August 2023 Weather in the PNW

[TacomaWx]

3 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

The 12Z GEFS ensemble doubled down -- only 1/30 members with > 0.1" at KSEA. Meanwhile the EPS mean is 0.2" with 5/50 members above 0.5". 

Edit -- the 12Z HRRR looks closer to the Euro as well. So basically, it's gonna rain and the GFS is garbage as usual. 

I think the system might be slightly higher in totals than the rain events on 7/24 and 8/9…but hard to imagine most places getting more than 0.1-0.2”. It looks showery so it’ll be hit and miss too most likely. 

[the_convergence_zone]

5 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I think the system might be slightly higher in totals than the rain events on 7/24 and 8/9…but hard to imagine most places getting more than 0.1-0.2”. It looks showery so it’ll be hit and miss too most likely. 

Definitely looks like shadowing in the north sound. The low is basically wrapping around Hilary moisture, so BC gets most of it and some residual moisture gets wrapped all the way around back to western Washington. 

I'm still at 0.00" for August (7/24 was the last time I got rain) so I'll take literally anything. 

Longer term remains interesting with the second UL low hanging around off the coast of Oregon and potentially triggering some convective activity west of the crest. TBD on that. I bet that low is also going to pull smoke northward from the northern CA fire(s). 

[TacomaWx]

3 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Definitely looks like shadowing in the north sound. The low is basically wrapping around Hilary moisture, so BC gets most of it and some residual moisture gets wrapped all the way around back to western Washington. 

I'm still at 0.00" for August (7/24 was the last time I got rain) so I'll take literally anything. 

Longer term remains interesting with the second UL low hanging around off the coast of Oregon and potentially triggering some convective activity west of the crest. TBD on that. I bet that low is also going to pull smoke northward from the northern CA fire(s). 

0.11” here for august, but haven’t had more than 0.10” in a single day since 6/20. We need more than a few 0.1-0.2” spotty rainfalls but we probably won’t get what we need for atleast 3-4 weeks. 

[Front Ranger]

18 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Definitely looks like shadowing in the north sound. The low is basically wrapping around Hilary moisture, so BC gets most of it and some residual moisture gets wrapped all the way around back to western Washington. 

I'm still at 0.00" for August (7/24 was the last time I got rain) so I'll take literally anything. 

Longer term remains interesting with the second UL low hanging around off the coast of Oregon and potentially triggering some convective activity west of the crest. TBD on that. I bet that low is also going to pull smoke northward from the northern CA fire(s). 

Hopefully the rain today is putting a damper on some of the northern CA fires.

[NWbyNW]

It feels awesome today and the smoke is mostly all gone from the lower levels here in Everett.  It smells fresh again and the current temp is only 62F.  Won't get close to the projected 73F.

 

 

[YahRaEl]

12 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

It feels awesome today and the smoke is mostly all gone from the lower levels here in Everett.  It smells fresh again and the current temp is only 62F.  Won't get close to the projected 73F.

 

 

Probably gonna be more in par with HRRR or NAM temp prediction 

[Phil]

Heat indices are in the 130s under that plains death ridge. Nasty.

[TT-SEA]

37 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

It feels awesome today and the smoke is mostly all gone from the lower levels here in Everett.  It smells fresh again and the current temp is only 62F.  Won't get close to the projected 73F.

 

 

Smoke seems to be clearing at the lower levels out here too.

Currently 73 degrees.

[MossMan]

Decided to fight the smoke and head over to lake Entiat for a few days. Pretty bad but not quite as bad as September 2020 when I was here during that smoke storm. Unusually cool here at only 74 degrees currently. 

[the_convergence_zone]

 Fully locked in.

[jcmcgaffey]

1 hour ago, Front Ranger said:

Hopefully the rain today is putting a damper on some of the northern CA fires.

Currently driving from Redding to the redwoods and unfortunately the rain has been focused a little too far south east of where most all of the fires are. However, it is providing cloud cover and higher humidity. It is also drenching areas to the east that also look very dry. 

[Meatyorologist]

3 hours ago, Tyler Mode said:

Some of the driest areas of the PNW...

When I was coming home the other week they were also getting some really decent rainfall from stationary thunderstorms. Not a bad summer out that way.

[Phishy Wx]

it's trying.  just on the edge, nothing coming down

 

[TacomaWx]

72 after a low of 52. Still a tad bit of smoke but it’s not really that noticeable today. Believe the AQI is back up to 80…but certainly nothing like what we was in 2020 or 2022. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Whoa Nelly. Look for the rainfall amounts in Union and Wallowa counties to continue to add up as the heavier rain shifts north over the next few hours. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

3 hours ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Send me a DM today or tomorrow if you want to be in weather forum fantasy football league. I'll create a GC if there is enough interest.

