TT-SEA Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 Looks like the 12z ECMWF is really putting the kibosh on any sustained heat.Its inevitable this year... the models always back off. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 Its inevitable this year... the models always back off.I call it “PDX snow syndrome”- the models always showing something, but as we get closer in time removing it or knocking it down to almost nothing. Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 There will be 5” of rain in your neighborhood while the rest of the region will be strangely dry. again?! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 The moderated ECMWF solution would set us up nicely for the holiday weekend though. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 Looks like the 12z ECMWF is really putting the kibosh on any sustained heat. Praise the ancestors! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 Praise the ancestors! It gets there in the end but the consistent delay makes it feel like this is just another 2019 summer mirage. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 I'll smoke 2-3 cigars a year, but never a cigarette. With pot I only smoke it, I hate vaping, and always overdo it with edibles.Edible Whoppers! It is very easy to overdo them however like you say. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 It gets there in the end but the consistent delay makes it feel like this is just another 2019 summer mirage.Shocker.. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 Edible Whoppers! It is very easy to overdo them however like you say.The only bad highs I've ever had came from edibles. Like most people. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 The only bad highs I've ever had came from edibles. Like most people.Apparently you hadn’t been appropriately warned about Haribo gummies. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 Shocker..Weren’t you calling for a ridgy autumn? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 It’s August 22nd. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 I rarely feel much from edibles. I use them before a plane ride but that’s about it. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 Surprised nobody has been talking about the fires in the Amazon here. Looks like the lungs of the earth are gonna start looking like Tiger's and I's pretty soon.Looks really bad. Saw this tweet from Ryan. Ryan @RyanMaue Climate change is NOT the cause of the fires. However, the negative effects of the rain forests burning will have regional & global impacts upon the climate going forward. https://mobile.twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1164591916786356225 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 I rarely feel much from edibles. I use them before a plane ride but that’s about it. Do you ever try to take weed through security? 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 It’s August 22nd.Just nine days to go. Euro range!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 I rarely feel much from edibles. I use them before a plane ride but that’s about it.They don't really do much to me either. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 This should put the summer cloudier/rainier/etc. discussion to bed once and for all. Although, it doesn't totally align with what I've been saying soo... FAKE NEWS. https://komonews.com/weather/scotts-weather-blog/this-summer-seeming-too-wet-and-gloomy-youre-all-spoiled This summer been pretty normal overall. The mid-June to mid-July period was much cloudier than normal out here... with many days in that period not clearing at all and sometimes actually getting darker in the afternoon. But even just 4 or 5 more days with partial afternoon sun in that month-long timeframe would have made it a much more typical cloudy period. The amount of sun and rain and cloudy periods since the middle of July has been much more typical of summer as well. And the first half of June was quite sunny and dry. So it averages out to around normal. The nights have been generally warmer than normal... and the high temp departures have been a little below normal. Again... fairly close to averaging out. Here is the overall temperature departure for the last 60 days: Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted August 22, 2019 Author Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 Yeah normal summer temp-wise if not a bit warmer than normal, even discounting nights. Definitely not a 2011, 2010, etc. The rain distribution was really good this summer leading to almost no wildfires. I’m currently in Ashland, it’s August 22, and the sky is clear and blue with no smoke. Not a frequent occurrence in the last several years. (I did see burned trees by Milepost 97, however.) Really good summer overall, and I really shouldn’t have complained about the cool early July. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 12Z EPS: 5-10 day period: 10-15 day period: Obviously the EPS has been over-promising warmth all summer... but the signal is stronger and more persistent this time. Hopefully this means we at least get an extended period of generally sunny, pleasant weather. But I doubt there will be an sustained heat given the model tendencies this year to back off as the time approaches. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 I rarely feel much from edibles. I use them before a plane ride but that’s about it. You have to snort them for full effect. