wxmet Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, Phil said: I concur with y’all..this GFS run sucks pig penis. I saw those Euro runs that dumped over a foot in MD and made me miss living there. Now you guys are getting shafted. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 Model comparison. Day 5.5 00z GEM GFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 You can’t always get what you want. But if you try sometimes, you just might find you get what you need. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 Just now, wxmet said: I saw those Euro runs that dumped over a foot in MD and made me miss living there. Now you guys are getting shafted. Well it’s just 1 run, lol. But certainly a possible outcome. Verbatim 1st wave is a ZR fest and 2nd wave is a complete whiff. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 Model comparison - Huge differences 00z GEM GFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 6 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: At least this helps make up for the earlier part of the run, I guess? Kinda sorta. Snow hole in Portland! Tacoma goes from 0.9 to over 10 inches in a 12 hour period. 2 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Link Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 This is why we have safety spiels in our rides. So stupid idiots won't get hurt then be even more stupid and sue us. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 1 minute ago, Link said: This is why we have safety spiels in our rides. So stupid idiots won't get hurt. Nintendo burn. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 It ALL comes down to King EURO 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 5 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: It ALL comes down to King EURO You notice the GFSv16 is stuck at hour 102 from 06z? I checked pivatol and weathermodels Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 15 inches on the coast and .03 in Portland. Sounds reasonable. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 10 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: 15 inches on the coast and .03 in Portland. Sounds reasonable. That's what we call a Matt special! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 33 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: At least this helps make up for the earlier part of the run, I guess? Kinda sorta. I’m not falling for it 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 Lol wtf is going on Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 Just now, TacomaWaWx said: Lol wtf is going on Cat and mouse game and we’re the mouse Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 32 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: At least this helps make up for the earlier part of the run, I guess? Kinda sorta. That map is a total joke. I had to go back and look at the run to see where all the snow came from and I see a storm producing it with thicknesses over 530 and with 850 temps around -2. Is that possible? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said: Lol wtf is going on Your "let's quit being so reactive to the models" lectures did this. A voice of reason shall never be allowed on this forum. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said: Your "let's quit being so reactive to the models" lectures did this. A voice of reason shall never be allowed on this forum. It shows lots of snow at your house! Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: Cat and mouse game and we’re the mouse Yea I’m not buying this solution in the mid/long range. Who knows what’ll happen with the stuff next week either at this point. Still plausible we thread the needle and get some snow Tuesday night/Wednesday morning. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said: It shows lots of snow at your house! Lol, yes.....suck him in ......look at all the snow Chris! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 4 minutes ago, Acer said: That map is a total joke. I had to go back and look at the run to see where all the snow came from and I see a storm producing it with thicknesses over 530 and with 850 temps around -2. Is that possible? Yes. A Saturated and cool isothermic profile with prolific precip rates will drive down the snow level very effectively. Surface temps are near 33F. Not very much melting, if at all. 2 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 5 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: It shows lots of snow at your house! So far outside of any believable range that makes any discussion moot. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 Just now, Meatyorologist said: Yes. A Saturated and cool isothermic profile with prolific precip rates will drive down the snow level very effectively. Surface temps are near 33F. Not very much melting, if at all. Kind of like last months crazy snow event. Too bad this one probably won’t verify. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 42 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: Snow hole in Portland! Tacoma goes from 0.9 to over 10 inches in a 12 hour period. My reaction logging back into the wf after cancelling winter on hour 150 on the gfs 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 00z WRF. Should be pretty to see it falling during the day Sunday AM. Just barely too warm for stickage. Would be quite nice if we could just somehow magically get 1-2F cooler. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 Just now, SouthHillFrosty said: The snow maps are pretty, but this is not a realistic snow pattern unfortunately. Little cold air in place, low to our NW, and onshore flow. Even if it were exactly right on the pattern, it'd be tough to get snow below 800-1,000 feet IMO. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 Just now, bainbridgekid said: The snow maps are pretty, but this is not a realistic snow pattern unfortunately. Little cold air in place, low to our NW, and onshore flow. Even if it were exactly right on the pattern, it'd be tough to get snow below 800-1,000 feet IMO. This would be similar to the storm we had in December. However, this time, we are way colder to start. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: This would be similar to the storm we had in December. However, this time, we are way colder to start. It really isn't though. Temps crashed when we switched to Northerly flow after the low slipped to our SE during that storm. Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 7 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: I would rather we show nothing but torch and be done. I DONT WANT ANY MORE RUGS!! Just begone! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 Jim came back today after the morning run didn't he? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 00z ECMWF Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, Cloud said: Jim came back today after the morning run didn't he? Jim only shows up when there are great runs or something looks salvageable to only him. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 Day 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 Getting East windy out there! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Perturbed Member Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 The Canadian NAM, aka RGEM 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 Cloudy and 34 degrees! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 22, 2021 Report Share Posted January 22, 2021 2 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Through Monday AM... About the same as the 18z Euro. I'm liking the CZ signature the Euro has shown the past few runs. Might be a nice wild card Sunday night. A south sound CZ? Interesting Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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