Created a thread for this 

.

[LowerGarfield]

1 hour ago, Phishy Wx said:

it's trying.  just on the edge, nothing coming down

 

Likewise. Had a few sprinkles around 10am or so but it's just overcast and humid. Green air quality.

[Phil]

Dews hitting 90°F in Iowa today. Corn fields transpirate like crazy.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Got my new video card put in. Gigabyte nVidia RTX 3060 12gb VRAM.

A nice upgrade from my GTX 1660ti 6gb VRAM.

Looks great on my 720p TV from straight outta 2006 baby!!

But it'll be able to run Starfield just fine. Anybody else excited for that game? Gonna take my mind of Smoke-gust and early Smoke-tember.

[Front Ranger]

41 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Whoa Nelly. Look for the rainfall amounts in Union and Wallowa counties to continue to add up as the heavier rain shifts north over the next few hours. 

Looks like it's petering out everywhere now.

[Tyler Mode]

6 minutes ago, Phil said:

Dews hitting 90°F in Iowa today. Corn fields transpirate like crazy.

What's crazy is the mid to upper 70's dewpoints in SW Minnesota, yet low 60s in Dallas.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

3 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Looks like it's petering out everywhere now.

It does. 

[the_convergence_zone]

9 minutes ago, Phil said:

Dews hitting 90°F in Iowa today. Corn fields transpirate like crazy.

Are we sure those are real? Moisture sensors tend to start going bonkers when the dew point gets above the low-80s. 

[Bodhijr]

Extremely happy for the chance of precip coming, especially living only 10 miles outside of Medical lake WA. It got wild down here.

[Phil]

28 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Are we sure those are real? Moisture sensors tend to start going bonkers when the dew point gets above the low-80s. 

The ASOS/AWOS sensors are typically pretty solid, more likely to be a siting issue than sensor error IMO.

Edit: I think I’ve changed my mind. The diurnal cycle in dewpoints tracking temps looks like bad siting or poor calibration. No way there’s that much latent heating.

[Phil]

Though the manner in which dews/temps track together could very well suggest some kind of siting issue? Too close to vegetation and you get some stupid readings.

[HuskyMaestro]

58 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Created a thread for this 

.

I'd be down

I did fantasy football with some of my buds last year too. My Silent Hill Flophawks choked in the final but had a lot of fun

[TT-SEA]

Smoke at the lower levels is sooooo slow to clear... been watching the line move NE towards the Seattle area all day.   Its moves much slower than clouds.    But its making progress and should be all gone by morning.

[HuskyMaestro]

77 in Fife, feels much cooler than that with the smoke still around.

[MV_snow]

Morning Canadian smoke model shows some smoke returning on Thursday, but not as bad as yesterday. Hard to say what happens after that. Hope the modeled rain makes a dent in those BC fires which is the source of most of our smoke.

[T-Town]

31 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Smoke at the lower levels is sooooo slow to clear... been watching the line move NE towards the Seattle area all day.   Its moves much slower than clouds.    But its making progress and should be all gone by morning.

Big improvement in visibility here just within the last hour or so. I can see the Olympics for the first time in a couple days. 

[The Cats Meow]

79 here in the Swamp.  What a glorious summer it has been.  One for the ages.

[Phishy Wx]

oof I think we're getting skunked on the rain unless something else develops overnight/tomorrow 

[Phil]

Grotesque

https://x.com/ryans_wx/status/1693780836980543795?s=46&t=656Z973wLtGKaIyhhq_7QQ

[YahRaEl]

Tomorrow looks pretty cool!!!

[MossMan]

Hopefully this won’t be considered good air quality in 10 years…

Still a fun time on the River though. Currently 80. 

[T-Town]

7 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Hopefully this won’t be considered good air quality in 10 years…

Still a fun time on the River though. Currently 80. 

Nothing more than a light haze here now. Hopefully coming your way. 

[TT-SEA]

Looks like smoke is completely gone now up in Bellingham. 

[TT-SEA]

20 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Nothing more than a light haze here now. Hopefully coming your way. 

Not nearly as nice just to your north in Seattle.   Smoke models showed this happening with lingering smoke hanging tough over Seattle while it cleared faster to the north and south of there.   It's basically a c-zone signature in smoke in an area of lighter wind directly downwind from the Olympics with westerly flow. 

[YahRaEl]

Nice little breeze out here.