March 2024 Weather in the PNW

[Cascadia_Wx]

Looks like the GFS is getting back on board with the quicker crash idea. Could stay cool for a bit after that.

[MossMan]

Only made it down to 35 due to some low scud clouds. 

Edited March 15 by MossMan

[Cascadia_Wx]

4 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Orange man bad. Orange oceans worse.

Coral reefs and fisheries are dying off. LOL!!!

[westcoastexpat]

10 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

The GEM and GFS both bring chilly north winds to the Puget Sound area early in week two.  Love this type of stuff.

I thought temperatures between 35-45 with clouds and rain was your least favourite weather - surprised you're rooting for it?

[RaleighHillsRunner]

48 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Looks like the GFS is getting back on board with the quicker crash idea. Could stay cool for a bit after that.

Making the most of the next 5 days for sure, gonna be an epic St. Patrick’s Day Bummer my only week off will be cold and soggy but them’s the breaks. Still better than working  

[AlTahoe]

12 hours ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

"Only 31inches"

 

You constantly remind your wife that 2" is giant, but now your standards have changed?

Lol I say only because the models and the Nws were talking about a top 5 all time snow storm and possibly breaking the 24 hour record at the snow lab on Donner summit. Reality was like 50% of the forecast. My total was 31" which is no big deal over 3 days. I had 6 different days last winter that dropped more snow than any day during this storm. So even with a good accumulation it was a bit of a bust. 

[the_convergence_zone]

Fortunately the absurd current global SST anomalies probably have a big natural variability component that is dominating over some of the other Tonga/ship aerosol theories, but it's still bad when the SSTs in the Atlantic MDR are already at their June normals in March. 

[TT-SEA]

Looks like we are heading back to deep troughing next weekend regardless of how the ridge breaks down.  

[Slushy Inch]

16 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Looks like we are heading back to deep troughing next weekend regardless of how the ridge breaks down.  

Was about to post about gem

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Slushy Inch said:

Was about to post about gem

GEM even shows lowland snow by days 9 and 10.    GFS is not quite there... yet.  

[snow_wizard]

Pretty historic looking GEM run.  If the 500mb setup shown were to verify this could easily happen.  Big if of course.

[Phishy Wx]

34 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Fortunately the absurd current global SST anomalies probably have a big natural variability component that is dominating over some of the other Tonga/ship aerosol theories, but it's still bad when the SSTs in the Atlantic MDR are already at their June normals in March. 

it's terrible. and terrible for corals

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

Tony the Tiger really says some dense shiit sometimes

did you fall on your head dude?

Oceanic heat waves are worse than terrestrial heat waves any day of the week

figured you were a Trumper, thanks for confirming

Totally uncalled for.

[snow_wizard]

2 hours ago, MossMan said:

Only made it down to 35 due to some low scud clouds. 

D**n scud!  Dropped to 32 here. 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

GEM even shows lowland snow by days 9 and 10.    GFS is not quite there... yet.  

I can't vomit on this enough, especially if this weekend causes some of my orchard to bloom. 

[snow_wizard]

1 hour ago, westcoastexpat said:

I thought temperatures between 35-45 with clouds and rain was your least favourite weather - surprised you're rooting for it?

I was commenting on the fact many models were showing a Canadian cold front dropping through the area.  Usually those clear it out.

[snow_wizard]

Just now, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

I can't vomit on this enough, especially if this weekend causes some of my orchard to bloom. 

Definitely expect late frost this season.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

10 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Pretty historic looking GEM run.  If the 500mb setup shown were to verify this could easily happen.  Big if of course.

Gives me only a trace of snow, and gives some plsved in the Puget Sound 4+", wow!

[Cascadia_Wx]

3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Definitely expect late frost this season.

Moving to an area notorious for late frosts then complaining bitterly about it every year seems rational.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

36 at my station, low of 24. Today is unfortunately the last safe(ish) day in the backcountry with this amazing weather, Avalanche danger is gonna be super high this weekend because of all of the fresh snow from the last few weeks, ontop of a rock solid layer of snow from January. The top layer of snow will soften up and could easily break off.

