January 2019 Weather in the Pacific Northwest

[ShawniganLake]

The EPS is retrograding in the day 10-15 period. I’m going to be up in central B.C. late January and early February. Might be pretty chilly.

 

Day 15

 

[BLI snowman]

12Z EPS not there in the 10-15 day period.   I think my early February call is on target still... and the models will wait another week and then start looking really good.

 

 

 

 

Mmmm, REAL close!

[Jesse]

[TT-SEA]

[Deweydog]

Hopefully this banter will soon shift to drought talk.

[Jesse]

Hopefully this banter will soon shift to drought talk.

Didn’t this just shift it.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

12Z EPS not there in the 10-15 day period.   I think my early February call is on target still... and the models will wait another week and then start looking really good.

 

 

 

[Deweydog]

Didn’t this just shift it.

How ‘bout this drought, eh?

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Beautiful sunshine now. Temp will start heading up there.

[Jesse]

How ‘bout this drought, eh?

Sure gets boring here when people aren’t arguing. Ugh!

[Frontal Snowsquall]

I posted a couple of those images earlier, but it looks better as a GIF like you did. Did you make the GIF at the Tidbits sight? And how do you save it so it posts here?

Yeah, I made them on tidbits. Saved it and then uploaded it to imgur.

[Deweydog]

Sure gets boring here when people aren’t arguing. Ugh!

Haven’t had a top tier argument around these parts since December 1990. Double ugh!

[Frontal Snowsquall]

The EPS is retrograding in the day 10-15 period. I’m going to be up in central B.C. late January and early February. Might be pretty chilly.

 

Day 15

 

2567CF8E-2442-4169-9D59-1FB8CFECB677.png

Here's the full loop that shows the retrogression.

 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Beautiful sunshine now. Temp will start heading up there.

Combine that with the positive model runs today and my mood couldn't be any better.

[GHweatherChris]

What did you predict? Warm January always a good call in these parts. Feels like Spring outside.

I predicted that this winter would follow 2018/19 as an analog, nailing it so far!!

[GHweatherChris]

I do remember you saying we’d be close to half way through January by the end of week two. Nice call.

That was actually the most difficult part of my prediction!!

[Deweydog]

I predicted that this winter would follow 2018/19 as an analog, nailing it so far!!

Hah! That’s THIS winter!

[Omegaraptor]

Hope it brings highs in the 30s and powder on Hood. That would be great.

[GHweatherChris]

Hah! That’s THIS winter!

Noone disputed or asked when I posted it.

[MossMan]

It’s all about the RETRO!

[MossMan]

A late January 1996 repeat would be nice. That was quite chilly and snowy.

[Deweydog]

Winds have surfaced here. Definitely a deepening gradient.

[BLI snowman]

Winds have surfaced here. Definitely a deepening gradient.

 

Just in time for the onshore flow to kick back up. Like in early December.

[ShawniganLake]

49/31 here so far today. Blue skies. No fog and calm winds.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I don't think there has been any model improvement today, but we haven't lost momentum either. Still think we are going to stay in the west coast warm finger. 

[Frontal Snowsquall]

FWIW here is the 12z EURO EPS Control run out to day 15. Onto the 18z runs this afternoon and 00z runs tonight. Think Cold and Snow. ❄

 

[AbbyJr]

The Euro ensembles do show retrogression at the end of the month. Most models show a major offshore ridge. Certainly could amplify and be big for us or it could park itself right over the West Coast. Only time will tell, but maybe a glimmer of hope for the PNW?

[Jbolin]

This winter is going exactly how I predicted.

Complete ?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

10 day snowfall map.

 

http://models.weatherbell.com/ecmwf/2019011412/nw/ecmwf_tsnow_nw_41.png

[SilverFallsAndrew]

64 in Brookings on the S. Oregon coast. Would be a gorgeous day to hit up the beach down there and enjoy the "Chetco Effect."

[Timmy]

10 day snowfall map.

 

http://models.weatherbell.com/ecmwf/2019011412/nw/ecmwf_tsnow_nw_41.png

I think you are posting wb maps wrong

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I think you are posting wb maps wrong

 

Guess you can't see it? Oddly I can. Though when I look on my phone it doesn't load. I just copy/paste as I do every other image I have ever posted on here. 

 

I wonder if there is some kind of encryption on it? Would explain why Tim and others with WB subscriptions say they can see it...IDK. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Guess you can't see it? Oddly I can. Though when I look on my phone it doesn't load. I just copy/paste as I do every other image I have ever posted on here.

 

I wonder if there is some kind of encryption on it? Would explain why Tim and others with WB subscriptions say they can see it...IDK.

If I owned the site I would make it encrypted so it can only be viewed by subs. Makes sense.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

Guess you can't see it? Oddly I can. Though when I look on my phone it doesn't load. I just copy/paste as I do every other image I have ever posted on here.

 

I wonder if there is some kind of encryption on it? Would explain why Tim and others with WB subscriptions say they can see it...IDK.

I can see Tin and Shawnigans maps from WB but not yours. Are theirs PNG images?

[Front Ranger]

I don't think there has been any model improvement today, but we haven't lost momentum either. Still think we are going to stay in the west coast warm finger. 

 

12z Euro was a big step in the right direction. Considering that's our best 6-10 day model option, I'd say it matters.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Guess you can't see it? Oddly I can. Though when I look on my phone it doesn't load. I just copy/paste as I do every other image I have ever posted on here. 

 

I wonder if there is some kind of encryption on it? Would explain why Tim and others with WB subscriptions say they can see it...IDK. 

 

Try to use print screen

[SilverFallsAndrew]

12z Euro was a big step in the right direction. Considering that's our best 6-10 day model option, I'd say it matters.

 

True. The CFS Weeklies will render the final verdict.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

I can't see it either Andrew.

[ShawniganLake]

Guess you can't see it? Oddly I can. Though when I look on my phone it doesn't load. I just copy/paste as I do every other image I have ever posted on here.

 

I wonder if there is some kind of encryption on it? Would explain why Tim and others with WB subscriptions say they can see it...IDK.

If it’s a subscription site you have to save the image or take a screen shot and then post it. If you just copy and paste then only people that have a subscription will be able to view it. I always save the image to my phone before I post them.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

If it’s a subscription site you have to save the image or take a screen shot and then post it. If you just copy and paste then only people that have a subscription will be able to view it. I always save the image to my phone before I post them.

 

I see. I apologize to all who just saw blank images.