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October 2023 Observations and Discussion


gabel23

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Well you crazy weather fanatics it's time to start the biggest month of the year!! (If you follow the LRC at least) . Been seeing a lot of winter forecasts being released and it sounds like at the very minimum will have a weak/moderate El Nino(hoping not a strong!). The things I'll be watching is the NAO and AO. if we can keep those neutral or negative that would do wonders. Analog years I have seen that have matched up with the long range forecasters, or at least the ones I follow, leads to a fast start to winter. October and November cold and possibly snowy for the upper midwest?? 02-03 and 09-10 are winters that I remember; 09-10 by far being one of the best in my memory (NAO and AO negative pretty much the whole winter). 57-58, 72-73, 77-78 was also fast starts to winters, at least around my area. Let the discussions and new cycle begin! 

 

https://www.facebook.com/JimFlowersForecaster/videos/294496906601118

 

 

ao.gefs.sprd2.png

nao.gefs.sprd2.png

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Just a heads up, there will be a solar eclipse on Saturday, October 14.  Most of us will see this as a partial eclipse (weather permitting, of course) but a narrow path from OR to TX will experience an annular eclipse.  

Times given on the point and click website below are in UTC, so be aware of that.  For most of us it's generally a late morning and extending into early afternoon event.

http://xjubier.free.fr/en/site_pages/solar_eclipses/ASE_2023_GoogleMapFull.html

Just a little warmup for the big dog eclipse on April 8, 2024.

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On 9/26/2023 at 9:55 PM, gabel23 said:

Well you crazy weather fanatics it's time to start the biggest month of the year!! (If you follow the LRC at least) . Been seeing a lot of winter forecasts being released and it sounds like at the very minimum will have a weak/moderate El Nino(hoping not a strong!). The things I'll be watching is the NAO and AO. if we can keep those neutral or negative that would do wonders. Analog years I have seen that have matched up with the long range forecasters, or at least the ones I follow, leads to a fast start to winter. October and November cold and possibly snowy for the upper midwest?? 02-03 and 09-10 are winters that I remember; 09-10 by far being one of the best in my memory (NAO and AO negative pretty much the whole winter). 57-58, 72-73, 77-78 was also fast starts to winters, at least around my area. Let the discussions and new cycle begin! 

 

https://www.facebook.com/JimFlowersForecaster/videos/294496906601118

 

 

ao.gefs.sprd2.png

nao.gefs.sprd2.png

Well, there's my late 70s and 09-10 analog  comments confirmed in a good way. 

Would be wild to see 6 weeks straight of snow-covered ground or winter from Thanksgiving to spring break. 

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7 hours ago, Hoosier said:

Just a heads up, there will be a solar eclipse on Saturday, October 14.  Most of us will see this as a partial eclipse (weather permitting, of course) but a narrow path from OR to TX will experience an annular eclipse.  

Times given on the point and click website below are in UTC, so be aware of that.  For most of us it's generally a late morning and extending into early afternoon event.

http://xjubier.free.fr/en/site_pages/solar_eclipses/ASE_2023_GoogleMapFull.html

Just a little warmup for the big dog eclipse on April 8, 2024.

Woah!  Close to my birthday.  
I don’t know whether to be excited or terrified! 

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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While not a very wet look for the middle of the country, the GEFS, and EPS agree on a rather cool start to this seasons LRC.  There could be some potential for Winter weather with this setup in the Winter months.  Models can throw a curve ball this time of year on short notice so lets see what happens compaired to what being modeled.

eps_z500a_namer_22.png

gfs-ens_z500a_namer_20.png

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52 minutes ago, Clinton said:

While not a very wet look for the middle of the country, the GEFS, and EPS agree on a rather cool start to this seasons LRC.  There could be some potential for Winter weather with this setup in the Winter months.  Models can throw a curve ball this time of year on short notice so lets see what happens compaired to what being modeled.

eps_z500a_namer_22.png

gfs-ens_z500a_namer_20.png

You can't ask for a better blocking pattern on both coasts of N.A. and in the high lats...like you said, in the Winter this can certainly end up producing, esp along arctic boundaries....Cross Polar Flow and an active STJ bodes well this season.

