December 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW

[Phil]

10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

December 2013

Maybe this’ll be the CFS’s once-per-decade coup.

[luminen]

 

3 minutes ago, Phil said:

 

Bro wtf. That last sentence is the most depressing thing I’ve read in a month.

It's over man. This winter is done and dusted. Might as well cheer for as much ridging as possible.

[Phil]

Just now, luminen said:

 

It's over man. This winter is done and dusted. Might as well cheer for as much ridging as possible.

F U

[Omegaraptor]

Northwesterly firehose >>>>> southwesterly firehose

[Rubus Leucodermis]

2 minutes ago, luminen said:

 

It's over man. This winter is done and dusted. Might as well cheer for as much ridging as possible.

I prefer to cheer for 50˚F rain, but to each his or her own.

[Jesse]

4 minutes ago, Phil said:

 

Bro wtf. That last sentence is the most depressing thing I’ve read in a month.

Think he’s a few members short of a suite, so he kind of gets a pass.

[TT-SEA]

13 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Euro!!!

Ridge bridge!! 

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF does not quite get there... but its closer than the 00Z run.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

21 minutes ago, Phil said:

Colder than this one.

Actually I was going to ask you about that.  Do you think this will be a 2 year Nina?

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Yeah I agree. Great to see Nina weather return. January is our time to SHINE.

[SouthHillFrosty]

13 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Definite improvement.

If we could get a ridge bridge, that would be nice

[Deweydog]

Trump’s failure to address infrastructure during his term is certainly not helping our ridge bridge dilemma.

[Jesse]

12z Euro looks a lot better for mountain snow than the 00z run. Closer to the GFS.

[Blizzard777]

1 hour ago, Tyler Mode said:

The models suck, but this morning's clouds were cool.  Take what I can get.  I don't need snow for photos.

Been plenty of eye candy from nature this season so far!!! 

[AbbyJr]

11 hours ago, Phil said:

Just took a look at this.

6 of the last 7 -ENSO SSW events were followed by pattern change to significantly colder temperatures over the west. That includes big ones like 1988/89 and moderate ones like 2017/18. Pretty solid stuff. There’s also 2018/19 which was a Niño. Seems to be working out well of late.

One exception is 1999/00, though much of the US did turn frigid for 2 weeks before the torch resumed. I suspect the Indian Ocean had a hand in screwing that winter up.

This is why people who are cancelling winter already need to be more patient. There is a solid chance of a SSW event in January. If we can pull one off early in the month, we could be looking at a mid month arctic blast. The models won't pick up on the pattern change for a while. Saying "winter cancel" in early December is just silly.

[Omegaraptor]

Quite the inversion going on currently. 46 at HIO, 45 at PDX, 60 at Red Box station, 49 at Timberline Lodge.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Warmest day since at least early November here. Up to 54. 

[Requiem]

 onto next winter

But to be honest I quite like the upcoming weather, gonna be active and drippy.

[jakerepp]

1 hour ago, Deweydog said:

For the record, I do NOT like sour cream.

Oh heck yes.

The stuff just overpowers everything it gets put on. Blech. 

I'll take it a step further. Most of the white condiments suck: Mayo, sour cream, cream cheese, tartar, even whipped cream... 

They could all be banished to hell and I wouldn't give a rip!

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

EPS.  I accidentally posted last nights EPS earlier, this is the right one.

[Blizzard777]

The reverse psychology card is being played by many! 
 

Blowing mist

50*

 

[Jesse]

2 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

Oh heck yes.

The stuff just overpowers everything it gets put on. Blech. 

I'll take it a step further. Most of the white condiments suck: Mayo, sour cream, cream cheese, tartar, even whipped cream... 

They could all be banished to hell and I wouldn't give a rip!

Ok. Now it’s personal.

[Jesse]

2 minutes ago, Jginmartini said:

The reverse psychology card is being played by many! 
 

Blowing mist

50*

 

We are definitely seeing some psychology on here. Haven’t decided what kind yet.  

[jakerepp]

Just now, Jesse said:

Ok. Now it’s personal.

 

[Blizzard777]

1 hour ago, Deweydog said:

For the record, I do NOT like sour cream.

 

5 minutes ago, jakerepp said:

Oh heck yes.

The stuff just overpowers everything it gets put on. Blech. 

I'll take it a step further. Most of the white condiments suck: Mayo, sour cream, cream cheese, tartar, even whipped cream... 

They could all be banished to hell and I wouldn't give a rip!

Fred, preference files need to be updated please 

[jakerepp]

1 minute ago, Jginmartini said:

 

Fred, preference files need to be updated please 

I love to stir up controversy (on topics that are of little actual impact to anyone)

[Jesse]

17 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Quite the inversion going on currently. 46 at HIO, 45 at PDX, 60 at Red Box station, 49 at Timberline Lodge.

Sun angles **could** be playing a role here.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Up to 55F in Springfield.

Mostly sunny, beautiful day.

[Blizzard777]

1 minute ago, jakerepp said:

I love to stir up controversy (on topics that are of little actual impact to anyone)

Now that I understand for the most part the characters in this forum it’s entertaining..........at times. 

 

[ShawniganLake]

Rainfall has been increased to a moderate intensity here. 🌧

[SouthHillFrosty]

This might be a dumb question, but how far west does a hood canal snow event go to? Does it just stay in the hood canal or does it reach Bremerton?

[Rubus Leucodermis]

9 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

This might be a dumb question, but how far west does a hood canal snow event go to? Does it just stay in the hood canal or does it reach Bremerton?

Depends. Sometimes it makes it all the way to Bainbridge Island. Note that this does not mean Bainbridge gets the full, say, 4–6" the Hood Canal gets… it means Bainbridge gets a slushy dusting when Seattle gets nothing but rain. Bremerton Airport, being on a plateau, might score an inch or two in such a scenario.

[Dave]

Absolutely gorgeous out. 55 and sunny, but feels much warmer than that. Of course, I'd prefer cold and snow, but that's not available for a while. This is the next best option.

[SouthHillFrosty]

4 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Depends. Sometimes it makes it all the way to Bainbridge Island. Note that this does not mean Bainbridge gets the full, say, 4–6" the Hood Canal gets… it means Bainbridge gets a slushy dusting when Seattle gets nothing but rain. Bremerton Airport, being on a plateau, might score an inch or two in such a scenario.

Thanks. I never really paid it much attention until I was driving through the Hood Canal this past weekend 

[MossMan]

Heavy soaking drizzle. 52 degrees. 
 

[AbbyJr]

[Rubus Leucodermis]

51°F and mild rain… my favorite.

[Gradient Keeper]

12z Canadian Ensembles

Day 9-16 GIF. Ridge offshore not nearly as flat or weak as with previous runs. I'm intrigued.

 

[MossMan]

4 minutes ago, AbbyJr said:

That does not look too shabby. Why are we not talking about this but instead talking about people’s preferences? 

[Gradient Keeper]

5 minutes ago, AbbyJr said:

SSW and it begins before Day 10 now. I do like seeing that.