snow_wizard Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 18 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Just Incredible. Looks like it’s still rain in Winthrop. You gotta love this state for having this kind of weather mix possible. So interesting. Indeed. There was a crazy push of warm air into Central and Eastern WA earlier. This makes two times Western WA has had snow while the east side was much warmer in just the past couple of weeks. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 Snow absolutely dumping on the passes. Stevens Pass is up 17" since 4pm. Snoqualmie Pass...well they shut down I-90 earlier lol. Looks like the drop in temp was enough for ECMWF to verify on Tim getting snow! And the models are looking much more favorable in the long range. Things are coming up Millhouse! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 52F with some light rain. Typical Torchuary night. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: You didn't see the GFS tonight? Pretty epic potential there. Was there anything good in the believable range? Didn't notice anything other than clown range hopes which we need to keep in check bigly. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 46 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I can never recall getting two snow events so close together caused by slow moving baroclinic bands and heavy precip. Just something odd about this winter. Even crazier is that this part of the region has not noticed a thing... Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 6z GFS Day 9. Already looking promising. This is mirroring the previous 4-5 runs of the GEFS, but it is the GFS after all. I would probably be more confident if the EPS jumped on board with this solution. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 5:43AM here and I’m watching the 06z GFS come in because..I don’t know. Lol 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 Day 12.5 .. Why am I posting anything beyond Day 6-7? No idea. I like to party. GEFS will be far more important. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 Retrogression signal still there 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 Third run in a row! Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 Looks like a west coast warm finger pattern trying to develop at the end. Y'all it's January, a month in which it appears it will never deliver here again. The climate simply cannot produce it anymore and it's a hopeless endeavor to think it could. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 GEFS just started, and how am I wake.... or WHY am I awake.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: GEFS just started, and how am I wake.... or WHY am I awake.... I'm headed to bed. It's just so depressing ever looking at the models in January anymore. Worst weather month of the year along with the now annual smoke month. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 The overall direction is still very much there. Obviously there will be run to run differences in the long-range. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: I'm headed to bed. It's just so depressing ever looking at the models in January anymore. Worst weather month of the year along with the now annual smoke month. Why are you so down? This is the best the models have looked in over a month. Seriously. Especially the ensembles. Even the Op run begins retrogression just after Day 9. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 8 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Looks like a west coast warm finger pattern trying to develop at the end. Y'all it's January, a month in which it appears it will never deliver here again. The climate simply cannot produce it anymore and it's a hopeless endeavor to think it could. U sound like an Andrew. Gotta have a little faith man. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 2 minutes ago, wxmet said: The overall direction is still very much there. Obviously there will be run to run differences in the long-range. Yeah long range was mighty close to being really cold. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Yeah long range was mighty close to being really cold. Still retrograding too. Which makes dynamical sense. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 With that, I’m hitting the sack. Hoping to steal 4hrs of beauty sleep. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Yeah long range was mighty close to being really cold. I'm excited for the Euro to start showing the good stuff within the next week. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 Just now, Kolk1604 said: I'm excited for the Euro to start showing the good stuff within the next week. Should be soon. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 6z GEFS at Day 9 it appears the Aleutian trough is held back a bit further west than the previous 4 runs. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 Day 9.5 (Past 4 runs) Nice trend! Here we go! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 This might be a REALLY good ensembles run. Anxiously awaiting Day 11+ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 Day 10 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 18 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: I'm headed to bed. It's just so depressing ever looking at the models in January anymore. Worst weather month of the year along with the now annual smoke month. Get some good sleep man. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 That's pretty. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 Day 11.5 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 GFS wants to take us places and been consistent with it for 3rd run in a row. It’s moving nicely with the timing, so it’s not like things are getting pushed back. Overall, it’s a trend you wanna see. Now, I want the other models, especially the Euro OP and ensembles show something in support. PLENTY of time for this to happen or not. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 Lots and lots of rain yesterday. Several places broke their daily record for Jan. 2 including Olympia. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 I'm cautiously optimistic. We'll see what happens, but life goes on even if it doesn't work out. 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 7 hours ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Pfft. Max gust of 48 mph at KBLI. Anything under 50 is not really a windstorm. North end definitely had some good winds....just our local area down here underwhelming. Rainfall on the other hand performed! 1.68 precipitation yesterday Currently 38* Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 Nice front passage this morning around 1:15. Nice temp drop, still mild though. Rainfall rate peaked at 3.13"/hour. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 6 hours ago, bainbridgekid said: Impressive. Tim will probably wake up to a few inches of snow. So there was a little wet snow here but it did not accumulate. I think the ridge blocks the north wind here and in a very marginal backside situation with limited cold air... its just enough to make a difference. I just drove down towards NB and the was a more snow on the ground the farther I got away from the ridge. Not much... but the ground is covered about 1/2 mile away. Either way... its pouring rain everywhere again now. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 0.08” so far this morning. Have had about 6” of rain in the last 2 weeks. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 I understand that we want the jet to retract and the EPS is definitely going in that direction... but it is still hard to call the end of the 00Z EPS something great. I think normally this would be considered a pretty ugly pattern on here. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I understand that we want the jet to retract and the EPS is definitely going in that direction... but it is still hard to call the end of the 00Z EPS something great. I think normally this would be considered a pretty ugly pattern on here. Can’t we just have this one thing ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 6 minutes ago, Timmy said: Can’t we just have this one thing ? It might be coming... and the GFS is now showing something interesting on every run. And maybe the EPS will suddenly come into focus. But the end of the 00Z run was not even close to being cold at 15 days out. I usually don't trust any significant cold pattern until I see the EPS start consistently showing it. I would love to see this all happen in January for many reasons. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 3, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 37 and very light drizzle. .01” so far on the day, 1.23” for the month. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 3, 2021 Report Share Posted January 3, 2021 Power went out about 3a, still out. I hate the wind. 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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