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Yes, it is now October. The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 79/48 there was no rain fall and a reported 98% of possible sunshine. 1 HDD was reported. For today the average H/L is now down to 68/47 the record high of 89 was set in 1897 and the record low of 27 was set in 1898 the record rain fall amount of 2.10” fell in 1911 so all records are long standing for today. Last year the H/L was 70/42.

 My wife and I took a trip to Detroit yesterday and seen Miggy play one last time. The trip was mostly good. It was very foggy all the way over. You can see the tornado damage along I 96 real well. Even in the fog it was easy to make out. We made good time until we got to the construction on I 96 in Detroit. That has been going on for a long time. I left early to compensate for it but it still took longer than I guessed. But we still got to the park to get our free shirts in honor of Miggy. Of course with the give away only being for 15000 most fans did not receive one. The pre game ceremony was great and the Tigers won. That was the 1st time the Tigers have won when we have gone down in a long time.

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The average mean temperature for October at Grand Rapids is 51.5 the record warmest October was in 1900 with a mean of 59.1. That October had 4 days in a row with highs in the mid 80’s. The record coldest October was in 1925 with a mean of 42.9. That October had 4 days in a row with highs in the 30’s with one day of a high of just 30. There was also 7.5” of snow that October. The record high for October is 89 on October 1st 1897 and the record low is 18 on October 31st 1988. The average rain fall for Grand Rapids in 4.02” The most rain fall of 9.69” fell in 2017. The least rain fall was 0.03” in 1952. The average snow fall is 0.03”  The most snow fall of 8.4” fell in 1967 (the winter of 1967/68 there was just 55..1” of snow fall) The least snow fall was 0” in many years the last time was in 2022.  Last year the meat temperature was 50.6 the high for the month was 77 on the 24th and the low was 29 on the 27th there was a trace of snow fall. And 3.74” of rain fall.

The start of October 2023 looks to be on the warm side. There is a chance of several days of 80 and 70 + The record number of days with highs of 80 or better in October is 8 in 1963 and 1953. 2011 and 2005 were tied for 5th place with 5. As for days with highs of 75 or better the record is 13 set in 1963 and 1947. 2017 is in 4th place with 11. And for Octobers with days of highs of 70 or better 1963 had 19.  There have been 12 years when October did not get down to 32 or less the last time was in 2016 there. In 1952 there were a total of 17 nights of low of 32 or less. 1988 is in 2nd place with 13.

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On 9/26/2023 at 10:55 PM, gabel23 said:

Well you crazy weather fanatics it's time to start the biggest month of the year!! (If you follow the LRC at least) . Been seeing a lot of winter forecasts being released and it sounds like at the very minimum will have a weak/moderate El Nino(hoping not a strong!). The things I'll be watching is the NAO and AO. if we can keep those neutral or negative that would do wonders. Analog years I have seen that have matched up with the long range forecasters, or at least the ones I follow, leads to a fast start to winter. October and November cold and possibly snowy for the upper midwest?? 02-03 and 09-10 are winters that I remember; 09-10 by far being one of the best in my memory (NAO and AO negative pretty much the whole winter). 57-58, 72-73, 77-78 was also fast starts to winters, at least around my area. Let the discussions and new cycle begin! 

 

https://www.facebook.com/JimFlowersForecaster/videos/294496906601118

 

 

ao.gefs.sprd2.png

nao.gefs.sprd2.png

Thx for your post - been wondering what JB has been thinking. While its great trying to forecast how a season will play out, at this point in my life I really just hope to see more headlines like this in my remaining winters:

 

19990102 NWS LOT am headline.PNG

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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3 hours ago, westMJim said:

Yes, it is now October. The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 79/48 there was no rain fall and a reported 98% of possible sunshine. 1 HDD was reported. For today the average H/L is now down to 68/47 the record high of 89 was set in 1897 and the record low of 27 was set in 1898 the record rain fall amount of 2.10” fell in 1911 so all records are long standing for today. Last year the H/L was 70/42.

