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It's good to be back lurking around here, kinda missed you degenerates :)

 

From now on, when friends or family ask "if it's going to snow?", just copy/paste your local forecast discussion into chatgpt, it actually doesn't totally suck for a response.  Bonus points for telling it to answer "like a surfer" lol

Screenshot_20240106-173445.thumb.png.58f9de59b9d096fd9cc9735dcc2bcba3.png

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5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

EPS control run is faster... quite a bit of a SE shift at 144 hours compared to 12Z run at 150 hours.

And plenty of arctic front snow for Randy!  

ecmwf-ensemble-c00-or_wa-total_snow_10to1-5082400.png

Must be a convergence zone otherwise it would be moving.

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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19 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

IMG_8276.png

IMG_8277.png

OH MY WORD!! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

EPS control run is faster... quite a bit of a SE shift at 144 hours compared to 12Z run at 150 hours.

And plenty of arctic front snow for Randy!  

ecmwf-ensemble-c00-or_wa-total_snow_10to1-5082400.png

You got a radar image of that front?

PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220

2023-2024 Snow Total: 16" (5 events)

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2 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

You got a radar image of that front?

There is no radar on ECMWF.   But that is total snow... its clear and cold by hour 144.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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2 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said:

Cliff Mass has a new blog out saying a significant event this week is “doubtful” 😆

Apparently his dumb*ss hasn’t seen that new euro 

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2023-2024 cold season stats

Lowest Max-24

Lowest Min-13

Sub 40 Highs-8

Sub 32 Highs-3

Freezes-21

Rainfall MTD-0.11”

Rainfall (Since 10/1)- 25.29”

Total snowfall-TR.

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10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

EPS control run is faster... quite a bit of a SE shift at 144 hours compared to 12Z run at 150 hours.

And plenty of arctic front snow for Randy!  

ecmwf-ensemble-c00-or_wa-total_snow_10to1-5082400.png

@TigerWoodsLibido is in the blue. Must be a mistake. We have his assurance nothing ever happens in his town.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

There is no radar on ECMWF.   But that is total snow... its clear and cold by hour 144.  

No precip loop? I just curious how it has the front play out

PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220

2023-2024 Snow Total: 16" (5 events)

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3 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said:

Cliff Mass has a new blog out saying a significant event this week is “doubtful” 😆

We are in perfect shape now!! I believe he said the same thing last year and before as well, then never admitted his mistake! This is coming together very nicely now! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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1 minute ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

No precip loop? I just curious how it has the front play out

No... control run is really limited.   Precip in 24 hour periods and total precip and snow.   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

EPS control run is faster... quite a bit of a SE shift at 144 hours compared to 12Z run at 150 hours.

And plenty of arctic front snow for Randy!  

Why do we get so excited over a control run?  I really am curious.  

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2 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said:

Cliff Mass has a new blog out saying a significant event this week is “doubtful” 😆

Why? Because it doesn't happen very often? This is one example of why I despise this dude. If it's doubtful based on the available information then that's a poor prediction.  Or maybe because his atari based computer program shows very little snow in the lowlands? He said the same thing in 2019, 2021 2022 lol.

 

 

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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Just now, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Not sure he even looks at the euro

He's probably propped at his desk right now, gawking slack-jawed at the WRF, drool soaking his MacBook.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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3 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Not sure he even looks at the euro

Nope! He is still waiting for his Commodore 64 with the cassette drive to finish loading this mornings WRF run. 
image.gif

Edited by MossMan
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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

He's probably propped at his desk right now, gawking slack-jawed at the WRF, drool soaking his MacBook.

He probably posts stuff like that on his blog to straight up troll us. He’s probably reading this forum right meow. 

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2023-2024 cold season stats

Lowest Max-24

Lowest Min-13

Sub 40 Highs-8

Sub 32 Highs-3

Freezes-21

Rainfall MTD-0.11”

Rainfall (Since 10/1)- 25.29”

Total snowfall-TR.

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2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

He probably posts stuff like that on his blog to straight up troll us. He’s probably reading this forum right meow. 

Lmao. God I hope he is

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PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220

2023-2024 Snow Total: 16" (5 events)

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9 minutes ago, MossMan said:

We are in perfect shape now!! I believe he said the same thing last year and before as well, then never admitted his mistake! This is coming together very nicely now! 

His doubt is a guarantee this doesn’t flop 

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6 minutes ago, Winterdog said:

Why do we get so excited over a control run?  I really am curious.  

Because it’s as close as we can get to a euro operational run at 18z. And I’d bet it’s really dam close. It’s usually in total lockstep with the operational out to day 6 in 12z/00z runs

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2 minutes ago, CliffMassYelledAtMe said:

I am not. 

Oops! 😬 

 

(Just kidding. I am obviously not Cliff Mass. Just part of my screen name.)

Would be glorious if you were

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PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220

2023-2024 Snow Total: 16" (5 events)

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32 minutes ago, Doinko said:

That looks great. Is the blocking better than the 12z?

Yes.  The positive heights anoms on the AK / Yukon border are lot stronger.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.2"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 41

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Anybody concerned about the trajectory of the incoming cold?  D**n near looks like it's going to have to jump the Cascades and spread west rather than a north to south ride.  I just never like seeing/relying on cold coming from that direction.  Those mountains can be hard to jump.

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8 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

He probably posts stuff like that on his blog to straight up troll us. He’s probably reading this forum right meow. 

He probably has Rich Marriott over as we speak and are taking straight shots of prune juice while they are monitoring this thread on their Blackberry’s. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Just now, AlTahoe said:

I really needed a flashlight to light it up while I snagged a photo. the phone flash didn't cut it. lol 

I’m jelly. Finally you are getting some snow

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PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220

2023-2024 Snow Total: 16" (5 events)

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1 minute ago, CliffMassYelledAtMe said:

Well, I am definitely NOT emailing him and inviting him to @iFred's meet up on Thursday. Don't want to get his wrath again. Maybe Fred should invite him though? Could he ride his bike to the location or is it too far from the Burke Gilman Trail?

Pro Wrestling Punch GIF by United Wrestling NetworkCliff if he shows his *ss at the meetup next week 

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2023-2024 cold season stats

Lowest Max-24

Lowest Min-13

Sub 40 Highs-8

Sub 32 Highs-3

Freezes-21

Rainfall MTD-0.11”

Rainfall (Since 10/1)- 25.29”

Total snowfall-TR.

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