January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part I)

[Rubus Leucodermis]

7 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Needs to trend north a few miles. 

And then a few km more.

[Deweydog]

You know we all can skip the drama if we wanna… just gotta pay up! Been hearing these guys’ commercials on the radio all fall and early winter…

[Requiem]

All models took a step in the right direction, frankly. Am I not seeing something?

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Just now, Requiem said:

All models took a step in the right direction, frankly. Am I not seeing something?

Depends on location.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

8 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Welp, no action on the GFS in the believable range. Maybe the long range will start to show some colder temps.

It is being overly generous with the cold as it is. Eugene will actually be getting 50-burgers.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

3 minutes ago, iFred said:

The uppers did not trend as cool as the surface did.

To that extent? I’ve not seen any run to run change display that behavior. 

[TacomaWx]

2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Probably highway 18. I hate that road,  semi trucks should not be allowed until they repair the road and add lanes. One of the most dangerous roads in the state!!

I work there everyday on the Highway project. So f*cking dangerous. Saw a horrible accident there a couple days ago. 

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

Got to ski a bit on my lunch break, great day today! This pic was taking immediately before disaster, I crashed immediately after the jump lol

[iFred]

6 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Does it really do fake outs like that?

Yes, especially at the surface. I think the arxiv covers this.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

10 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I work there everyday on the Highway project. So f*cking dangerous. Saw a horrible accident there a couple days ago. 

That is a huge hole there! I was just there last weekend.  What are they doing?

Edited January 6 by MR.SNOWMIZER

[TT-SEA]

Its been dry here most of the day... even partly sunny at times and looks like Seattle has been totally dry with even more sun.   Models show that c-zone up north weakening and slipping south this evening.   Might get a little snow here when that happens.  

[Cascadia_Wx]

2 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Depends on location.

18z was a step in a better direction, regionally. All we can really ask for from that model right now. 

[Requiem]

4 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Depends on location.

It was a step forward and towards the EURO and CMC for the WV too

[TigerWoodsLibido]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

18z was a step in a better direction, regionally. All we can really ask for from that model right now. 

For you indeed it was.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

Took a quick peak at the 18z, looked okay, I'd love for it to trend south though, that way it's snowy in salem when I'm there. Back to work I go.

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

That is a huge hole there! I was just there last weekend.  What are they going?

Eventually it’s going to be 2 lanes in both directions all the way up and down tiger mountain. They’re going to entirely re-do the I-90/18 merger. They’re also knocking down and building a new bridge on raging river. 

[TT-SEA]

South side of c-zone visible from Space Needle.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said:

For you indeed it was.

I haven’t brushed up on my geography for awhile, but cold air closer to me means cold air closer to you too.

Also you’ve got the GEM and Euro showing some solid stuff down your way.  

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

8 minutes ago, SeanNyberg said:

Is this meant to be a joke? 

No. Every other run to run change posted for this time frame whether a hot or cold change has the peaks of the state at a greater delta. Except this GFS map. That makes sense to me given that this is the time frame of the cold upper air floods in. What dynamics are causing the extreme diffusion at the lower level on this one particular run? The lower levels cool while the upper levels warm. This isn’t an inversion setup is it? 

[Winterdog]

15 minutes ago, Christensen87 said:

Yeah, I’ll be surprised if Euro doesn’t cave tonight. Bummer. 

Nope, it has to be a day or two later to maximize the misery of the second rug pull.

[Blizzard777]

22 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

@Meatyorologist was doing the reverse psychology thing.   It has worked for years for me and Randy during Seahawks games!    It’s a great tactic.   

I wonder how the AI model will handle this knew information ???

[Sandy rocks]

Santa is going to die. How dare you scare the little kids.

[iFred]

2 minutes ago, Blizzard777 said:

I wonder how the AI model will handle this knew information ???

Its called adversarial training.

[Front Ranger]

1 minute ago, Sandy rocks said:

Santa is going to die. How dare you scare the little kids.

I sincerely hope no little kids frequent this forum.

[iFred]

6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

South side of c-zone visible from Space Needle.

Pretty dark out here. I love it, it keeps my son napping for a bit longer while I get some work done.

[iFred]

1 minute ago, Front Ranger said:

I sincerely hope no little kids frequent this forum.

For the sake of COPPA and GDPR, no one under 13 is allowed to be here without their parent's consent.

[iFred]

If folks have a few 4090s to spare, I can setup Graphcast with a higher resolution for western North America.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

43F with some moderate rain.

[Randyc321]

1 hour ago, Weiner Warrior said:

Colder air making it down into Bellingham

Ticket, please.

 

You have left this train already.

[SnarkyGoblin]

Just now, iFred said:

If folks have a few 4090s to spare, I can setup Graphcast with a higher resolution for western North America.

Is it really that easy?  I saw it was open source.

[Deweydog]

2 minutes ago, iFred said:

For the sake of COPPA and GDPR, no one under 13 is allowed to be here without their parent's consent.

MBLA too

[Frontal Snowsquall]

36 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Good lord.  The Graph Cast was the coldest yet.  Don't know which is the best model though.

It’s still the EURO to me.

[AlTahoe]

Today's little storm came in with some fury. 4" total on the year and then we got 6" in 3 hours today and still snowing. 

[Blizzard777]

15 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

South side of c-zone visible from Space Needle.

Love the C-zone ….dramatically beautiful 

[Phishy Wx]

8 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

I sincerely hope no little kids frequent this forum.

I hope they do, start 'em young.

 

where Andrew right now?  making more kids?

[SnarkyGoblin]

16 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Eventually it’s going to be 2 lanes in both directions all the way up and down tiger mountain. They’re going to entirely re-do the I-90/18 merger. They’re also knocking down and building a new bridge on raging river. 

Yo how many years does it take to do that?  They've been expanding that road since I was in college, which is over 20 years ago 

[Slushy Inch]

So this is why some ensemble members has little but of snow this evening . Still not expecting anything 

[MikeInEverett]

8 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

I sincerely hope no little kids frequent this forum.

I was 14 when I joined, 24 now. I was a super mega weenie and barely understood anything that was going on, but I thought this was the coolest website ever. It’s hard to imagine what someone under that age would be like on here lol

[Cold Snap]

18 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

South side of c-zone visible from Space Needle.

Sky is starting to get pretty dark here as it slips south.

[Deweydog]

2 minutes ago, SnarkyGoblin said:

Yo how many years does it take to do that?  They've been expanding that road since I was in college, which is over 20 years ago 

As many years as it has taken to get done what they’ve got done so far plus however long it takes to get done what they need to get done to finish it.