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August 2023 Weather in the PNW


Cascadia_Wx

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3 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

The 12Z GEFS ensemble doubled down -- only 1/30 members with > 0.1" at KSEA. Meanwhile the EPS mean is 0.2" with 5/50 members above 0.5". 

Edit -- the 12Z HRRR looks closer to the Euro as well. So basically, it's gonna rain and the GFS is garbage as usual. 

I think the system might be slightly higher in totals than the rain events on 7/24 and 8/9…but hard to imagine most places getting more than 0.1-0.2”. It looks showery so it’ll be hit and miss too most likely. 

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5 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I think the system might be slightly higher in totals than the rain events on 7/24 and 8/9…but hard to imagine most places getting more than 0.1-0.2”. It looks showery so it’ll be hit and miss too most likely. 

Definitely looks like shadowing in the north sound. The low is basically wrapping around Hilary moisture, so BC gets most of it and some residual moisture gets wrapped all the way around back to western Washington. 

I'm still at 0.00" for August (7/24 was the last time I got rain) so I'll take literally anything. 

Longer term remains interesting with the second UL low hanging around off the coast of Oregon and potentially triggering some convective activity west of the crest. TBD on that. I bet that low is also going to pull smoke northward from the northern CA fire(s). 

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3 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Definitely looks like shadowing in the north sound. The low is basically wrapping around Hilary moisture, so BC gets most of it and some residual moisture gets wrapped all the way around back to western Washington. 

I'm still at 0.00" for August (7/24 was the last time I got rain) so I'll take literally anything. 

Longer term remains interesting with the second UL low hanging around off the coast of Oregon and potentially triggering some convective activity west of the crest. TBD on that. I bet that low is also going to pull smoke northward from the northern CA fire(s). 

0.11” here for august, but haven’t had more than 0.10” in a single day since 6/20. We need more than a few 0.1-0.2” spotty rainfalls but we probably won’t get what we need for atleast 3-4 weeks. 

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18 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Definitely looks like shadowing in the north sound. The low is basically wrapping around Hilary moisture, so BC gets most of it and some residual moisture gets wrapped all the way around back to western Washington. 

I'm still at 0.00" for August (7/24 was the last time I got rain) so I'll take literally anything. 

Longer term remains interesting with the second UL low hanging around off the coast of Oregon and potentially triggering some convective activity west of the crest. TBD on that. I bet that low is also going to pull smoke northward from the northern CA fire(s). 

Hopefully the rain today is putting a damper on some of the northern CA fires.

A forum for the end of the world.

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12 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

It feels awesome today and the smoke is mostly all gone from the lower levels here in Everett.  It smells fresh again and the current temp is only 62F.  Won't get close to the projected 73F.

 

 

Screen Shot 2023-08-21 at 12.57.56 PM.png

Probably gonna be more in par with HRRR or NAM temp prediction 

Screenshot_20230821-131050-729.png

Screenshot_20230821-131105-218.png

Eastside Tacoma/Salishan, WA. Elv 263ft

Family home in Spanaway, WA. Elv 413ft

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Heat indices are in the 130s under that plains death ridge. Nasty.

foto26446a4f1f801ef3b3d1564dea31df66.png
"Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways."
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37 minutes ago, NWbyNW said:

It feels awesome today and the smoke is mostly all gone from the lower levels here in Everett.  It smells fresh again and the current temp is only 62F.  Won't get close to the projected 73F.

 

 

Screen Shot 2023-08-21 at 12.57.56 PM.png

Smoke seems to be clearing at the lower levels out here too.

Currently 73 degrees.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Decided to fight the smoke and head over to lake Entiat for a few days. Pretty bad but not quite as bad as September 2020 when I was here during that smoke storm. Unusually cool here at only 74 degrees currently. 

IMG_8061.jpeg

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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1 hour ago, Front Ranger said:

Hopefully the rain today is putting a damper on some of the northern CA fires.

Currently driving from Redding to the redwoods and unfortunately the rain has been focused a little too far south east of where most all of the fires are. However, it is providing cloud cover and higher humidity. It is also drenching areas to the east that also look very dry. 

