PNW February 2023 Weather Discussion - Meteorological winter finale

[VancouverIslandSouth]

The overall snow coverage doesn't look particularly impressive on the satellite in northern areas. Interesting to see snow cover right down to the Northern California coast, when was the last time that happened? Outside of that, you can see where northern OR was nailed and there's also good coverage over SE Vancouver Island.

Still looks very wintery right down to sea level up around Nanoose where some of the heaviest snow fell. Apparently Parksville also had around 13" of snow, but there aren't many web cams around there (https://www.cheknews.ca/parksville-gets-snowstorms-hardest-hit-with-more-than-30-centimetres-1142013/). 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

GFS is still very cold next weekend (Compared to normal.). 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

7 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

 

I've never smoked a cigarette in my life or smoked anything at all. I'd rather smell dogshitt than a ciggerette.

[SouthHillFrosty]

7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Calm before the storm(s) in North Bend.

You can’t beat that view 

[Snownerd3000]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I've never smoked a cigarette in my life or smoked anything at all. I'd rather smell dogshitt than a ciggerette.

Grew up with both parents smoking cigs.  I hate them but still get nostalgic when I smell tobacco.  I've never really smoked them except for the random drags in college outside my favorite bar.

Still love a good joint though

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

9 minutes ago, WildrootParable said:

And if the pattern continues for where you are vs where I am, then I'm guessing we'll get just slightly less than you. Phew! Won't be disappointed with that, if it shakes out. 

Not sure where you live but that area i'm in is a very localized snow belt and i'm barely in the sweet spot. The difference between sunnyslope and my place can be dramatic. Like the last snowfall, i had 4.7 and they had about 2.5-3. and they are only 5 miles east of me and 150ft lower.  I have seen 12 inches at my place and 1.5 mile down the road getting out of the snow belt zone only 4 inches. It is because of green and gold mountain. I'm right at the base of gold out near mission lake.

[SouthHillFrosty]

[Fircrest]

21 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Going to take a guess, from saturday night through next week my total snowfall will between 12-20 inches.

I'm guessing 3-5" for Tacoma/Fircrest/UP area.  But that might be optimistic.

[ShawniganLake]

Clouding over. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

The nws says 1 inch or less for the entire area except the kitsap area where 1-3 is possible. Are they looking at something different? 1-3 looks really possible in many places. hood canal area will get more than 1-3. I would bet 10 grand on that. 

[Sandy rocks]

We got less snow here in Sandy, about 4 inches over. Part of the reason was that Gresham/Troutdale got the east wind quicker. It's looking better for the next week. It was beautiful getting the snow we did. 

[TT-SEA]

17 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

GFS is still very cold next weekend (Compared to normal.). 

Have to say... I am now in a position of hoping you are right about the GFS leading the way and the EPS following.  

[MWG]

[VancouverIslandSouth]

5 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Clouding over. 

Could eke out another sub-freezing high if we start cooling down after 3pm again like we did yesterday.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Winter Storm watch for PDX Metro.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

18 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I've never smoked a cigarette in my life or smoked anything at all. I'd rather smell dogshitt than a ciggerette.

Sometimes smoke, but not tobacco. Can’t stand cigs. They just plain stink.

[umadbro]

No messing around this time.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Winter Storm watch for PDX Metro.

Awesome. Man the Seattle NWS is an embarrassment. Absolutely dumb not to issue a watch for western wa.

[Anti Marine Layer]

How is the snow in Lake Tahoe?

[Rubus Leucodermis]

 

[Anti Marine Layer]

14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Have to say... I am now in a position of hoping you are right about the GFS leading the way and the EPS following.  

The infamous Rex Block 

[TT-SEA]

This is better than a pepto map for me!   And of course about as meaningful considering its the 18Z GFS in the long range.   

[ShawniganLake]

No Rideau canal skate way opening in Ottawa this year.  First time in its history.  
 

 

[Christensen87]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

This is better than a pepto map for me!   And of course about as meaningful considering its the 18Z GFS in the long range.   

CFS shows this too, every other run. Then it stays cold again in the long range on the next run, like the 12z. 

[Christensen87]

12 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Winter Storm watch for PDX Metro.

Oh come on, Puget Sound too please! Or at least EPSL. Sheesh. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

This is better than a pepto map for me!   And of course about as meaningful considering its the 18Z GFS in the long range.   

Something tells me most of us will get some 60-burgers next month.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

We are under a WSW here as well for 5-10" with 1-5" below 1000'. Personal I think the WWA like the Lane county foothills of 2-7" would be more appropriate. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

This is better than a pepto map for me!   And of course about as meaningful considering its the 18Z GFS in the long range.   

Highs in the low 60s by the 2nd week of March are pretty common, its just 5-6 degrees above average. There is a signal for a potential period of ridging on the ensembles starting around the 10-12th of March. Not a strong signal, but definitely a cluster of members going in that direction. 

[ShawniganLake]

Warnings up for BC.
 

4-6” with local amounts to 8” for Vancouver Island

6-10” with local amounts to 14” for the Lower mainland 

[MWG]

WSW but for above 2500 feet.  

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Highs in the low 60s by the 2nd week of March are pretty common, its just 5-6 degrees above average. There is a signal for a potential period of ridging on the ensembles starting around the 10-12th of March. Not a strong signal, but definitely a cluster of members going in that direction. 

Yeah... I am craving anything just remotely close to normal at this point.   But that is just me.    I know we have lots of snowy craziness ahead of us before that happens.

[SnowHawks]

WSW  90 miles to the north of Seattle and WSW 150 miles to the South. Seattle trace to one inch-Classic!!!

[Doinko]

NWS survey about the snowstorm

https://t.co/iTqOj34YNw

[Requiem]

Just now, Doinko said:

NWS surgery about the snowstorm

https://t.co/iTqOj34YNw

SURGERY????

[JW8]

There are so many "events" being shown in the next week, I've lost track . What time of day are we expecting the system on Tues to arrive?

[Doinko]

1 minute ago, Requiem said:

SURGERY????

*Survey lol

[TT-SEA]

Just now, JW8 said:

There are so many "events" being shown in the next week, I've lost track . What time of day are we expecting the system on Tues to arrive?

Me too.   My wife asked about timing and I said the only thing I know for sure is that it will snow Sunday morning and probably many days after that but not sure when.  

[Phil]

I bet I know where we can find Tim weeks 3/4.  

[Phishy Wx]

 

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

I bet I know where we can find Tim weeks 3/4.  

We will be in Charleston in April.    Better not have eastern troughing then!