Guest hawkstwelve Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 More snow falls across Western WA starting late Sunday night. This map is from 10PM Sunday - 10PM Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 FV3 was touted recently as being the first model to pick up on this unimaginable madness... My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 FV-3 is radically different than any other model early next week. Not in a good way. Not radically different in the big picture... maybe 200 miles west of the ECMWF on day 6. But this results in a HUGE difference in our weather. Buried in snow or relatively warm southerly flow. FV3: ECMWF: **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeinthevalley Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Speak into the microphone squid brain! Yes, but I may have screwed it up. I think it was a 50 year storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest hawkstwelve Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 And finally, totals from 4PM Friday to 4PM Monday. Many places over a foot with Kitsap area nearing or just crossing 2 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 So, hopefully better for OR than January 2012. Which was not awful, but definitely not that major. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I'll bump it up if this thing busts. It's from 2014, so new people won't get the inside jokes.It was brilliant work and deserves being resurrected. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 So, hopefully better for OR than January 2012. Which was not awful, but definitely not that major. This looks a lot more impressive further south than that one. Esp with lows persistently sliding offshore towards Cape Blanco with occasional banding moving down the valley. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest hawkstwelve Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Seattle afternoon AFD is mostly a regurgitation of previous AFD. Meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 So, hopefully better for OR than January 2012. Which was not awful, but definitely not that major.This is a completely different setup. May not end up major but it won’t be for the reasons that one was fairly low impact down here. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Screenshot (185).pngafternoon FV3 run going with 8-12" in seattle, at least 6" for most of the sound region d**n! That basically put Bainbridge at ground zero on the sound. There aren't enough plows on the island to handle that. That is 20" here. How did this model do with totals last weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prairiedog Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Ensemble coming in bottoming out at -9.5C over the weekend at PDX. During that time the operational is the warmest member of the ensemble suite. In fact its out through the 14th now and the operational is at or above the mean the entire time. Is that with or without any Gorge influence? Is that for the 850's? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest hawkstwelve Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Nice improvement in the LR on the 18z GFS ensembles. Quite a few members end up between -10/-15c. Mean doesn't cross -5c until February 21st or 22nd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randyc321 Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 And finally, totals from 4PM Friday to 4PM Monday. Many places over a foot with Kitsap area nearing or just crossing 2 feet. Send food, please. Luckily I live within walking distance of the ferry. If I need something I can hop over there, unless Seattle is shut down too. Ok, send food, please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 It's the 18z FV3-GFS with a weird and so far unsupported evolution. Worth an eyebrow raised, and maybe something more if the 12z tomorrow looks the same.Nice micro aggression against the 0z and 6z. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 EUG got to 42. Seasonably cool day. Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ewnichols25 Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 And finally, totals from 4PM Friday to 4PM Monday. Many places over a foot with Kitsap area nearing or just crossing 2 feet. What's with the snow hole near Whidbey/Camano? I'm assuming it's just a model fluke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 If you got full sun exposure today your snow said see ya!In the shade snow held it ground Edit: precipitation from left over snow melting in the bucket Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
luterra Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Meteostar is goofed up today; trying to get a good local output from the 18z. The region is not going to shut down, for long anyway. It only takes some filtered February sunshine at 30 degrees to melt off the main roads and runways, and highs are still at or above freezing for the western lowlands throughout these events. Sun is finally out here in Corvallis, making a run at 40 degrees but don't think it will make it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 If you got full sun exposure today your snow said see ya!In the shade snow held it ground I had full sun here all day and nothing melted. Not even off the trees. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Just read the Portland AFD. Basically they expect bands setting up Saturday PM that will drop 1-3" of snow to sea level, but they have no idea where this may occur. RIght now they are thinking 3-6" for the foothills and coast range Friday night. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 Just read the Portland AFD. Basically they expect bands setting up Saturday PM that will drop 1-3" of snow to sea level, but they have no idea where this may occur. RIght now they are thinking 3-6" for the foothills and coast range Friday night.Seems a reasonable guess. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeinthevalley Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I had full sun here all day and nothing melted. Not even off the trees. Too warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 6, 2019 Report Share Posted February 6, 2019 I had full sun here all day and nothing melted. Not even off the trees. Just drove down to Rustin Point to have lunch. Noticed all the green lawns where sun was shining. It did get above freezing down here as well....what was your high temp today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SeanNyberg Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Interesting how the 3:30PM AFD for Seatle/Metro totally avoids even attempting snowfall totals. LOL!I get it - why go on the record this early, but with the very real potential of this being significant I am surprised they didn't even sneak in a "Some models are pointing to a foot for the Seattle area, but others are suggesting significantly less" ... wussies! *I'm joking - they work their booties off for our benefit! Just found it funny. 1 -------------------- Sean Nyberg IG: @SeanNyberg X: @SeanNyberg Facebook: Sean Nyberg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Looks like a 39/23 at PDX today. Good for a -12 departure. Looks like a high of 38 at SLE today 42 at EUG as TWL mentioned. Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 This is how Whisky barrel falls looks so far....going to be interesting by the end of this cold spell 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Just drove down to Rustin Point to have lunch. Noticed all the green lawns where sun was shining. It did get above freezing down here as well....what was your high temp today?34 in North Bend... probably 31 up here. Air mass is really dry though and snow cover is deep. Can't tell much change from this morning. If we only had an inch of snow then I bet it would have melted off in the sun. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joaqweri Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 d**n! That basically put Bainbridge at ground zero on the sound. There aren't enough plows on the island to handle that. That is 20" here. How did this model do with totals last weekend?FV3 didn't do too bad. forecasted 4-5" for seattle and I ended the event with 4". definitely keeping my eye on the fv3 and the parent gfs with them showing such huge snowfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silverfin Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Used a break in the weather to go for a beautiful run in the Bellingham sun. Only needed two long sleeve shirts and tights. Went biking myself...to stock up on groceries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joaqweri Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 water gridding not the olympic precip shadow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest hawkstwelve Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 FWIW, 18z 3km NAM is pretty dry for the Seattle area through 10PM Friday. It'll probably be playing catch-up over the next day or two leading up to the event. It's not the best in this range but performs more admirably when we get closer to crunch time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 And finally, totals from 4PM Friday to 4PM Monday. Many places over a foot with Kitsap area nearing or just crossing 2 feet. This is just getting stupid now 1996 here we come 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 This is just getting stupid now1996 here we comeMuch different pattern than 96. Better for everyone. We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Much different pattern than 96. Better for everyone.Thank you. Everyone south of Olympia shudders at that analog. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Incredible! 2 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Update from Steve Pierce on his Facebook page. Looks like he's pretty confident PDX Metro switches to snow sometime around 10pm to midnight Friday night. He says snow picks up Friday overnight and that it should be snowing quite well by the time we wake up Saturday. He says 4" to 6" might be conservative. https://www.facebook.com/stevepiercekoin6/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 Incredible! #pullback 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 I see Bellingham made it to 37 today and most of the snow is gone in town. I am sure its a different story south of town though. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 7, 2019 Report Share Posted February 7, 2019 #pullback Somebody flipped from the frosted side of the mini wheat. My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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