Timmy Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 Andrew got quite a bit of mileage out of that comment.only because I misread “underrated” for “overrated”. You hear what you wanna hear... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 Really loud crickets tonight. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 Really loud crickets tonight.edibles effect 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 only because I misread “underrated” for “overrated”. You hear what you wanna hear...Thanks! I like to keep it short in the summer. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 edibles effectMaybe that's why they're so loud. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 I’ll throw 13-14 out there too. Great winter down this way. All time record low tied at -10F after several inches of snow in early Dec, then a Willamette Valley special in early Feb. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 OT, but does anyone else have snakes? I've got at least 10 living under my patio. Here's a few of them chilling together from a couple of days ago. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 0.06” of rain today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 66F and clear. Stars are beautiful again. Was another picture perfect summer day. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 #stillnoproof Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 0.06” of rain today..08” here. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2019/08/is-western-washington-really-in-severe.html?m=1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2019/08/is-western-washington-really-in-severe.html?m=1 Totally agree with Cliff on this one. Severe drought is just a stupid classification for the current situation. Current streamflow? Most sites are near normal Wildfires are below normal across the State this year, as is smoke. What about water resources? All the major urban areas have plenty of water, without any drought restrictions. Seattle's reservoirs are slightly below normal, with no water issues The origin of the drought declaration is from the relatively dry winter we had last year. Southeast Washington was wetter than normal, but the coastal zone and the western Cascade slopes were drier than normal. But having a location that normally gets 100 inches a year, now receive 80 inches, is a far cry from a severe drought and the impacts are very modest at best. 80% of normal precipitation does not represent an extreme drought and has occurred many times during the past 50 years. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 The 3°F at Hillsboro was pretty impressive. Proof that the metro can still manage subzero.Yeah, I remember the forecast wasn't for it to get that low. Would have been great to get to 0 or below. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 I’ll throw 13-14 out there too. Great winter down this way. All time record low tied at -10F after several inches of snow in early Dec, then a Willamette Valley special in early Feb.If only we could have gotten some snow up here with the December Arctic Blast. Then it would be up there with 16-17 and 08-09 for me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 Really loud crickets tonight.edibles effectI remember catching them as a kid. They make great trout bait! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 Got down to 63 here and 58 back at home. Cloudy here in NE WA as well. First 3 days I was here it was pretty hot out and sunny but since Wednesday, temps have been cooler down to the mid 80s and more clouds. Been breezy on the lake as well out of the south, making boating pretty interesting with choppy water. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 06z gfs brings some rain still later on in the run during the 7-10 day range, so 8/31-7/2. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2019/08/is-western-washington-really-in-severe.html?m=1Talk about grinding an axe... 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 OT, but does anyone else have snakes? I've got at least 10 living under my patio. Here's a few of them chilling together from a couple of days ago.Yep, lol. Snakes, lizards, dragonflies, and cicadas all having their annual end-of-summer orgy. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 Check this out! Major cooling along the West Coast while the warmest SST anoms are pushing further offshore. Not surprisng when you consider the much higher surface pressure that has developed over the NE Pacific in recent days. I like the prospects for farily chilly weather (in relation to normal) in the near future. 6 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 Jaws music time? As Flatiron pointed out, hurricanes seem to love Republican presidents. It’ll probably find a way. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 Jaws music time? As Flatiron pointed out, hurricanes seem to love Republican presidents. It’ll probably find a way. It's been an incredibly quiet season so far so it would be surprising if one doesn't get going very soon. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 No matter how you slice it we have a highly elevated chance of seeing a decent winter this year. Just based on solar alone we are in fantastic company. Now that ENSO has come around and the warm water over the NE Pacific has begun to shift westward we're in great shape. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 Based on small scale fluctuations in NPAC SSTs? Those cold, extratropical SSTs do tell us something about the low frequency (long term) behavior of the system, but there is zero evidence that they can force the pattern/wavetrain behavior to any measurable degree. The North Pacific still retains the look set by the low pass mode of circulation. But remember that, as latitude increases, the importance of these SST anomalies (as far as their ability to couple to/influence the troposphere) generally decreases. The warm subtropical North Pacific (+PMM) is an important, coupled system component, through which the PDO/PNA system can arise, and of course, the tightness of the latitudinal SST gradient can be important over particular latitudes and timeframes, but in general the SSTAs themselves hold less importance as you go poleward. I think the warm SST anoms right along the coast have played a role in the warm minimum temps we have seen this summer. During onshore flow periods the high SSTs result in higher dew points. I guess my point is the recent shift from low pressure off the West Coast to high pressure will eventually result in cooler air from the NW making its way in here. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 No matter how you slice it we have a highly elevated chance of seeing a decent winter this year. Just based on solar alone we are in fantastic company. Now that ENSO has come around and the warm water over the NE Pacific has begun to shift westward we're in great shape.Definitely appears to be elevated chances of high latitude blocking this winter, barring any significant geomagnetic storming in the S/O/N period or a belated seasonality in the tropics. For the PNW, early indications are dry, but I have no idea on temps..could be a cold/blocky dry or ridgy depending on a multitude of factors that are not decipherable to me yet. Also need to see how the IPWP/WP evolves through the cold season, and whether we do indeed trend more +ENSO as the winter progresses. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 I think the warm SST anoms right along the coast have played a role in the warm minimum temps we have seen this summer. During onshore flow periods the high SSTs result in higher dew points. I guess my point is the recent shift from low pressure off the West Coast to high pressure will eventually result in cooler air from the NW making its way in here.Oh, gotcha. I don’t know enough about your climate to form an opinion re: SSTs/dews/nighttime lows, so I’ll trust your interpretation of that over mine. As did the pattern, I agree there should be an intraseasonal scale cool pattern starting sometime during the first week of September. But of course, it’s not driven by the NPAC SSTs, lol. And 4-5 weeks from now, this exact mode of tropical/subtropical forcing will likely produce a different wave train structure locally due to the seasonal alterations to the boundary conditions through which the dynamics arise from/via. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 Cloudy. 59. Going to weedeat now. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 If only we could have gotten some snow up here with the December Arctic Blast. Then it would be up there with 16-17 and 08-09 for me. Salmon Creek where my folks are had 2" going into that event. Enough to keep it white through the whole week. Then over a foot there with the February storms. Areas away from the strong outflow did much better that winter. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 Thursday morning is looking thundery. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 It did start out severely clear but clouds have moved in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 It did start out severely clear but clouds have moved in.That happens occasionally with the marine layer here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 Cloudy. 59. Going to weedeat now.The conversations about edibles must have inspired you. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 The threads have been dead for over an hour. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 GFS ensemble looks great for a short heat wave next week followed by a possible bout of cooler and troughier weather the first week of September. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 0.06” of rain today. Ended up with 0.1" here yesterday and picked up another 0.06" in a surprise shower this morning. Not bad considering the models were showing nothing over these past few days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 Cool down following a warm up? Even Stormchaser Chuck didn’t see that one coming. 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 Cool down following a warm up?Even Stormchaser Chuck didn’t see that one coming.It’s the best of both worlds. I actually like late season heat events as long as they don’t go all ridiculous in terms of duration. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted August 24, 2019 Report Share Posted August 24, 2019 Great looking Labor Day weekend on the 12z Euro. I’d be surprised to see that hold. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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