September 2023 Weather in the PNW

[MossMan]

I thought Cliff Mass said like 3 weeks ago that we were done with the 80’s…

[TT-SEA]

North Bend has also tied 2015 for 85+ days at 27.    But 2022 is the king in that regard and that record should be safe now.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I thought Cliff Mass said like 3 weeks ago that we were done with the 80’s…

Roads must still be too hot from last month.

[TT-SEA]

Another interesting stat posted by SEA NWS earlier yesterday before it reached 80 degrees.

[Cloud]

8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Another interesting stat posted by SEA NWS earlier yesterday before it reached 80 degrees.

Interesting for some, perhaps concerning for others. Climate shift? then we’ll have a whole discussion about how it’s part of the earth’s climate cycle

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Interesting for some, perhaps concerning for others. Climate shift? then we’ll have a whole discussion about how it’s part of the earth’s climate cycle

I am sure its all UHI.   That is why the warming has been even more pronounced out here away from the Sound.   4th runway at North Bend International.  

[TT-SEA]

18Z GFS is back to a much more troughy scenario for next week.  

[RentonHill]

00z vs 12z EPS - better. Definitely room for the 18z GFS in there. I believe. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

15 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

18Z GFS is back to a much more troughy scenario for next week.  

Jesse should find that fabulous.

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

00z vs 12z EPS - better. Definitely room for the 18z GFS in there. I believe. 

12Z EPS 500mb map also shows room for an 18Z GFS solution.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I was gonna say. GFS looks stellar. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

20 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

18Z GFS is back to a much more troughy scenario for next week.  

[Anti Marine Layer]

Reverse clearing. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

ò

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

ò

Wrong thread?

[T-Town]

Cleared out and it’s mostly sunny and 71 here now. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

18 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Wrong thread?

Yep

[Kolk1604]

I'll say. 18z GFS is nice for next week. 

 

 

[Cascadia_Wx]

76/58 day here. Partly cloudy early on, then clouding up later in the afternoon with what appears to be a weak front. Mostly cloudy and 74 currently. May scoop up a midnight low with some clearing later and a cooling airmass.

Of course PDX almost touched 80 again, with a 79. A solid 3-5 degrees above most guidance which has been the trend there the last week/decade or so.

[Phishy Wx]

lol taking stock in the druncle

[MV_snow]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

18Z GFS is back to a much more troughy scenario for next week.  

But I thought you only posted warm maps!

 

[RentonHill]

40 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

lol taking stock in the druncle

IT HAS POTENTIAL EPS SUPPORT !!!

[Meatyorologist]

2 hours ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Roads must still be too hot from last month.

this made me laugh good, thanks for that

[MossMan]

Lovely evening in Stanwood at soccer practice. 

[Cloud]

3 hours ago, Kolk1604 said:

I'll say. 18z GFS is nice for next week. 

 

 

Last 80s of the year. I’m sure of it. And if we torch all of Oct, y’all can blame me.  

[MossMan]

47 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Last 80s of the year. I’m sure of it. And if we torch all of Oct, y’all can blame me.  

Okay Cliff!

Edited September 12 by MossMan

[TT-SEA]

00Z GFS goes crazy with the troughing next week.

[Front Ranger]

7 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

I am sure its all UHI.   That is why the warming has been even more pronounced out here away from the Sound.   4th runway at North Bend International.  

Warming and UHI are both real. Crazy!

[Rubus Leucodermis]

3 hours ago, Cloud said:

Last 80s of the year. I’m sure of it. And if we torch all of Oct, y’all can blame me.  

Always a bad idea to bet against torching in this day and age.

[The Blob]

Beautiful day,  I look forward to summer at the end of the week.

[Phil]

Storms last weekend had July-like flash rates. Uncommon to see this in mid-September. 2023 has gone rogue.

 

[Cloud]

Yooo. Inject that 6z run into my vein! 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

10 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Yooo. Inject that 6z run into my vein! 

Looks amazing 

[Tyler Mode]

Nice morning in the Rockies after a little fresh snow.

[Tyler Mode]

Great view from the Olympics.

[Tyler Mode]

Nice to see some of the models back off a few degrees from late this week.  Still looking like 90 for Portland, potentially Thursday-Saturday, most likely Friday.

I'm beyond my average last 90(on the 6th).

[Phishy Wx]

is it going to snow tomorrow?

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 minute ago, Tyler Mode said:

Nice to see some of the models back off a few degrees from late this week.  Still looking like 90 for Portland, potentially Thursday-Saturday, most likely Friday.

I'm beyond my average last 90(on the 6th).

Hopefully just Friday. We’re getting it the point of the season where it generally takes some offshore flow at the surface to be a slam dunk for 90.

Pretty morning here, partly cloudy and 54. I’m glad we’re also to the point where the nights are becoming dependably cool.

[Tyler Mode]

6 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Hopefully just Friday. We’re getting it the point of the season where it generally takes some offshore flow at the surface to be a slam dunk for 90.

Pretty morning here, partly cloudy and 54. I’m glad we’re also to the point where the nights are becoming dependably cool.

True, but at PDX...

[GobBluth]

Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

Hopefully just Friday. We’re getting it the point of the season where it generally takes some offshore flow at the surface to be a slam dunk for 90.

Pretty morning here, partly cloudy and 54. I’m glad we’re also to the point where the nights are becoming dependably cool.

The switch to cool nights starting on the 4th was glorious.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Another torchdown for Tiger.

Cools down afterwards, but by hour 240 it seems to be warming up again.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

39 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Hopefully just Friday. We’re getting it the point of the season where it generally takes some offshore flow at the surface to be a slam dunk for 90.

Pretty morning here, partly cloudy and 54. I’m glad we’re also to the point where the nights are becoming dependably cool.

At the risk of sounding like a scratched record:

Quote

Always a bad idea to bet against torching in this day and age.

 

[LowerGarfield]

20 hours ago, Omegaraptor said:

Another park trash can I maintain at work is swarming with yellow jackets.

Can’t wait until all these bastards die a 50 degree drizzly death.

They really start dying at about 45F. If you're able to get below 45F as a high which may be rare on the west side, they are all dead except for the queens.

[LowerGarfield]

Temp in the mid 60's, comfortable with some light clouds and sun.

[TT-SEA]

FWIW.... the 06Z EPS looked more aggressive with the trough dropping down from the north at the end of the run at 144 hours compared to previous runs.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

60F and beautiful this morning. Gonna be a warm one this weekend for the ballgames.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 hour ago, LowerGarfield said:

They really start dying at about 45F. If you're able to get below 45F as a high which may be rare on the west side, they are all dead except for the queens.

Highs below 45°F are not rare on the west side… in December and January.

[Timmy]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

FWIW.... the 06Z EPS looked more aggressive with the trough dropping down from the north at the end of the run at 144 hours compared to previous runs.

Gfs continues the aggression

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Timmy said:

Gfs continues the aggression

I'm gonna dance in the rain, naked, at work, if this verifies!

[Cloud]

5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I'm gonna dance in the rain, naked, at work, if this verifies!

Dance’