snow_wizard Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 5 hours ago, Jbolin said: I don't really give two s*** about snow right now, what I would like is a stretch of cold/clear nights to bolster any chance of accumulating some snow further down the road. I personally love cold clear nights b/c of their simplicity and how goddamn refreshing it is. Just seeing these major blocking episodes set up repeatedly is the big story at this point. Good stuff! 3 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 I thought the 06z gfs was the best yet. Solidly chilly. 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I thought the 06z gfs was the best yet. Solidly chilly. We have gone from a little chilly to solidly chilly! I like that improvement! 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 Negative! 2 1 1 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 Cloudy and a low of 51 this morning with no precipitation. Warmest low since 10/19. 1 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 1 year ago today we had a really nice backdoor blast. Had 45mph E gusts here in Tacoma and DPs went into the single digits. 2 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fubario Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 been a minute since checking in to the forum. nice to see the regulars posting positive stuff. going to the coast next weekend. with things looking interesting then, any chance of a storm crashing in? i know it's too far out still. thanks in advance. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I thought the 06z gfs was the best yet. Solidly chilly. I liked it too Andrew. Chilly with decent precip around. Niña-ish and would be good for the mountains. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 Foggy here this morning with a milder low of 44. First 40+ low in about a week. Currently still socked in and 47. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 2 minutes ago, Jesse said: Foggy here this morning with a milder low of 44. First 40+ low in about a week. Currently still socked in and 47. I made it down to 37 before the fog moved in. Now up to 47. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 Big Oregon Cascade snow on this run for days 7-8 so far. Let's get it started! 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 Teens again this morning! I had the warmest start to October in over 20 years, now the coolest end to October in... (insert answer) lol 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 The 12z is a very chilly and fun run past day 7. Some pretty low snow levels and overrunning opportunities after the first cold shot. November may end up being very active. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 6 minutes ago, FroYoBro said: The 12z is a very chilly and fun run past day 7. Some pretty low snow levels and overrunning opportunities after the first cold shot. November may end up being very active. Cool and active sounds perfect. Let’s avoid a chilly but mostly dry/boring November like 2013. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 Might be time to get a season pass for Meadows. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 1 minute ago, Jesse said: Cool and active sounds perfect. It gets REAL cold in the clown range. Just fun to look at. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 First couple days of November look mild but then could be a decent bout of chilly weather. Nice to see the models have been pretty set on this the last couple days. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ttt Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 The freakish PNW winter of (1949-50) was a moderate to strong La Nina winter -- a similar scenario to where we are now. 2 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 1 minute ago, ttt said: The freakish PNW winter of (1949-50) was a moderate to strong La Nina winter -- a similar scenario to where we are now. 1949-1950 analogy LOCK IT IN BOYS 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ttt Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 La Niña is looking pretty nice. Have a good feeling about us getting some interesting stuff this winter. 4 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 29, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 Another good morning GFS run. Almost made it to freezing but had to settle for 33F. Nice chilly night. Currently 43F with fog. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 44 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: First couple days of November look mild but then could be a decent bout of chilly weather. Nice to see the models have been pretty set on this the last couple days. This would be my third consecutive year to have a cold blast in November. 1 1 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 GFS ensemble mean continues to strengthen the Alaskan block signal in the long range. 3 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 That was an astonishingly good GFS run for this time of year. GEM isn’t quite as wild, but still shows the trough. 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 8 minutes ago, Front Ranger said: GFS ensemble mean continues to strengthen the Alaskan block signal in the long range. It should also be noted that the GEFS also sets the mean trough position a little further east which doesn't dump as much cold air out over the ocean and maintains a solid Arctic cold source throughout. 1 3 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 Starting to look like sh*t could get more interesting starting Election Day 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 4 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 29, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 6 members getting down to that Magic -8 Ball. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 5 minutes ago, Jesse said: Starting to look like sh*t could get more interesting starting Election Day So weather IS politics 1 2 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 I like what we’re seeing so far interested to see what the euro says. Good bet for chilly weather at the very least. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 29, 2020 Author Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 Already mentally prepared for the morning Queen Euro to cut-off our hopes. Maybe the King can change things tonight? 1 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 Looks like Seattle and Tim get a little bit of snow on the 12z 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 1 1 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 12 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Looks like Seattle and Tim get a little bit of snow on the 12z Euro? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 Where is Rob when we need him? 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 GFS ensembles Puyallup Seattle Portland 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 The west look's cold 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted October 29, 2020 Report Share Posted October 29, 2020 28 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Oregon ski resorts could be headed for an early opening if that verifies. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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