bud2380 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 GFS barely even hits CR with wave 2. Only about 1". 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Over the last 12-24 hours, the GFS has gone from nothing to 3-6 across the state from wave #1. I wish wave #2 didn't have to seesaw downward while wave #1 went up. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Trends good for Lincoln/Omaha but such a narrow band, few miles could make a big difference 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GDR Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Nam and euro vs gfs I wonder which will win Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Milwaukee gets .6 inches of freezing rain followed by 6-10 from 2nd wave 2-3 here from 1st wave and 5-7 from 2nd wave but riding the edge Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BMT Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Looks like new watches further west in Kansas Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WBadgersW Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Milwaukee gets .6 inches of freezing rain followed by 6-10 from 2nd wave 2-3 here from 1st wave and 5-7 from 2nd wave but riding the edgeRIP MKE Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Des Moines expands the Watch. About time. Just in time for news 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 WSW just issued C.IA--- Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 The GFS is garbage. That's my opinion. I'd ride the Euro, 3k NAM and HRRR. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 3km Nam is not good for Omaha and.lincoln 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
East Dubzz Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Nam and euro vs gfs I wonder which will winI’m not sure, but I usually feel better when I have the Euro in my side.. which seems to be rare Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 My headline is crazy, all sorts of watches Only concern I have is freezing rain that will develop on Saturday. UGH! 2 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 While NOT for mby, it is nice to see these words in the AFD. They also seem to be much more positive instead of the usual "storm cancel" mode we see so often. Across thenorth...forecasted snow amounts have been increased and the riskfor a foot of snow is on the rise. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NH4NU Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 I would gladly take this. Win for a lot of us! https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rap&p=snku_acc&rh=2020011003&fh=24&r=conus&dpdt=&mc= 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 RAP continues to hammer E.NE into W.IA and on NE 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Latest rap 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 GFS probably smoked a little bit too much tonight. Regardless, I still feel good about 2-4" for Omaha/Lincoln - though that's like the 4th time I've said that this season and the biggest snow here has been 1.5". 3 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 I never tire of seeing these words.. • Strong winds creating very low visibility and near blizzard conditions at times over parts of the area.• Travel will become very difficult during this time, especially Saturday night. Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 I'd prolly side with the short term models over the GFS. Schnack said the watch may have to be adjusted to the NW. Des Moines mentioned the possibility as well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Nws oax 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 GFS probably smoked a little bit too much tonight. Regardless, I still feel good about 2-4" for Omaha/Lincoln - though that's like the 4th time I've said that this season and the biggest snow here has been 1.5". Biggest here was 3.0" way back in early NOV before it got to -1F. snow total is 8.3" for the year so one can see how pathetic it has been since then. including 2.2" in OCT-- or 3" in two months since. Were due.Pretty confident this area will see 3"+ so got that going - which is nice. 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Canadian is awful. Seriously really bad. LOL. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 00z GFS mean 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Canadian is awful. Seriously really bad. LOL. First wave strong and nw, second weak and east. This is not something we were thinking about a day or two ago. I'm curious why the NAM/HRRR/GFS/Euro have heavy snow down to Cedar Rapids while the Canadian, which tends to have a cold bias, has the snow way nw. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 First wave strong and nw, second weak and east. This is not something we were thinking about a day or two ago.Unless the Euro flips to this, i'm not gonna worry. 18z Euro had 10"+ right over Iowa City. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Biggest here was 3.0" way back in early NOV before it got to -1F. snow total is 8.3" for the year so one can see how pathetic it has been since then. including 2.2" in OCT-- or 3" in two months since. Were due.Pretty confident this area will see 3"+ so got that going - which is nice.You and I are sitting at pretty much the same total and I received the majority of my total from the one storm in November. That just tells you how random these systems have been this year; your area, Omaha, Lincoln and out in central Nebraska all sit close to the same latitude yet we vary in snow totals from 7 to upwards of 30!!!! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 "Punk" 0z GFS wants to troll me sooooo badly 5 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinton Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 "Punk" 0z GFS wants to troll me sooooo badly 20200110 0z GFS h54 Surf.PNGIt's trying to hose me! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madtown Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 First wave strong and nw, second weak and east. This is not something we were thinking about a day or two ago. I'm curious why the NAM/HRRR/GFS/Euro have heavy snow down to Cedar Rapids while the Canadian, which tends to have a cold bias, has the snow way nw.Has the GFS been right yet this winter? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Has the GFS been right yet this winter?There was a storm once that the GFS was insistent on several days out and the Euro had nothing and the GFS ended up right. But from what I have seen it has not done well overall at all and not done well in the short term at all. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Money Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 00z GFS meanThat’s 18z, right? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 That’s 18z, right?yes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Ukie is already 15 minutes late, not updating for some reason. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Insane! Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Trace Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 Ukie is already 15 minutes late, not updating for some reason. I've noticed that as well. The only real change I expect is a juicing-up of the first wave because the last couple runs have been pretty weak and dry. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 That’s 18z, right? 00z mean is NW with wave 1 (4" for LNK-OMA-DSM) and wave 2 looks about the same, maybe slightly east. Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 I'm riding the Euro. Everything else is a mess right now. Seriously more flopping than yesterday. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 10, 2020 Report Share Posted January 10, 2020 another nice run of the RAP for many reading and still snowing heavily at HR 21- https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=rap&p=snku_acc&rh=2020011004&fh=21&r=conus&dpdt=&mc= Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.