Phil Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 It’s not “just timing”. The warmth is delayed several days. Wouldn’t shock me if that trend continues. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 It’s not “just timing”. The warmth is delayed several days. Wouldn’t shock me if that trend continues.Wouldn't shock me either. Also wouldn't shock me if it trends warmer in the long range. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Currently 39 with some graupel still on the ground. Been a cold March overall. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 It’s not “just timing”. The warmth is delayed several days. Wouldn’t shock me if that trend continues. Side note... even by day 12 the warmth is a little farther west on the 12Z EPS compared to the 00Z run. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 No rain here yet today. Was really hoping for some as it has been a while and it would be nice to have some. The rain shadow should push up north as the low drops south so should get in on the action later tonight. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 NOTHING would shock me. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 NOTHING would shock me.Everything happens for a reason, no biggie. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Electricity can. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Side note... even by day 12 the warmth is a little farther west on the 12Z EPS compared to the 00Z run. But it’s cooler before D12. In other words, delayed several days. You’re just reframing what I already said in your own narrative. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 But it’s cooler before D12. In other words, delayed several days. You’re just reframing what I already said in your own narrative.I don't really care that much... did not look that different overall. No EPS run has showed it warm "several days" before day 12. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Side note... even by day 12 the warmth is a little farther west on the 12Z EPS compared to the 00Z run. Pretty cold around Hawaii to Alaska. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Side note... even by day 12 the warmth is a little farther west on the 12Z EPS compared to the 00Z run. West Coast Finger of Warmth. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 0.42" of rain today. A steady rain in the morning turned into off and on downpours in the afternoon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Finally did get a pretty good downpour from the dark clouds earlier, and now its already down to 35. With things still being pretty wet, it might be a bit icy in the morning up here. 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 00z GFS looks much improved. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 00z GFS looks much improved.Bit of snow for puget sound. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Weird that the models are struggling so much with this upcoming pattern. Seems like fine details in Alaska make a major difference on the West Coast. GFS operational has had somewhat of a cold/wet bias in the mid range this month, however. First with the mid-March event then with last weekend. We still have the ensembles and ECMWF ahead of us so let’s see what they say. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Weird that the models are struggling so much with this upcoming pattern. Seems like fine details in Alaska make a major difference on the West Coast. Hoping to see some major ensemble improvement. The EPS was certainly promising. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Bit of snow for puget sound. Shades of spring 2008. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 00z GFS looks much improved. I was going to say...the difference between the operational GFS and GFS ensemble vs the 18z is pretty amazing. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Shades of spring 2008. Maybe this will be a cold year. It appears the chances of a Nina developing are pretty decent. As I've mentioned before the one thing I have yet to see here is a spring with frosts deep into the spring with numerous lows in the 30s into very late spring. The type of patterns we are seeing right now could deliver that if they persist. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Marked ensemble improvement. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Interesting surface low slowly rolling down the Island today. Pretty decent looking wintertime pattern: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Marked ensemble improvement.always improving but never getting better! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 always improving but never getting better!The only known treatment is Phil’s ice age. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 06z cool wet. ensembles. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Some wet snow falling this morning. 34. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 It looks like winter is Cali is all but over on the long range models. Some areas in the Bay Area up to the Oregon border will smash their all time driest season's by a large margin. The benchmark for dry was during the 1975-1977 time frame. This will likely be the driest season in South Lake Tahoe for precip but not snowfall. That record was set during the 2014-2015 (AKA the year without a winter) It was a weird winter where the Desert Southwest was the big winner in precip outside of Washington. The only other kinda similar winter I can think of would be 2000-2001 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Rain/snow mix under this heavy shower over us here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Picked up 0.30” yesterday and another 0.02” this morning which is good for 1.41” for March. Looks like we should avoid another record dry March here like last year (1.44” in 2019). Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Warm season starts in a week (4/1-10/1).Hopefully next cold season ends up being better than this one...id give this one a C grade...maybe C-. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 0.53" since the rain started yesterday. Brings March up to 2.07". A normal March has 8.08". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 06z cool wet. ensembles.This really says it all. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Quite a bit of snow mixing in now, pleasant little surprise. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcmcgaffey Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Picked up 0.30” yesterday and another 0.02” this morning which is good for 1.41” for March. Looks like we should avoid another record dry March here like last year (1.44” in 2019). Up here just north of downtown seattle we are much drier this year than last year. Last year my area finished pretty close to average due to some convergences etc north of Seattle. March this year has been much drier and closer to your numbers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Worth noting that even though the 00z Euro took a bit of a dump in the 6-10 day range last night, the EPS was much improved. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Worth noting that even though the 00z Euro took a bit of a dump in the 6-10 day range last night, the EPS was much improved.Check out 12z GFS. Brings a 984mb low close to the Oregon Coast following what looks like a mini AR. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Check out 12z GFS.No. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Snow covered Mt Si peaking out through the clouds... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted March 24, 2020 Report Share Posted March 24, 2020 Check out 12z GFS. Ok you twisted my arm it looks great. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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