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August 2023 Weather in the PNW


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Warm day here, 90F but air quality is good. Made my son take a break from xbox to play in the sun for a bit. First day is Monday, looking quite hot here. 

Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 0.6 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 0.6 on 12/1/2023

Most recent accumulation (non trace): same as above

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.6)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 11/30/23 (3rd)

Coldest low: 18F (11/28/23)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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2 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said:

Warm day here, 90F but air quality is good. Made my son take a break from xbox to play in the sun for a bit. First day is Monday, looking quite hot here. 

My daughter starts school on Tuesday... likely in the middle of a thunderstorm outbreak!  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

My daughter starts school on Tuesday... likely in the middle of a thunderstorm outbreak!  

I was looking at those runs and can totally imagine my spouse trying to pick up my son in a thunderstorm...pow!

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 0.6 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 0.6 on 12/1/2023

Most recent accumulation (non trace): same as above

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.6)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 11/30/23 (3rd)

Coldest low: 18F (11/28/23)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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3 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Pre-dawn explosion on Tuesday per the 12Z ECMWF.   

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-lightning_density_last3-3310400.png

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-precip_6hr_inch-3321200.png

I’m in the…Whatever that dark color is! My dog is going to be pissed…Well pissing herself anyway. 

IMG_8195.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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10 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

And yet Euro only has this...I know it's way better than GFS, but does it usually struggle in these situations compared to the "hurricane models"?

ecmwf_mslp_pcpn_seus_34.png

Well it’s also not a hurricane model, lots of small scale stuff that a global model might not pick up on.

This is the analog I’m thinking of. Nada to cat5 monster in 72hrs.

 

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37 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I’m in the…Whatever that dark color is! My dog is going to be pissed…Well pissing herself anyway. 

IMG_8195.jpeg

I'm in that color to here in Tacoma 

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Eastside Tacoma/Salishan, WA. Elv 263ft

Family home in Spanaway, WA. Elv 413ft

☥𓂀✡️

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25 minutes ago, Phil said:

Well it’s also not a hurricane model, lots of small scale stuff that a global model might not pick up on.

This is the analog I’m thinking of. Nada to cat5 monster in 72hrs.

 

Oof, let's hope not. 

Michael became a hurricane way down by Cuba, though...which this thing looks unlikely to do. If it doesn't start to form into a hurricane until it's halfway through the gulf and moving rapidly towards the panhandle, not sure that's enough time to intensify to Cat 5.

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A forum for the end of the world.

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The Gulf is jet fuel right now. Gonna be a lot of room for growth.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50" 🥳

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 1”; February 26th, 2023

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 16

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Can see what I think is the pyrocumulus from the Camp Creek Fire near Sandy.

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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18z GFS essentially ends summer.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50" 🥳

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 1”; February 26th, 2023

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 16

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7 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

18z GFS essentially ends summer.

Phil’s prophecy coming true! 

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2023-2024 cold season stats

Lowest Max-39

Lowest Min-27

Sub 40 Highs-1

Sub 32 Highs-0

Freezes-13

Rainfall MTD-5.41”

Rainfall (Since 10/1)- 8.89”

Total snowfall-0.0”

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41 minutes ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

A typical sunny, late summer afternoon at University of Communist Indoctrination where the high temperatures in October average higher than the high temperatures in May. 

20230826_143502.thumb.jpg.2c7c6b2dbb15fc047b46dba2c6293070.jpg

 

 

Did they relocate Irvine up to the PNW?

"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said:

18z GFS essentially ends summer.

Yeah... as the season changes you can start counting on the GFS to be way too aggressive most of the time.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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17 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

So I should set my alarm for 1am Tuesday morning? 

ecmwf-deterministic-seattle-lightning_density_inst-1693072800-1693296000-1693328400-40.gif

Pretty sure nature will wake you up without setting an alarm.  👍

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, RentonHill said:

Don’t listen to this fool @Kolk1604 set your alarm. 

Might as well stay up all night if you are going to set an alarm for 1 a.m.  😀

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Mean temp so far this month is 68.9 degrees. 0.4 degrees warmer than august 2022. We are 0.3 degrees shy of July 2015, the warmest month I’ve ever recorded. The mean temp will come down just slightly but still should end up close to August 2022 and 2014. 

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2023-2024 cold season stats

Lowest Max-39

Lowest Min-27

Sub 40 Highs-1

Sub 32 Highs-0

Freezes-13

Rainfall MTD-5.41”

Rainfall (Since 10/1)- 8.89”

Total snowfall-0.0”

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Had a high of 85 today. 15th 85+ high temp of the year IMBY.

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2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats

Total Snowfall - 0”

Max Snow Depth - 0”

Coldest High Temp - 36F (Nov 29)

Coldest Low Temp - 25F (Nov 26 & Nov 29)

Number of Freezes - 20

Sub-40 highs - 1

Highs 32 or lower - 0

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Interesting a bit day at my location is actually 88° or over according to this. A night at 49° or less is a cold night for the month.

 https://www.meteoblue.com/en/weather/historyclimate/climatemodelled/swan-creek-county-park_united-states_5812803

Screenshot_20230826-195828-172.png

Eastside Tacoma/Salishan, WA. Elv 263ft

Family home in Spanaway, WA. Elv 413ft

☥𓂀✡️

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z NAM is very wet for Tuesday.   

nam-218-all-washington-total_precip_inch-3396800.png

Some of the set ups on the models  have looked similar to the path the storms on 9/17/19 took…just right east of the sound over Seattle. 

2023-2024 cold season stats

Lowest Max-39

Lowest Min-27

Sub 40 Highs-1

Sub 32 Highs-0

Freezes-13

Rainfall MTD-5.41”

Rainfall (Since 10/1)- 8.89”

Total snowfall-0.0”

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3 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Some of the set ups on the models  have looked similar to the path the storms on 9/17/19 took…just right east of the sound over Seattle. 

Totally agree... feels really similar.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 minute ago, VancouverIslandSouth said:

Would be nice to see this verify:

gfs_apcpn_nwus_26.png

Tuesday and Thursday look quite wet on the 00Z run.   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, TacomaWx said:

Some of the set ups on the models  have looked similar to the path the storms on 9/17/19 took…just right east of the sound over Seattle. 

Was just thinking the same thing. 2019 were remnants of a hurricane and was unusually warm and wet with more instability than this probably will be but hoping I’m wrong. 

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Was just looking at trip reports on WTA crazy how fast Inter glacier on Mount Rainier is disappearing. 
This is my photo of it in Mid-August 2019. Here is a link to it in 2023 Burroughs Mountain — Washington Trails Association (wta.org) The summers since 2013 have really been detrimental for glaciers in Washington and even more so for Oregon.

Inter glacier.png

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