 My wife and I took a trip to Detroit yesterday and seen Miggy play one last time. The trip was mostly good. It was very foggy all the way over. You can see the tornado damage along I 96 real well. Even in the fog it was easy to make out. We made good time until we got to the construction on I 96 in Detroit. That has been going on for a long time. I left early to compensate for it but it still took longer than I guessed. But we still got to the park to get our free shirts in honor of Miggy. Of course with the give away only being for 15000 most fans did not receive one. The pre game ceremony was great and the Tigers won. That was the 1st time the Tigers have won when we have gone down in a long time.

The fog was legit as soon as I got a few miles west of the burbs yesterday morning. Glad you got to see him play and WIN. I went in July and he K'd as a pinch-hitter in the 9th and they lost that game. Gotta luv our x-ways here. All 4 freeways around this region since I moved here two years ago are either still in major replacement mode or have been closed for repairs at various times. I am fortunate to not need them for work commuting, but weekend activities are a real hassle too because all the people have to take the next best surface road alternatives, so they are all crowded too ofc. Looks like they are getting close to finishing the 275 rebuild project (the nearest to Canton) and it will be like 5X faster to get to/from anywhere in the Metro when they do. Hoping it's before winter. Holding onto this great wx would be a big plus in that regards. 

Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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3 hours ago, westMJim said:

The average mean temperature for October at Grand Rapids is 51.5 the record warmest October was in 1900 with a mean of 59.1. That October had 4 days in a row with highs in the mid 80’s. The record coldest October was in 1925 with a mean of 42.9. That October had 4 days in a row with highs in the 30’s with one day of a high of just 30. There was also 7.5” of snow that October. The record high for October is 89 on October 1st 1897 and the record low is 18 on October 31st 1988. The average rain fall for Grand Rapids in 4.02” The most rain fall of 9.69” fell in 2017. The least rain fall was 0.03” in 1952. The average snow fall is 0.03”  The most snow fall of 8.4” fell in 1967 (the winter of 1967/68 there was just 55..1” of snow fall) The least snow fall was 0” in many years the last time was in 2022.  Last year the meat temperature was 50.6 the high for the month was 77 on the 24th and the low was 29 on the 27th there was a trace of snow fall. And 3.74” of rain fall.

The start of October 2023 looks to be on the warm side. There is a chance of several days of 80 and 70 + The record number of days with highs of 80 or better in October is 8 in 1963 and 1953. 2011 and 2005 were tied for 5th place with 5. As for days with highs of 75 or better the record is 13 set in 1963 and 1947. 2017 is in 4th place with 11. And for Octobers with days of highs of 70 or better 1963 had 19.  There have been 12 years when October did not get down to 32 or less the last time was in 2016 there. In 1952 there were a total of 17 nights of low of 32 or less. 1988 is in 2nd place with 13.

" The record coldest October was in 1925 with a mean of 42.9. That October had 4 days in a row with highs in the 30’s with one day of a high of just 30. There was also 7.5” of snow that October."

Iirc, 25/26 went on to be a cold and snowy winter in Michigan.

"The most snow fall of 8.4” fell in 1967 (the winter of 1967/68 there was just 55..1” of snow fall)"

Then there's 67-68, the year following the big winter/storm of '67 which would argue that a snowy October is NOT a good omen. 

If there is not a set correlation between Oct and the following winter, all things being equal I would still vote "NO" to a snowy October. If for no other reason, than to save the snow for when it counts and can stick around longer.

October '89 snowstorm and more recently Oct 12th 2006 come to mind. Neither following January was worth anything in the snow dept. at least for SEMI. 

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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4 hours ago, westMJim said:

Yes, it is now October. The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 79/48 there was no rain fall and a reported 98% of possible sunshine. 1 HDD was reported. For today the average H/L is now down to 68/47 the record high of 89 was set in 1897 and the record low of 27 was set in 1898 the record rain fall amount of 2.10” fell in 1911 so all records are long standing for today. Last year the H/L was 70/42.

