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January Weather In The PNW 2024 (Part III) - The Warming Shot


iFred

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3 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Going to be close. Even that low coming in 50 miles south of where is is shown now would have major changes to forecast. Crazy when you think about it.

I am normally more optimistic but this one seems like it’s going to be a north of Everett snow event. 

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13 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

You had better warn mom. This might be a big event up there.

Yes... and tell her she is going to make me drive up there if she insists on shoveling!   Her neighbors are so nice and they will eventually get it done but she wants to do it quickly so she doesn't bother them.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Our power FINALLY just went out! Was starting to feel left out. 

Quite the delayed effect! 

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

I am normally more optimistic but this one seems like it’s going to be a north of Everett snow event. 

I agree, that is my gut. There will be some here but it's just impossible to predict right now.  Lows just don't track south of us to often without any forcing. 

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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11 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Burned about 2 times the amount of fire wood the past 3 days compared to normal. Only source of heat but even with these temps the stove kept the house at 72 running about 50% of what it can do. Love wood heat when done right.

it's great until everyone does it in an inversion and the air pollution gets bad.

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Just now, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I agree, that is my gut. There will be some here but it's just impossible to predict right now.  Lows just don't track south of us to often without any forcing. 

Atleast the ice would give us some more wintery precip besides the trace of snow we got Thursday. Pretty solid blast though. This did deliver a 27/17 day and a 24/14 day…ice on the beaches and a little snow. Not to mention a low of 13 this morning. I’d take this over the 1” of slush and the 36/28 day we had in January 2020. 

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5 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Burned about 2 times the amount of fire wood the past 3 days compared to normal. Only source of heat but even with these temps the stove kept the house at 72 running about 50% of what it can do. Love wood heat when done right.

Same here. It’s how we were supposed to live. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Yes... and tell her she is going to make me drive up there if she insists on shoveling!   Her neighbors are so nice and they will eventually get it done but she wants to do it quickly so she doesn't bother them.  

Soooo this!!! My 8 years working at the senior community which included big events as 11/06, 1/07, 12/08, 11/10, 2/11 (or 2/10 I can never get that Feb event year correct) and 1/12…And GOOD LORD these seniors do not change their routines one bit no matter what, and everything has to be done RIGHT NOW even though they have nowhere to be. 
The resident of this car asked us to dig it out (12/08) so they could go shopping at QFC since they go to QFC that day of the week every week. 
Even though we have a small grocery store on site along with a restaurant. 🤦‍♂️

IMG_1871.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Internet is out but power still somehow on.

Currently 24F and it would appear that we will have our 2nd sub-freezing high since Jan 2017 and our first in Jan since then.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Tulsa, Oklahoma Is currently 2F with heavy snow at 1pm…

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Same here. It’s how we were supposed to live. 

When we do a full remodel in the house hopefully sometime within the next 10yrs I do want to add a wood burning stove. Would probably still have a propane one as well like we have now but have it in the bedroom and have the wood burner in the living room. I absolutely miss having the wood burner. The memory of the house I grew up in that my parents built is still deep inside, having a fire going Christmas morning 1990 and looking out at our snow covered 5 wooded acres and being about 75 lovely degrees inside the house…Perfection! 

The house just sold last year and I got these pics off of Redfin…Absolute time capsule as it was exactly the same inside minus minor kitchen updates since 1991 when my parents sold it during their divorce. Anyway, Nothing like wood burning heat. 

IMG_1872.jpeg

IMG_1873.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Speaking of heating efficiency or lack thereof, we have a radiant heat system that has to be original with the house (1948).  It’s embedded in the concrete floor of the main level of the home. The basement ceiling is exposed concrete and the main floor is covered with hardwood over a layer of plywood. It’s 80 degrees in the basement with the thermostat set to 70 on the main floor. Efficient!  We got some bids on ductless systems a couple years ago but the house is large and kind of chopped up so it was crazy expensive. 
 

By the way, the thermometer in the photo I bought with my paper route money when I was like 12. Still going strong 50 years later. IMG_8997.thumb.jpeg.6f41ec1c19158ba485974e5d37752e2b.jpeg

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40 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

It will happen again one day

 A 1880 event would be a national disaster. 

 

I honestly think out this all the time. Just waiting for the day. If not Seattle, then somewhere between Ketchikan and Fort Bragg.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

I honestly think out this all the time. Just waiting for the day. If not Seattle, then somewhere between Ketchikan and Fort Bragg.

I wish we knew what happened around here in the last 500 years. 1880 could be small compared to what had happened.  If you lined everything up perfectly with a arctic trough and a AR event you could smash the area with feet and feet of snow

 

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Found the 12/25/90 picture! I was the first one up, built a fire and watched the snow fall as daybreak happened. And a picture of our dog posing in front of the wood stove lol

IMG_1874.jpeg

IMG_1875.jpeg

Country wood stoves were built right here in the Puget Sound area. I am friends with the son of the guy who started the company!

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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5 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I wish we knew what happened around here in the last 500 years. 1880 could be small compared to what had happened.  If you lined everything up perfectly with a arctic trough and a AR event you could smash the area with feet and feet of snow

 

I often dream about scenarios like that. One day, hopefully when everyone on the forum is still alive, we’ll get to see something like that.

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3 minutes ago, iFred said:

I often dream about scenarios like that. One day, hopefully when everyone on the forum is still alive, we’ll get to see something like that.

It happened in June couple years ago, just the other direction. 

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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I had a bad nightmare last night while asleep. While all of us had been enjoying our arctic cold and snow we were struck with the massive 9.0 cascadia earthquake. The sheer terror I felt and destruction of the quake and tsunami in this cold was pure hell. I woke up before too long and sighed a breath of relief that it was just a dream... I hope that quake never hits but I know it’s pretty much inevitable at some point. 

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1 hour ago, iFred said:

New thread. At this point it sounds like rain for everyone south of Hope and nothing good in the long range. At least we can get our Skidoos polish, our tomatoes prepped, and our flowers freshened as spring is only a few days away.

I was with you until you went and said............"flowers freshened...........LOL!"

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22 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

I honestly think out this all the time. Just waiting for the day. If not Seattle, then somewhere between Ketchikan and Fort Bragg.

Yeah if another January 1950 were to happen I would have to wonder how it would be handled in this region. A few days of cold and snow is one thing, weeks on end of it is a whole different animal. "Shut everything down until it melts" ain't gonna work.

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1 minute ago, Omegaraptor said:

Yeah if another January 1950 were to happen I would have to wonder how it would be handled in this region. A few days of cold and snow is one thing, weeks on end of it is a whole different animal. "Shut everything down until it melts" ain't gonna work.

Imagine 21 inches of snow in Seattle in 1 day. Massive problems 

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We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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1 hour ago, T-Town said:

Yep. Lived here for 61 years so quite familiar with what’s normal and what isn’t. As others have noted, the last five years or so have been quite prolific for memorable winter weather events. This one keeps it going. 

Agree!  My own yard testifies this has been a special event. Historic ice build up on Whiskey Barrel Falls and it continues to grow!   Been fun to be in the ice box but of course would have preferred some snow as well. 

IMG_0647.jpeg

IMG_0657.jpeg

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