January Weather In The PNW 2024 (Part III) - The Warming Shot

[Mercurial]

Looks like Vancouver got crushed?  I’d love to experience a snowstorm down there some day.  Gorgeous area albeit with an insane RE market.

[Slushy Inch]

8 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

33F with big, fluffy flakes. First PSCZ surprise snow since JAN 2012

I could probably walk 15-20 minutes into the snow. Maybe I will. Might shift north.

[Phishy Wx]

HRRR showing a snow depth of around 7-8" in the Spokane metro in 4 hours when the snow is supposed to wrap up for this round.  00z Euro last night called for an average 7.5" in Spokane metro.  UNCANNY

[Cold Snap]

Currently have half an inch of snow on the ground here. Pretty nice to see.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

3 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

HRRR showing a snow depth of around 7-8" in the Spokane metro in 4 hours when the snow is supposed to wrap up for this round.  00z Euro last night called for an average 7.5" in Spokane metro.  UNCANNY

It wins some and looses some, it shows a general 2-3 inches around my cabin area and they got 6.

[The Blob]

The warm up has been so slow for PDX.

[North_County]

46 minutes ago, Groundhog said:

I measured 14.5” here in Mission, BC in a wind-sheltered area. It fell in a 12hr timeframe. Current temp: 26F

Nice! Even though I'm a bit more windsheltered than the rest of Sumas, I still have pretty sizeable drifts around the house, so I'm not going to bother estimating final totals. It's 6.5 inches on the deck railings, so start there, and anything beyond that is a bonus, I suppose.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Got up to 32 for a bit earlier, but back down to 31 now. Shaping up to be a very slow thaw for the east metro.

[Phil]

18 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

indeed, but you don't want to upset the natives man. lol

It’s funny because the euro was *by far* the closest to the truth on the ground, yet it gets the most flack. So unfair.  

Meanwhile the RGEM/GFS were giving Randy 1ft+ yet people are treating that like gospel? It’s just ridiculous, I have to point it out.

[RayRay]

How long will the convergence zone stick around Redmond? It’s snowing outside. Do you think the snow will accumulate since my work shift ends at 630 pm.?

[Phil]

@TT-SEA Back over to snow?

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

And for the final slap the zone is developing 5 miles north of me and it is never this far west!! hahaha insane.

[Olive1010]

Is this the band ya'll are crazy about up in SEATTLE

[Meatyorologist]

Precip rates are capping out but we have a measurement! 1/4"

[Phishy Wx]

Nuking right now.  maybe 150yd visibility.  bigger flakes.  this must be that 2"/hour stuff they were talking about this morning. maybe 2 to 3 hours left in this round, looks to be approaching 7-8" out there.  breeze is picking up too.  19, DP 18

[seattleweatherguy]

Snowing in bothell again pretty hard 

[SnowHawks]

I am pretty disappointed with this event. Yes, it was nice to get the cold temps. But for me a would rather have a good BC slider that doesn't seem to pick and choose where it will snow and leave others with nothing. Arctic or modified Arctic air in place and your moisture or low pressure moving down the BC coast that only slightly modifies the air is the only way the Central Pugent Sound can get a Vancouver type experience. Yea I know low pressure arriving at the Columbia River is ideal, but how often does that happen? 

[Cold Snap]

WSW issued for the EPSL for tomorrow for up to two inches of snow and ice accumulation of up to a quarter of an inch.

[Chewbacca Defense]

29 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

just go out there with the leaf blower

We could hear someone in our neighborhood with a leafblower earlier.  Might work for the top layer, but that stuff that fell at first was really whet!

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 minute ago, Phishy Wx said:

Nuking right now.  maybe 150yd visibility.  bigger flakes.  this must be that 2"/hour stuff they were talking about this morning. maybe 2 to 3 hours left in this round, looks to be approaching 7-8" out there

I got about 2.5" in a 30 minute period this morning. It was incredible.

[westcoastexpat]

Storm total exactly 10"! What a beauty

[SnowWillarrive]

Interesting. 

 

East Puget Sound Lowlands-
including Bonney Lake, Maple Valley, Monroe, Woodinville,
Arlington, Granite Falls, Lake Stevens, Snohomish, Gold Bar,
Duvall, Carnation, Fall City, Snoqualmie, North Bend, Covington,
Black Diamond, Orting, and Eatonville
222 PM PST Wed Jan 17 2024

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS
EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...For the Winter Weather Advisory, snow. Additional snow
  accumulations of up to one inch. For the Winter Storm Watch,
  heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of
  up to two inches and ice accumulations of up to a quarter of an
  inch possible. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph.