 My wife and I took a trip to Detroit yesterday and seen Miggy play one last time. The trip was mostly good. It was very foggy all the way over. You can see the tornado damage along I 96 real well. Even in the fog it was easy to make out. We made good time until we got to the construction on I 96 in Detroit. That has been going on for a long time. I left early to compensate for it but it still took longer than I guessed. But we still got to the park to get our free shirts in honor of Miggy. Of course with the give away only being for 15000 most fans did not receive one. The pre game ceremony was great and the Tigers won. That was the 1st time the Tigers have won when we have gone down in a long time.

White Sox fan here (barf at this season, lol) but I have a lot of respect for Cabrera, even though I watched him do a lot of damage to my fav team over the years.  Looking past that, he was a joy to watch and a special talent with the bat.  Although he fell off in recent years, there was a stretch where he was one of the best right handed hitters that the game has ever seen. 

Anyway, looks like we may make the mid 80s today.   

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Wow, can you believe this? The annual Twin Cities Marathon has been canceled due to record-breaking heat in Minneapolis and St. Paul. The high reached 90 there today. That broke the old record of 87 set in 1897.

Here in our area a new record high was set at Muskegon with a high of 83 the old record was 81 set in 1971. Here in Grand Rapids the high of 83 was the 4th warmest October 1st in recorded history. The high was also 83 in Holland their 2nd warmest October 1st The high reached 84 at Kalamazoo and that was their 5th warmest on record. Lansing was the “cool” spot with a high of just 80 and that was their 9th warmest October 1st  One warm start to October 2023.

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2 hours ago, westMJim said:

Wow, can you believe this? The annual Twin Cities Marathon has been canceled due to record-breaking heat in Minneapolis and St. Paul. The high reached 90 there today. That broke the old record of 87 set in 1897.

Here in our area a new record high was set at Muskegon with a high of 83 the old record was 81 set in 1971. Here in Grand Rapids the high of 83 was the 4th warmest October 1st in recorded history. The high was also 83 in Holland their 2nd warmest October 1st The high reached 84 at Kalamazoo and that was their 5th warmest on record. Lansing was the “cool” spot with a high of just 80 and that was their 9th warmest October 1st  One warm start to October 2023.

Was waiting to check-out at RiteAid this evening and an elderly lady was asking the cashier if it had been this nice and sunny all day? said she was "north" where it was rainy and in the 50's all day. KDTW only hit 78F. Yet another stellar late summer day.

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Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 53.1" (90% Normal Season)  Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13)   Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.3 Apr: 0.1

Avg = 59.2"  (Harrison): 2023-24 = 53.1" 

Avg = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5"   2021-22 = 35.6"    

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"   2019-20 = 48.0"   2018-19 = 56.1"   2017-18 = 68.3"    2016-17 = 52"    2015-16 = 57.4"    2014-15 = 55.3"    2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"    2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

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It will be interesting  to see how the climate compares between  there and chi.. I've  kept a eye on  ozarks and noticed  that high temps and especially  dewpoints  are lower than se iowa in summer!  I tell folks i can think of many summer locations  across  the south more attractive  than se iowa and they think im nuts. Like nc, ga, ark.

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Some lower spots across the county reached the low 50's this morning - this is still a few degrees above normal as our average low temperatures during October fall from the upper 40's to start the month to near 40 by Halloween. Of note last October we only recorded 1 day of 70 degrees or above....this week we will see every day of the work week well into the 70's with even 80 degrees possible both Tuesday and Wednesday especially in the low spots of the area. Next rain chances are not till Friday night with the cold frontal passage that will send out temps to well below normal by next weekend.
Records for today: High 88 (2019) / Low 28 (1899) / Rain 3.18" (1929)
image.png.53119ec9abae48c008c5ee1bd27e247b.png
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All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA.  We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  There have been no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics. All data is sourced from trained NWS observers and spotters. The life blood of science is to challenge what is thought to be known. The concept that climate change etc. is somehow “settled science” describes a religion - a belief system that does not welcome challenges. We should all continue to challenge science!    Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" -  11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8")

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

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17 minutes ago, OttumwaSnomow said:

It will be interesting  to see how the climate compares between  there and chi.. I've  kept a eye on  ozarks and noticed  that high temps and especially  dewpoints  are lower than se iowa in summer!  I tell folks i can think of many summer locations  across  the south more attractive  than se iowa and they think im nuts. Like nc, ga, ark.

