can we say now that you're going to be right? There's a reason Mark Nelsen doesn't do "longer" forecasting predictions. It's usually always sometimes wrong. If I forecasted the weather in Portland I'd just say it's going to be showery everyday. That way I keep my job because I'm going to be right 65% of the time!!!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 After all the predictions and the lol's, how can we say now that you're going to be right? There's a reason Mark Nelsen doesn't do "longer" forecasting predictions. It's usually always sometimes wrong. If I forecasted the weather in Portland I'd just say it's going to be showery everyday. That way I keep my job because I'm going to be right 65% of the time!!!!!That's a solid "D" right there. Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Dome Buster Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 That's a solid "D" right there.[/quote I'll give him a B for Banya. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat! Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 Clever? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 Seems like Jesse gets to live rent-free in your head... nice deal. I get to live rent free under his skin! 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 Did you know that when it snows my eyes become large and the light that you shine can be seen? Go ahead, compare him to a kiss from one of Tim's flowers. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 I just noticed the 12z ECMWF from earlier today shows pretty strong gust for much of the NW next Thursday afternoon. Looks like gust up to 65 mph possible west of the Cascades in some lowland spots, even stronger at the coast. Have to keep a close eye out for this. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 I just noticed the 12z ECMWF from earlier today shows pretty strong gust for much of the NW next Thursday afternoon. Looks like gust up to 65 mph possible west of the Cascades in some lowland spots, even stronger at the coast. Have to keep a close eye out for this.Yeah. Nice find. Definitely. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 I just noticed the 12z ECMWF from earlier today shows pretty strong gust for much of the NW next Thursday afternoon. Looks like gust up to 65 mph possible west of the Cascades in some lowland spots, even stronger at the coast. Have to keep a close eye out for this.Bomb cyclone!!! 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 Models keep pushing back the onset of any active jet pattern. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 Yeah. Nice find. Definitely.Bomb cyclone!!!It would be crazy if this verified on January 11. Same day as last year's monster snowstorm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 #sunnyMLK? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 After all the predictions and the lol's, how can we say now that you're going to be right? There's a reason Mark Nelsen doesn't do "longer" forecasting predictions. It's usually always sometimes wrong. If I forecasted the weather in Portland I'd just say it's going to be showery everyday. That way I keep my job because I'm going to be right 65% of the time!!!!!I’m wrong sometimes, plus this winter season has been a giant basket of wtf’s like I’ve never seen before. The system has been been teetering on the edge of flipping the QBO/z-cell mode but just refuses to complete the job, so we’ve got this bizarre system of waves plus the weird residual off-equator Pacific SST warmth resulting from the skipped -QBO last year. So..I’m about ready to throw my hands up. All I can say with certainty is that the EPO/High Arctic block will probably return within 2-3 weeks, and the US blowtorch is probably temporary. Other than that..lol. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 Models keep pushing back the onset of any active jet pattern. Sure looks like the pattern is now trending towards resetting itself into the pattern we just came out of. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 The big snow is coming in a few weeks...Seattle road crews are already prepping. 9 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Everett-Snow Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 That's hilarious! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 Just watched Deliverance for the first time in probably 25 years so, you know, things could be worse... Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest El nina Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 Went up to mountain Hood on Wednesday and the snowpack is really sad. There was less snow now than October. It's time for a good mountain snow pattern. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 Bomb cyclone!!!Twc will name it dewey Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 The big snow is coming in a few weeks...Seattle road crews are already prepping.My sides hurt. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 Looks like the Pacific gets totally shut down again on the 0z GFS. Blocking looks to be setting up in a much more favorable area for us than what we have seen for most of the winter. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 The big snow is coming in a few weeks...Seattle road crews are already prepping. Omg, that's too funny! 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChilliwackBCwx Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 Finally all the ice that was on the trees and everything in between has melted, however the damage to trees and branches was already done lots of trees look bend and weird looking now. It's amazing how resilient evergreen trees are and go back to their shape, I haven't been on here in months thought I'd post something. I'm just north of Abbotsford in Mission B.C. and elevation wise 440feet. More precip. than Abbotsford being only 10 miles away. Anyways a little late but happy New year to everyone BTW we still have about 3 inches of snow on the ground since Dec. 19th here. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stuffradio Posted January 6, 2018 Author Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 Looks like the Pacific gets totally shut down again on the 0z GFS. Blocking looks to be setting up in a much more favorable area for us than what we have seen for most of the winter.The day after tomorrow! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 The big snow is coming in a few weeks...Seattle road crews are already prepping. If you look closely at this somebody had to have spent a lot of time making that. Utterly hilarious though! 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 Looks like the Pacific gets totally shut down again on the 0z GFS. Blocking looks to be setting up in a much more favorable area for us than what we have seen for most of the winter.Totally shutdown? Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 This can’t be right..there’s no Greenland death vortex. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 This La Niña will be like the Seahawks this year, a crap fest until 30 seconds left before halftime (Christmas) then multiple missed kicks wide right by Walsh in the 3rd quarter (cold air getting kicked right east after bouncing off the Rockies) then a major comeback with 1:20 left in the 4th quarter to take the lead (massive arctic blast in February. Then the opponent drives right down the field and scores and wins. (it rains for the next 4 months straight) 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 Just watched Deliverance for the first time in probably 25 years so, you know, things could be worse...It ain't nothin but the biggest f*ckin river in the state, Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 This can’t be right..there’s no Greenland death vortex.If that verifies, what are the implications? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 This La Niña will be like the Seahawks this year, a crap fest until 30 seconds left before halftime (Christmas) then multiple missed kicks wide right by Walsh in the 3rd quarter (cold air getting kicked right east after bouncing off the Rockies) then a major comeback with 1:20 left in the 4th quarter to take the lead (massive arctic blast in February. Then the opponent drives right down the field and scores and wins. (it rains for the next 4 months straight) Very good analogy. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 6, 2018 Report Share Posted January 6, 2018 Sure looks like the pattern is now trending towards resetting itself into the pattern we just came out of.It wouldn't surprise me if so. --0z ECMWF in 19 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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