 

[CliffMassYelledAtMe]

13 minutes ago, Phil said:

@TT-SEA Back over to snow?

Here's I-90 at North Bend: 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Snow has stopped and radar indicates the party’s over, so 11.8" it is. Everyone measures snowfalls in metric here anyhow and I did hit a nice even 30 cm, so there’s that. Definitely exceeded expectations!

[Lynnwoodweather]

Interesting convergence zone formation. Almost back building 

[snow_wizard]

No doubt North Bend has put up some very respectable numbers for this cold wave.  today is their 6th consecutive freezing max.

Still waiting to see if the area of snow will make it this far or not.  It's very close.

[CliffMassYelledAtMe]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

No doubt North Bend has put up some very respectable numbers for this cold wave.  today is their 6th consecutive freezing max.

Still waiting to see if the area of snow will make it this far or not.  It's very close.

Sounds like if not today, then tomorrow?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Not sure how you folks up north are doing on precipitation this month, but we are running some modest surpluses down here. Almost a total lock to end up at least average and with wet weather ahead will probably be above average by the time all is said and done. 

[BLI snowman]

53 minutes ago, Timmy said:

Hovering just above freezing here. Not really looking like a big warmup. Gfs still likes the idea of brining zr back. Does the euro back this up yet?

Euro agrees with the rest of the models in showing the strong outflow tomorrow. Just keeps temps a degree or two too warm for ZR. 

It also shows the gorge fully mixing out tonight with the westerly surge behind the low, so that's probably the kicker in terms of keeping our coolant supply sufficient for tomorrow's precip. But the Euro is likely being too aggressive with that gorge warmup as it has been with ours in the metro area. So it seems like a midday dip below freezing is very possible.

Edited January 17 by BLI snowman

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Snow has stopped and radar indicates the party’s over, so 11.8" it is. Everyone measures snowfalls in metric here anyhow and I did hit a nice even 30 cm, so there’s that. Definitely exceeded expectations!

Three winters in a row with major snow.  That is rare.  With a likely Nina next winter it could easily be 4.

[Phishy Wx]

Current conditions

 

[RCola]

Driving on 90 from Bellevue to Seattle, snow stopped around Bellevue Way and positive splats stopped halfway across Lake Washington. Surface temp went from 34F to 38F. There is no way Seattle sees any snow from the convergence zone.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I notice The Dalles put up a 6/-3 on Saturday. Impressive. 

[SnowWillarrive]

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

No doubt North Bend has put up some very respectable numbers for this cold wave.  today is their 6th consecutive freezing max.

Still waiting to see if the area of snow will make it this far or not.  It's very close.

Moisture is literally 1 mile north of me. Hope it starts dropping south a bit. 

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, CliffMassYelledAtMe said:

Sounds like if not today, then tomorrow?

This evening is pretty much the only chance for snow.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, snow_wizard said:

Three winters in a row with major snow.  That is rare.  With a likely Nina next winter it could easily be 4.

How did they do in February 2021? 

[MossMan]

8 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said:

Interesting. 

 

East Puget Sound Lowlands-
including Bonney Lake, Maple Valley, Monroe, Woodinville,
Arlington, Granite Falls, Lake Stevens, Snohomish, Gold Bar,
Duvall, Carnation, Fall City, Snoqualmie, North Bend, Covington,
Black Diamond, Orting, and Eatonville
222 PM PST Wed Jan 17 2024

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS
EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...For the Winter Weather Advisory, snow. Additional snow
  accumulations of up to one inch. For the Winter Storm Watch,
  heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of
  up to two inches and ice accumulations of up to a quarter of an
  inch possible. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph.

 

I thought Tim said it was all over? I am very close to being in that warning area! 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I notice The Dalles put up a 6/-3 on Saturday. Impressive. 

We’ll be unpacking the numbers for this one for awhile yet, Andrew.

[snow_wizard]

Just now, SnowWillarrive said:

Moisture is literally 1 mile north of me. Hope it starts dropping south a bit. 

Just no way to be sure right now.  C-zones have a mind of their own.  We deserve a break for sure.

[Cascadia_Wx]

3 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Euro agrees with the rest of the models in showing the strong outflow tomorrow. Just keeps temps a degree or two too warm for ZR. 

It also shows the gorge fully mixing out tonight with the westerly surge behind the low, so that's probably the kicker in terms of keeping our coolant supply sufficient for tomorrow's precip. But the Euro is likely being too aggressive with that gorge warmup as it has been with ours in the metro area. So it seems like a midday dip below freezing is very possible.

It’s too bad we couldn’t get a little more snow with the mid and upper levels cooling and cold air remaining at the surface. Kind of like they’re seeing up north today. But that’s definitely wishful thinking.