Yes, this is just what I was thinking yesterday while driving into the area and wondered if DP's are always this low.  I doubt they are but it certainly feels way better down here than up in the soup of Iowa in summer!

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1 hour ago, Tom said:

Hello from Hot Springs Village, AR!  I was going to comment on my latest trip down south so I'll do it today but before that happens, I have something to say.  I will no longer be living in the Chicago area as a lot has happened over the past number of weeks as we sold our family home of 35 years last month.  It happened so fast back in July when I came across a realtor who sold a property in our neighborhood within a week.  Well, Low and behold, we sold ours in 1 day and the offer was over the asking price.  It was a perfect situation as the buyer, who is a young family, has parents that live on the next street over.  They actually lost a house due to a bidding war and made sure they got ours.  So they did!  I gotta tell ya, after doing an Estate Sale, Garage Sale and moving all the stuff out of the house was freakin' exhausting!  Lack of sleep, stress and having to deal with the whole process was overwhelming, but, in the end, it was a positive outcome as I begin my new Chapter.

With that being said, I'm on the way with the fam to Arizona but making a pit stop in the Hot Springs area down in the beautiful rolling hills of Arkansas.  Its no wonder many retiree's and residents from all over the United States come down here.  I'm sure low taxes are a plus!  Anyhow, from here, we are planning on heading to Dallas for a couple days and then the final leg to Arizona.  

While driving over the Mississippi River, it was astounding to see how low the water level was of the river were as I didn't see any barges flowing down stream.  I saw many farmers that were harvesting crop and also many fields that were already harvested.  I didn't realize there was a lot of cotton fields down in AR.  I also didn't expect to see the farmers light up the fields as fires burned the "leftover" dried up vegetation.  The skies were milky from all the smoke which was unexpected.

I'll try to post some pics and vids later as they are on my phone.

Congrats on your new chapter. Always exciting to start new adventures.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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One last scorcher today with temps in the low 90s. Then we start a rapid cool down tomorrow with a potential of some strong/severe storms and highs in the 70s. By Friday it will only top out in the upper 50s which will feel downright frigid after this latest heatspell. So ready for a taste of fall!

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Couple of more days of 80s and then the bottom falls. High by next weekend are expected to be in the low to mid 50s and lows in the 30s for my area. Probably near 40F in the Detroit Metro area. Would not rule out possible our first Frost Advisories for next weekend for some areas here in S MI.

Btw: NYC picked up record rainfall last Friday and into Saturday (some recorded all time records in Queens) w/ over 7" . The city was under water. I was there this weekend for a quick getaway (just 1 day) for business and pleasure. Some terminals were flooded inside the airport, subways were underwater, some streets were impassable and etc. Total disaster. They said that Queens and NYC got hit the hardest. Man, if this was winter and cold air was around....OOh Boyyyyy. Alot of people would have been digging out for weeks.

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Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN Insane!

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024: Trace

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Monday & Tuesday will top out at 92 before the cool reaches us.  Wednesday will see the front reach us. High of 85.  80% chance of Rain, T Storms. 

Finally I think we’re out of the heat. We get real heat in Oct but summer is done for Texas. 🤠
 

 

BFE3FBE7-66AB-4380-A154-46FA7D0E5D03.jpeg

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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5 hours ago, Tom said:

Hello from Hot Springs Village, AR!  I was going to comment on my latest trip down south so I'll do it today but before that happens, I have something to say.  I will no longer be living in the Chicago area as a lot has happened over the past number of weeks as we sold our family home of 35 years last month.  It happened so fast back in July when I came across a realtor who sold a property in our neighborhood within a week.  Well, Low and behold, we sold ours in 1 day and the offer was over the asking price.  It was a perfect situation as the buyer, who is a young family, has parents that live on the next street over.  They actually lost a house due to a bidding war and made sure they got ours.  So they did!  I gotta tell ya, after doing an Estate Sale, Garage Sale and moving all the stuff out of the house was freakin' exhausting!  Lack of sleep, stress and having to deal with the whole process was overwhelming, but, in the end, it was a positive outcome as I begin my new Chapter.