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3 hours ago, Tyler Mode said:

Some of the driest areas of the PNW...

Screenshot 2023-08-21 at 11-20-34 NWS Weather & Hazards.png

Screenshot 2023-08-21 at 11-20-53 NWS Weather & Hazards.png

Screenshot 2023-08-21 at 11-21-04 NWS Weather & Hazards.png

When I was coming home the other week they were also getting some really decent rainfall from stationary thunderstorms. Not a bad summer out that way.

Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 40

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Image

Whoa Nelly. Look for the rainfall amounts in Union and Wallowa counties to continue to add up as the heavier rain shifts north over the next few hours. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 hour ago, Phishy Wx said:

it's trying.  just on the edge, nothing coming down

 

image.png.0fa548c662127e4721d8152849a5e8bd.png

Likewise. Had a few sprinkles around 10am or so but it's just overcast and humid. Green air quality.

Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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Dews hitting 90°F in Iowa today. Corn fields transpirate like crazy.

foto26446a4f1f801ef3b3d1564dea31df66.png
"Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways."
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Got my new video card put in. Gigabyte nVidia RTX 3060 12gb VRAM.

A nice upgrade from my GTX 1660ti 6gb VRAM.

Looks great on my 720p TV from straight outta 2006 baby!!

But it'll be able to run Starfield just fine. Anybody else excited for that game? Gonna take my mind of Smoke-gust and early Smoke-tember.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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3 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Looks like it's petering out everywhere now.

It does. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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28 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Are we sure those are real? Moisture sensors tend to start going bonkers when the dew point gets above the low-80s. 

The ASOS/AWOS sensors are typically pretty solid, more likely to be a siting issue than sensor error IMO.

Edit: I think I’ve changed my mind. The diurnal cycle in dewpoints tracking temps looks like bad siting or poor calibration. No way there’s that much latent heating.

foto26446a4f1f801ef3b3d1564dea31df66.png
"Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways."
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Though the manner in which dews/temps track together could very well suggest some kind of siting issue? Too close to vegetation and you get some stupid readings.

foto26446a4f1f801ef3b3d1564dea31df66.png
"Western troughing literally kills people at this time of year. And in the most gruesome of ways."
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58 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Created a thread for this 

.

👀 I'd be down

I did fantasy football with some of my buds last year too. My Silent Hill Flophawks choked in the final but had a lot of fun 😂

𝘐𝘯 𝘮𝘺 𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘭𝘦𝘴𝘴 𝘥𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘮𝘴,

𝘐 𝘴𝘦𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘵𝘰𝘸𝘯.

𝘗𝘶𝘺𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘶𝘱.

Reddit: HotlineMaestro

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Smoke at the lower levels is sooooo slow to clear... been watching the line move NE towards the Seattle area all day.   Its moves much slower than clouds.    But its making progress and should be all gone by morning.

CODNEXLAB-GOES-West-subregional-Pac_NW-truecolor-23_31Z-20230821_map_noBar-25-1n-10-100.gif

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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31 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Smoke at the lower levels is sooooo slow to clear... been watching the line move NE towards the Seattle area all day.   Its moves much slower than clouds.    But its making progress and should be all gone by morning.

CODNEXLAB-GOES-West-subregional-Pac_NW-truecolor-23_31Z-20230821_map_noBar-25-1n-10-100.gif

Big improvement in visibility here just within the last hour or so. I can see the Olympics for the first time in a couple days. 

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Hopefully this won’t be considered good air quality in 10 years…

Still a fun time on the River though. Currently 80. 

IMG_8071.jpeg

IMG_8074.jpeg

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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20 minutes ago, T-Town said:

Nothing more than a light haze here now. Hopefully coming your way. 

IMG_8477.jpeg

Not nearly as nice just to your north in Seattle.   Smoke models showed this happening with lingering smoke hanging tough over Seattle while it cleared faster to the north and south of there.   It's basically a c-zone signature in smoke in an area of lighter wind directly downwind from the Olympics with westerly flow. 

Screenshot_20230821-181750_Chrome.jpg

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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