What a waste of such nice weather. 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

19 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Moving to an area notorious for late frosts then complaining bitterly about it every year seems rational.

Late frost is fine. Not with active blooms. Also, I don't really care about your opinion. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just now, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Late frost is fine. Not with active blooms. Also, I don't really care about your opinion. 

That’s cool. It’s your right not to care. I respect that. But my opinion is you shoulda moved somewhere warmer. Even 1,000’ lower in elevation would probably make a big difference up there.

#liveandlearn

[ShawniganLake]

2 hours ago, MossMan said:

Only made it down to 35 due to some low scud clouds. 

We had some frost this morning.  It was sadly already melted by 9am. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Looking really good:

[SilverFallsAndrew]

4 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Looking really good:

Starting to feel I may not have had my last snowfall. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Are we really gonna get cold again? Lol.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

16 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

That’s cool. It’s your right not to care. I respect that. But my opinion is you shoulda moved somewhere warmer. Even 1,000’ lower in elevation would probably make a big difference up there.

#liveandlearn

I love where I live. That's what you don't understand. Its normal as an orchard grower to be unhappy about an early bloom busted by cold. If i'm lucky some of the early bloomers (cherry/plum/peach) will won't bust their nut this weekend. I have hardy varieties, so even if they do some snow cover could protect them. Might just be an off year due to lack of pollinators at this time. It happens about 50/50, but still a bummer. Cost of doing business on my plot. 

[Deweydog]

5 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Are we really gonna get cold again? Lol.

My wife GUARANTEES it. She’s having a lot of fun with her recent acronym-free long range prowess.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

7 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Are we really gonna get cold again? Lol.

Money back or else. 

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF looks like it wants to turn more wet than cold... compared to other models.  

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

12Z ECMWF looks like it wants to turn more wet than cold... compared to other models.  

I wonder how close to the event it will take for all models to agree. This has been a difficult evolution. 

[ShawniganLake]

21 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Starting to feel I may not have had my last snowfall. 

The only question is how much?   You’re in the heart of prime snow season down there. 

[Front Ranger]

3 hours ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Coral reefs and fisheries are dying off. LOL!!!

Just a silly color joke. And not the racial kind.

My avatar character is also orange.

[Cascadia_Wx]

11 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Just a silly color joke. And not the racial kind.

My avatar character is also orange.

So is the weenie react

[Front Ranger]

1 hour ago, Phishy Wx said:

Tony the Tiger really says some dense shiit sometimes

did you fall on your head dude?

Oceanic heat waves are worse than terrestrial heat waves any day of the week

figured you were a Trumper, thanks for confirming

 Never been a Trumper, never will be. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

Looks like all the 39s at PDX this morning were fakes. Low of 40 there. VUO fell to 36 though.

#betterstation

[Omegaraptor]

31 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

I wonder how close to the event it will take for all models to agree. This has been a difficult evolution. 

This always seems to be a rough time of year for model accuracy.

[the_convergence_zone]

48 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

I love where I live. That's what you don't understand. Its normal as an orchard grower to be unhappy about an early bloom busted by cold. If i'm lucky some of the early bloomers (cherry/plum/peach) will won't bust their nut this weekend. I have hardy varieties, so even if they do some snow cover could protect them. Might just be an off year due to lack of pollinators at this time. It happens about 50/50, but still a bummer. Cost of doing business on my plot. 

Yep, basically every fruit grower in central/eastern Washington is on edge this time of year. A cold snap after a warm spell can be disastrous.

[TT-SEA]

12Z EPS keeps the really cold air to the east.   Might not get that cold... particularly if it turns wet.  

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

7 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Yep, basically every fruit grower in central/eastern Washington is on edge this time of year. A cold snap after a warm spell can be disastrous.

I guess they should all move. 

 

#liveandlearn