With that being said, I'm on the way with the fam to Arizona but making a pit stop in the Hot Springs area down in the beautiful rolling hills of Arkansas.  Its no wonder many retiree's and residents from all over the United States come down here.  I'm sure low taxes are a plus!  Anyhow, from here, we are planning on heading to Dallas for a couple days and then the final leg to Arizona.  

While driving over the Mississippi River, it was astounding to see how low the water level was of the river were as I didn't see any barges flowing down stream.  I saw many farmers that were harvesting crop and also many fields that were already harvested.  I didn't realize there was a lot of cotton fields down in AR.  I also didn't expect to see the farmers light up the fields as fires burned the "leftover" dried up vegetation.  The skies were milky from all the smoke which was unexpected.

I'll try to post some pics and vids later as they are on my phone.

My great aunt moved from northwest IN to Hot Springs in the 1990s.  She was in her 80s then and wanted to get away to a warmer climate.  She seemed to like it there.

Anyway, congrats on your move to AZ.  I hope you'll still be a contributor to this "East of the Rockies" forum.  

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6 hours ago, Tom said:

Hello from Hot Springs Village, AR!  I was going to comment on my latest trip down south so I'll do it today but before that happens, I have something to say.  I will no longer be living in the Chicago area as a lot has happened over the past number of weeks as we sold our family home of 35 years last month.  It happened so fast back in July when I came across a realtor who sold a property in our neighborhood within a week.  Well, Low and behold, we sold ours in 1 day and the offer was over the asking price.  It was a perfect situation as the buyer, who is a young family, has parents that live on the next street over.  They actually lost a house due to a bidding war and made sure they got ours.  So they did!  I gotta tell ya, after doing an Estate Sale, Garage Sale and moving all the stuff out of the house was freakin' exhausting!  Lack of sleep, stress and having to deal with the whole process was overwhelming, but, in the end, it was a positive outcome as I begin my new Chapter.

With that being said, I'm on the way with the fam to Arizona but making a pit stop in the Hot Springs area down in the beautiful rolling hills of Arkansas.  Its no wonder many retiree's and residents from all over the United States come down here.  I'm sure low taxes are a plus!  Anyhow, from here, we are planning on heading to Dallas for a couple days and then the final leg to Arizona.  

While driving over the Mississippi River, it was astounding to see how low the water level was of the river were as I didn't see any barges flowing down stream.  I saw many farmers that were harvesting crop and also many fields that were already harvested.  I didn't realize there was a lot of cotton fields down in AR.  I also didn't expect to see the farmers light up the fields as fires burned the "leftover" dried up vegetation.  The skies were milky from all the smoke which was unexpected.

I'll try to post some pics and vids later as they are on my phone.

Congrats Tom! The information you shared specifically for the Chicagoland area is the reason I joined the forum. Looking forward to seeing future updates.

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image.pngStarting to see some real interesting solutions in the longer range models. Major blocking at the higher latitudes with lots of storminess and cooler temps across the CONUS in this case. 

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Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2")    Total Ice (0.2")     Coldest Low: 1F     Coldest High: 5F

Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12

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56 minutes ago, FV-Mike said:

Congrats Tom! The information you shared specifically for the Chicagoland area is the reason I joined the forum. Looking forward to seeing future updates.

I enjoyed my stay in Hot Springs.  Also, Little Rock is nice too.  Beautiful state, fall colors. Post photos.  

92* today.  But cool and rain on the way.  
 

 

BF9F6EE5-1316-4E3A-ACC6-4DECCF539F7A.jpeg

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

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New record highs set at Sault Ste Marie and Alpena. The latest reading at the Sault set a new record high for October 2nd the old record of 81 was set in 1922. At Alpena the reading of 85 sets a new record there. The old record of 84 was also set in 1922. That 82 ties October 4th 1922 as the warmest day in October at the Sault.

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