Blizzard777 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 42 minutes ago, Cloud said: Latest HRRR is running out to 8 hours. Unfortunately, it's showing the Sound being stuck at 38 degrees 'til then. I’m at 37.8! dew point now 29 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Temperature 31˚F, dew point 28˚F. 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parksvillewx Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 minute ago, TheNewCulverJosh said: I don't know much about Van. Island. What is the largest population, with elevation, that gets a lot of snow? Campbell River (35k population) usually scores the most I would say. They're quite close to the mainland and not really influenced by the ocean like the rest of V.I. The east side of the island from Duncan to Courtenay can get heavy strait effect snow during strong outflow situations. Hasn't happened here in a few years though. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 3 minutes ago, Poulsbo Snowman said: Buffalo Let's keep going. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 minute ago, Parksvillewx said: Campbell River (35k population) usually scores the most I would say. They're quite close to the mainland and not really influenced by the ocean like the rest of V.I. The east side of the island from Duncan to Courtenay can get heavy strait effect snow during strong outflow situations. Hasn't happened here in a few years though. Thank you for the informative post. Some here could learn from you, I am happy to. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Gfs looking good for Wednesday morning at the moment. Definitely think it’s our best shot and has been for the last few days. 1 3 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Day 4 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 11 minutes ago, Parksvillewx said: 34F here. Nice to see the radar starting to fill in off the coast. Cue the Jaws music! 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Day 5 (Past 4 runs) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 10 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Gfs looking good for Wednesday morning at the moment. Definitely think it’s our best shot and has been for the last few days. More snow chances Thurs evening into Fri. But at this point it's way too far out to be reliable. Though it does appears the chances are there for most of next week. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Just now, Cloud said: More snow chances Thurs evening into Fri. But at this point it's way too far out to be reliable. Anything is subject to change even Wednesday morning. It’s looking good for now though! Like I said earlier...we get to roll the dice a few times this week we will get a good roll at some point. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Day 6 (Past 4 runs) Ridge unfortunately trending further west on the GFS 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Wind storm pattern after Day 6? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Just woke up from a 4 hour nap. I was debating on whether having lunch or dinner Before it. That issue was solved now since it’s 8pm. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Just woke up from a 4 hour nap. I was debating on whether having lunch or dinner Before it. That issue was solved now since it’s 8pm. Good luck sleeping tonight lol 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Considering how poor this winter has been, can't really complain much from the 0z run as it continues to features several chances for snow within 7 days for the Sound. We'll take anything we can at this point. Let's hope it continues to improve regionally. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 I am more confident on scoring in February than January even though January is the "heart" of Winter. I would say I've thought that way for 10 years probably. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Day 7 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Not great trends on this run, but just one run! 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Day 8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Up to 33˚F. Starting to get the feeling this may bust here. About half the models are saying cold rain at this point anyhow. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 hour ago, TheNewCulverJosh said: They are all pretty much built the same today. Plug a dumb computer in them and diagnose. Oh yeah its just that easy. Jesus.. Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 24, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 4 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Oh yeah its just that easy. Jesus.. I had a feeling you would not take kindly to that post LOL! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 24, 2021 Author Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 10 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Up to 33˚F. Starting to get the feeling this may bust here. About half the models are saying cold rain at this point anyhow. From 31 to 36 here in the last two hours. 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 3 minutes ago, MossMan said: From 31 to 36 here in the last two hours. up to 37 now here.....DRAT! But I guess it was somewhat expected (just hoping for a surprise) 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 minute ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 10 Ridge appears to be on life support last couple runs at day 10 but rebuilds quickly few frames after that. Let's go Feb.! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 6 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 10 Could be a lot worse. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 8 minutes ago, MossMan said: From 31 to 36 here in the last two hours. 35 here dewpoint 32. I still think it will work out for here. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 That ridge rebuilds very nicely in the clown range. Wow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Okay.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 35F and mostly clear. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Thursday night snow FWIW. 3 Quote Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 21 minutes ago, MossMan said: From 31 to 36 here in the last two hours. I'm up to 32 now. Not often you get to say "up to 32" around here is it? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 43 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Not great trends on this run, but just one run! What makes u say that? Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Some potential in the long range. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 2nd week of February retrograde? 5 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 1 minute ago, Phil said: What makes u say that? Kold Aire goes EASt. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 24, 2021 Report Share Posted January 24, 2021 Surface temps don’t dictate p-type y’all. Calculate your wet bulb temp and pull up a sounding. 2 1 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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