Niko Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 The trees are full of leaves down here as they are nearing there peak. This much heavy wet snow could be a problem for them.Going bare here. A few few trees still have phenomenal colors on them, but not for long. After these strong winds that my area will encounter w this storm coming, by Friday 80% will have nothing left on them. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stacsh Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Unfortunately it's an outlier at the moment. Most of that snow back my way happens from backside wrap-around due to the more wound-up solution the GFS portrays. Not betting for or against it, but right now it is not the favored outcome so keeping my anticipation for anything historic in check attm. WestMJim on the other hand looks golden GRR isn't thrilled. Mostly cold rain and a little light snow thursday night/friday morning. Better chance will be with the clipper that follows for west Michigan. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 I’m having flashbacks to 1996 surprise storm. Power outages and limbs broken everywhere.I remember that. There wasn't really even a chance for snow when that happened. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Ukie http://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-panel.php?mod=ukmet&run=12&stn=PNMPR&map=na&lang=en&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest http://img.meteocentre.com/models/ukmet_amer_12/PNMPR_panel.gif 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 GRR isn't thrilled. Mostly cold rain and a little light snow thursday night/friday morning. Better chance will be with the clipper that follows for west Michigan. Shocking news! GRR not thrilled with a synoptic storm painting 4+ inches in their back yard, but have jumped on a Clipper that will certainly deliver LEShowers.. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Come on GFS! ...be the blind squirrel 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Come on GFS! ...be the blind squirrel 20191029 12z GFS h66.png 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 UK backslid a bit again. We needed a favorable trend this morning, so I'm not hopeful we will end up with much out of this. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 pretty close to throwing in the towel on this one Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Like I mentioned earlier today; most of IA has seen more snow from the 1st wave than will be from the 2nd. But congrats further E and S. 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Come on GFS! ...be the blind squirrel 20191029 12z GFS h66.pngRooting for you buddy! Keep pulling that thing further east. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Rooting for you buddy! Keep pulling that thing further east. SPS in my corner!! (if not this time, we go BIGLY next time..or next..or the one after that..or in January/Feb/March..Idk?? ) 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 12z NAm 12km has flakes flying here for approx 9 hrs with a decently wound system. That'd be nice to see even if accum's are limited by all this warmth and rain expected before transitioning. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 12Z Euro 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 29, 2019 Author Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 12Z EuroLooks healthy at 500mb and colder...looks like a better phase in the works...I like... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Looks healthy at 500mb and colder...looks like a better phase in the works...I like...2-3 inches in Oct big win! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 12z NAm 12km has flakes flying here for approx 9 hrs with a decently wound system. That'd be nice to see even if accum's are limited by all this warmth and rain expected before transitioning. Euro on your side also 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 29, 2019 Author Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Euro on your side also Looking closer, it is even showing signs of Lehs along the western shores of LM. Wild. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 A pair of 3" events in October. I'll take that. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Euro on your side also Shows 0.5-0.8" for mby. Nice appetizer for this upcoming Winter. 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 SPS in my corner!! (if not this time, we go BIGLY next time..or next..or the one after that..or in January/Feb/March..Idk?? )You’ve been waiting a long time for a good snow event. Why not now?! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 29, 2019 Author Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Interesting Stat...Lucky #7???? Bill SnyderVerified account @billyweather 5h5 hours agoMoreForget Christmas, are you dreaming of a white Halloween? Since 1885, it's only snowed 6 times on Oct 31, once measurably (0.1" 2014). Evidence growing that we will obliterate that record this year. #ilwx @WGNNews @MorganKolkmeyer @DIvory_WGN 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Euro on your side also Thanks bud. Say, I don't have a good read on what kind of SLP track/strength the Euro is showing. Anyone got any clues on that? Is weather.us map site still free and if so, does it show the Euro surface forecast maps or just 500mb at 24 hr intervals like TT? Thx. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Interesting Stat...Lucky #7???? Someone on AmWx also posting how Denver and state of Wyoming are setting all-time October cold records, most of which are from 1917. BAM! 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Thanks bud. Say, I don't have a good read on what kind of SLP track/strength the Euro is showing. Anyone got any clues on that? Is weather.us map site still free and if so, does it show the Euro surface forecast maps or just 500mb at 24 hr intervals like TT? Thx. Does this help ya any? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 You’ve been waiting a long time for a good snow event. Why not now?! Because, GRR's not excited for this! (j/k ofc) seriously tho, I'll take last-minute surprise trends and run with 'em amigo, thx for cheering that possibility! Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted October 29, 2019 Author Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Thanks bud. Say, I don't have a good read on what kind of SLP track/strength the Euro is showing. Anyone got any clues on that? Is weather.us map site still free and if so, does it show the Euro surface forecast maps or just 500mb at 24 hr intervals like TT? Thx.Yes, that site shows all sorts of wx maps. You’ll find it quite useful for a free site. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Does this help ya any? Yeah, thx! Rain or snow at that point, kiddies not gonna be happy! One year I was a scarecrow for Halloween (yeah back when we made-up costumes from scratch) and it rained. My dried corn stalks got all soaked and droopy..totally ruined what started out as a nice looking gig 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Does this help ya any?Awesome....I like it! Good job Clinton. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Yeah, thx! Rain or snow at that point, kiddies not gonna be happy! One year I was a scarecrow for Halloween (yeah back when we made-up costumes from scratch) and it rained. My dried corn stalks got all soaked and droopy..totally ruined was started out as a nice looking gig It's gonna be a cold night for my crew, I hope they score big and don't quit early! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Awesome....I like it! Good job Clinton.No problem bud! Good luck on this one. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Looks like the 18z NAM is finally starting to put together a functional system. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 NAM is coming in stronger and a tick NW. Probably a widespread 4-6 for the SE 1/3rd of Iowa. 3 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Looks like the 18z NAM is finally starting to put together a functional system. Idk, I could live with what the 12z did over here...all winter long 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hlcater Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Pretty big change from the NAM. 4 Quote 2021-22 Snowfall: (Hiawatha) TOTAL: 10.2" (12/28: 3.0") (12/29: 0.8") (1/1: 6.4") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MIKEKC Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 NAM trended towards the snowy solution of the GFS forKC. 3-5 inches now, the best run of that model so far. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 I bet by tonight it looks a lot like the Euro.Pretty big change from the NAM. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 If the GFS comes back a bit northwest, like the NAM did, then we could be on to something here. Local media going with 1-3 inches here, which seems reasonable for now. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 Congratulations everyone! I'm tickled to death for you folks! I may not see snow, but it will be so close! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
St Paul Storm Posted October 29, 2019 Report Share Posted October 29, 2019 For those of you that received snow last night....is it sticking around or has it completely melted already? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.