Gorgeous sunset from Mt Tabor park. Lots of big, downed trees on the north and east side of the park from our ARCTIC WINDS three weeks ago. But honestly the damage wasn’t quite as bad as I feared. I guess the historic shelter took a pretty good hit but that part of the park was cordoned off.
I was intrigued so I looked up the average high and low temperatures across WA for August of 1899. Olga's average low of 45F is pretty impressive as it's about 4 degrees colder than anything we've seen in the last 50 years. The fact it's so much colder than every other location on the west side does make me wonder if there was an error with the thermometer at that time or maybe it was just incredible cold winds blowing off the straight.
The Seattle average high for the month was almost 10 d
There’s another element I didn’t see before re: bifurcation point in the pattern/guidance.
The GFS/GEFS (and half of GEPS members) take a second shortwave trough and dig/phase it with the pre-existing ULL under the NW-Pacific anticyclone, while the Euro/EPS and ICON keep it relatively progressive.
That is the ultimate difference maker. And while the GFS is almost always too aggressive in digging such shortwaves even within 48hrs, the CMC isn’t (at least not to the same degree).
The smallest differences in the handling of the NW-Pacific situation makes a massive difference downstream!
The man people on here are grovelling over. Effing sad that half our country is apparently ok with this and thinks he deserves to be the one commanding our troops.
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