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 This summer been pretty normal overall. The mid-June to mid-July period was much cloudier than normal out here... with many days in that period not clearing at all and sometimes actually getting darker in the afternoon. But even just 4 or 5 more days with partial afternoon sun in that month-long timeframe would have made it a much more typical cloudy period. The amount of sun and rain and cloudy periods since the middle of July has been much more typical of summer as well. And the first half of June was quite sunny and dry. So it averages out to around normal. The nights have been generally warmer than normal... and the high temp departures have been a little below normal. Again... fairly close to averaging out. Here is the overall temperature departure for the last 60 days: Not for meteorological summer. They've averaged a little above for most areas...the 60 day map doesn't capture it because it starts on 6/24. But the 90 day does. Even OLM is running over +1 for average high anomaly this summer. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 Do you ever try to take weed through security? Edibles sometimes but that's it. Too risky, even travelling to other west coast states. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 They don't really do much to me either.The key is having them right before a meal. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 Low 70s with afternoon sunshine, some puffy clouds and a cool NW breeze this afternoon. A nice little September preview. With clearing tonight I could fall below 50 for the first time since mid-July. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 Backdoor action on the 18z!!! Edible for some folks, but I’m not into that... 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 Day started out here with thick low clouds and drizzle that lasted most of the morning... but now its mostly sunny and pleasant. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 75F, clear and sunny in downtown Springfield. Can take the kiddos to the park tonight. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted August 22, 2019 Report Share Posted August 22, 2019 Sunny here again today. Low 70s. Nice day. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted August 23, 2019 Report Share Posted August 23, 2019 The key is having them right before a meal.I've tried everything. Even put straight cannabutter into my coffee on an empty stomach in the morning. Just makes me tired. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 23, 2019 Report Share Posted August 23, 2019 Suppository? 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 23, 2019 Report Share Posted August 23, 2019 Weren’t you calling for a ridgy autumn?Is it autumn yet? FWIW I believe I said I’m leaning drier than average, not necessarily “ridgy”. Though it might turn out that way. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeinthevalley Posted August 23, 2019 Report Share Posted August 23, 2019 Suppository?After a butt chug Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted August 23, 2019 Report Share Posted August 23, 2019 Beautiful sunny day here in NE WA. Looks like it got up to 68 degrees today back at home. Should be hot by the time I start headed home as well in Tacoma. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 23, 2019 Report Share Posted August 23, 2019 This should put the summer cloudier/rainier/etc. discussion to bed once and for all. Although, it doesn't totally align with what I've been saying soo... FAKE NEWS. https://komonews.com/weather/scotts-weather-blog/this-summer-seeming-too-wet-and-gloomy-youre-all-spoiled 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 23, 2019 Report Share Posted August 23, 2019 Is it autumn yet? FWIW I believe I said I’m leaning dry, not necessarily “ridgy”. Though it might turn out that way.Figure we’re getting close enough to wavelength change time that some early autumn pattern tendencies may be starting to show their hand soon. I’ve been expecting for things to flip hotter (or at least ridgier) late August into September for awhile now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted August 23, 2019 Report Share Posted August 23, 2019 Beautiful sunny day here in NE WA. Looks like it got up to 68 degrees today back at home. Should be hot by the time I start headed home as well in Tacoma.You over hanging out with Snowmizer? Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted August 23, 2019 Report Share Posted August 23, 2019 I've tried everything. Even put straight cannabutter into my coffee on an empty stomach in the morning. Just makes me tired.That sounds delicious. Do you make your own? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 23, 2019 Report Share Posted August 23, 2019 Figure we’re getting close enough to wavelength change time that some early autumn pattern tendencies may be starting to show their hand soon. I’ve been expecting for things to flip hotter (or at least ridgier) late August into September for awhile now.Seems that would be favored this autumn with subsidence likely dominating the E-IO/Indo-Pacific. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 23, 2019 Report Share Posted August 23, 2019 Seems that would be favored this autumn with subsidence likely dominating the E-IO/Indo-Pacific.So I guess the answer to my original post could have just been yes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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