TT-SEA Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said: I think he’s in Leavenworth. Ahhhh... I missed that. Sort of obvious if I bothered to scroll up! 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 Just now, TT-SEA said: Ahhhh... I missed that. I was like “Wait… what?” when I read that post, then remembered he had been posting about being in Leavenworth. 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 5 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: I was like “Wait… what?” when I read that post, then remembered he had been posting about being in Leavenworth. still kind of a **** move to post that though 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 51 minutes ago, Deweydog said: I talked briefly with the NAM today. She says misses everyone and hopes to see everyone soon. I'm offended that you assumed it's gender you insensitive jerk. 1 1 1 1 1 Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 15 minutes ago, puyallupjon said: still kind of a **** move to post that though How dare I post my current weather conditions 2 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 00z GFS Day 1 Wind Event/Storms(s)? AR/Flooding? Jet suppressed/offshore flow for low snow levels? No idea. Stay tuned! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 Day 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 The extended GFS ensemble continues to show PNA going minus in mid January. Later in the month the EPO drops sharply along with that. I really hope we can get something good going in the last half of January. That is historically the best time to get hit around here. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z GFS Day 1 Wind Event/Storms(s)? AR/Flooding? Jet suppressed/offshore flow for low snow levels? No idea. Stay tuned! I'm hoping this run continues to show the GOA ridging late in the run like the past few runs. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 Day 3 (Past 4 runs) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 Day 4 (Past 4 runs) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 Day 5 (Past 4 runs) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 On the plus side, my NWS point forecast is calling for 50˚F rain on Saturday. 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 Day 6 Big low developing (Past 4 runs) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 6 Big low developing (Past 4 runs) Southerlies… nice! Makes 50˚F rain easier to achieve. 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 Day 7 North Pacific view (Past 4 runs) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
liquidsnow Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 4 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 6 Big low developing (Past 4 runs) Lots of variation from breezy to windy with heavy rain, light rain, drizzle, and mist. This could saturate my lawn and bring me some waterfront property. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 Day 8 North Pacific view North America view 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 Hour 210 is for Andrew. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 Day 9'er North America view North Pacific view 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 Laundry. Be back shortly. 1 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 9 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Laundry. Be back shortly. Laundry before Day 10? WTF? 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 15 minutes ago, Poulsbo Snowman said: Laundry before Day 10? WTF? Yeah. What the hell was I thinking! https://tenor.com/view/dumb-dumber-carrey-done-gif-5713433 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 00z GEFS HR 12 SSWE underway. It's coming folks. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 Crazy model riding ahead. MBG 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 End of GFS Op 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 So this SSW that’s been talked about for weeks still hasn’t even started? Yawn. And lol at that anticyclone over Greenland. It’s only gotten stronger. Is it Summer yet? 1 1 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said: So this SSW that’s been talked about for weeks still hasn’t even started? Yawn. And lol at that anticyclone over Greenland. It’s only gotten stronger. Is it Summer yet? GEFS shows it's underway by 2-4 AM tomorrow. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 Back in Boring. It's currently 43 with overcast and we're 0.01" away from Novembers rainfall total of 9.21". Lots of dense fog in spots of the coast range and valley on the way back this morning. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 7 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said: So this SSW that’s been talked about for weeks still hasn’t even started? Yawn. And lol at that anticyclone over Greenland. It’s only gotten stronger. Is it Summer yet? I think the high pressure over Greenland is part of the plan according to this. It’s part of “The Great Disturbance!” . 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 6 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said: So this SSW that’s been talked about for weeks still hasn’t even started? Yawn. And lol at that anticyclone over Greenland. It’s only gotten stronger. Is it Summer yet? There's the spirit! @iFred would be so proud. In all seriousness though, I'm not sure if there is any connection between increased heights over Greenland and warmer weather over our area, save maybe for a muddied downstream relation from poorer patterns over our way. If anything, it is a small cog in the atmospheric machine that is helping to erode away at the SPV, which in turn could provide us with some wintry weather down the line. 2 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 7 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: GEFS shows it's underway by 2-4 AM tomorrow. Please post the model showing it’s underway when it has started please Rob. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said: There's the spirit! @iFred would be so proud. In all seriousness though, I'm not sure if there is any connection between increased heights over Greenland and warmer weather over our area, save maybe for a muddied downstream relation from poorer patterns over our way. If anything, it is a small cog in the atmospheric machine that is helping to erode away at the SPV, which in turn could provide us with some wintry weather down the line. Maybe the Greenland high is interfering with the SE ridge that we would need to lock in a pattern of greatness though? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 Already down to freezing. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 Just now, High Desert Mat? said: Maybe the Greenland high is interfering with the SE ridge that we would need to lock in a pattern of greatness though? Isn't the SE ridge just a feature? 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 2 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said: Please post the model showing it’s underway when it has started please Rob. This was at 4PM today. 5.5 hours ago. Initialization hour. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 1 minute ago, High Desert Mat? said: Please post the model showing it’s underway when it has started please Rob. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=nhem&pkg=Tz10&runtime=2020122800&fh=6 You can view the GFS at this link, in the bars above the map you can also see GEFS/GEPS guidance for the Stratosphere as well. 2 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 3 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said: Please post the model showing it’s underway when it has started please Rob. I posted the GEFS up above. HR 12 (4 AM(likely a few hours sooner) shows the stratospheric warming begins) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 28, 2020 Report Share Posted December 28, 2020 1 minute ago, High Desert Mat? said: Maybe the Greenland high is interfering with the SE ridge that we would need to lock in a pattern of greatness though? Again, same issue with that argument, given that it is entirely a downstream effect. There, again, may be a loose correlation between our warmer patterns and a lack of a SE ridge, but in no meaningful way does a SE ridge help give is wintry weather. That is up to whatever is going on upstream over the Pacific and high latitude western North America. 3 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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