Cloud Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 The daily fuzz is back!!All members trending southward is always awesome. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 8:58 AM Near west Gresham temp 32.1 and now having some freezing drizzle off/on. The vehicles have ice on them. Hmmm.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Been 37F and foggy since midnight. Likely will extend our streak without a high in the 30s. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 31 and foggy in Tacoma...also a bit icy. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Holy sh*t whats beenn happening on this forum the last few days good f*cking lord...we need some interesting weather to happen soon. Things look interesting in the LR but im going to get excited when the models actually lock into something. Until then its just too far out to really get excited about. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Looks really nice at home this morning.... sunny and 34. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Also...we are at 7.28" for December...second freeze of the month here this morning and the 8th of the cold season. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted December 24, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Definitely looks like Christmas Eve Completely snowless but there might be something tonight? 3 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Then one foggy Christmas Eve... 3 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Happy Christmas Eve! Looks like maybe some light showers overnight but Santa shouldn't have a problem delivering all our presents. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Looking decent after the 3rd of Jan. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Not that anyone will care, becasue I obviously don't know anything, but the MJO forecast has gotten very good also. When the cold Janaury happens I'm not going to let anyone say it was just luck on my part. I have been going cold Jan for months now. 5 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Not that anyone will care, becasue I obviously don't know anything, but the MJO forecast has gotten very good also. When the cold Janaury happens I'm not going to let anyone say it was just luck on my part. I have been going cold Jan for months now.I certainly do. Looks promising. Cheer up. Thanks for posting this. Merry Christmas. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 But what causes the “Aleutian block” in these flat ridge evolutions? Any blast this winter probably won’t have an Aleutian based block at all. It will likely have an Alaskan block.As the Aleutian ridge merges with our flat/flattening offshore ridge it becomes an Alaska block setting up around 145-160 W and hopefully nosing up through the mainland amplifying into the arctic regions. When it tilts ---> into the Yukon or Western Northwest Territories is usually when we really tap into the cold stuff. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted December 24, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Can flurries come out of fog? Flurries are coming down right now. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Can flurries come out of fog? Flurries are coming down right now.Yes! Happened all of the time in Moses Lake. 3 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 As the Aleutian ridge merges with our flat/flattening offshore ridge it becomes an Alaska block setting up around 145-160 W and hopefully nosing up through the mainland amplifying into the arctic regions. When it tilts ---> into the Yukon or Western Northwest Territories is usually when we really tap into the cold stuff.That’s a cold ENSO conduit to -EPO/PNW cold for sure. Often times the warm ENSO conduit is cyclonic wavebreaking in the NW-Pacific tanking the EPO followed by an EAMT reversal/retrograde. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Not that it will have any effect on our weather in the near term, but it appears the sun might be about to wake up. The flux numbers are going up and there are a bunch of tiny spots. Still not an official end to the spotless streak, but it might end soon. If it does we would miss the longest modern day spotless streak by only a couple of days. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 That is just absurd cold up in Canada on the clown range 12z GFS. Almost -50C 850mb temps for the 3rd consecutive run. If that gets into the US, warministas are gonna stroke out. 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighlandExperience Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 That is just absurd cold up in Canada on the clown range 12z GFS. Almost -50C 850mb temps for the 3rd consecutive run. If that gets into the US, warministas are gonna stroke out. Not really they will blame global warming. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Not that anyone will care, becasue I obviously don't know anything, but the MJO forecast has gotten very good also. When the cold Janaury happens I'm not going to let anyone say it was just luck on my part. I have been going cold Jan for months now.Months Jim? More like YEARS! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Not that it will have any effect on our weather in the near term, but it appears the sun might be about to wake up. The flux numbers are going up and there are a bunch of tiny spots. Still not an official end to the spotless streak, but it might end soon. If it does we would miss the longest modern day spotless streak by only a couple of days.I’m not sure a few sunspots is evidence that solar minimum has been reached/passed. Should be soon, though. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted December 24, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Yes! Happened all of the time in Moses Lake. Strange that I haven't seen it all these years until now. Fog is pretty common here but in general I have not seen flakes without any other major source of precipitation. I had a 10+ day stretch of non-stop frozen fog in Dec 2013 and that didn't happen once. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Not really they will blame global warming. Not really, the lower 48 is torching right now... Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Ensembles are okay, still a lot of spread as it is the long range. I think best case scenario right now is probably something between late December 2015 and January 2012. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Not really they will blame global warming.Good point. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Ensembles are okay, still a lot of spread as it is the long range. I think best case scenario right now is probably something between late December 2015 and January 2012.At best. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 At best. I kind of think a late December 2012/15 type scenario is probably best case in the 3rd-8th range...Probably would not be enough to improve the mood on here... I think any arctic potential will be in the 10-20th range and then MAYBE again the first week of February. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 12z ECMWF Day 3 Heights much lower over BC and us too. Ridge holding a bit further west. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 I kind of think a late December 2012/15 type scenario is probably best case in the 3rd-8th range...Probably would not be enough to improve the mood on here... I think any arctic potential will be in the 10-20th range and then MAYBE again the first week of February.Thank you for morning cFS recap and happy holidays Andrew. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Thank you for morning cFS recap and happy holidays Andrew. You are so welcome. And MERRY CHRISTMAS! https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2019/12/24/trump_made_it_safe_to_say_merry_christmas_again.html 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Day 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Phil created weather. 4 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Phil created weather. If so he did not do a great job. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 The Arctic doesn’t outbreak until Phil says it can. 3 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 24, 2019 Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted December 24, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 24, 2019 Frog already wants to burn off. That's unfortunate. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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