January 2021 weather observations for the PNW

[MWG]

Still in the 40's here. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

27 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Weekend crew. Steve Pool, Shannon O’Donnell, or Rich Marriott would have never put up with that bad forecasting. 

Rich Marriott wouldn't post a snow map in the arctic circle.

[Winterdog]

Down to 30.8 here. No clouds yet

[TigerWoodsLibido]

37F and pleasant.

[MossMan]

Been a long time since Seattle has seen a temp and north wind like that during an afternoon! This was from January 1996. 

[TacomaWaWx]

Cloudy and 39 DP 31 here. Not looking too good for snow tomorrow morning down this way unless we somehow cool off a few degrees over the next few hours. 

[MossMan]

1 hour ago, Jginmartini said:

I need to look out my window at 7am!   Mixed precipitation! 

Jeff Renner has a skeptical look on his face! Steve Pool is all in however!! 

[Cloud]

Temps are going in the opposite direction for some. It's up to 40, DP 30 at SEA after getting down to 39 last hour. This is thanks to the cloud moving in and the southerlies picking up at 8mph. Same for BFI, it's up to 39

[GHweatherChris]

4 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Temps are going in the opposite direction for some. It's up to 40, DP 30 at SEA after getting down to 39 last hour. This is thanks to the cloud moving in and the southerlies picking up at 8mph. Same for BFI, it's up to 39

But the models look really good 10 days out.

[Cloud]

6 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Cloudy and 39 DP 31 here. Not looking too good for snow tomorrow morning down this way unless we somehow cool off a few degrees over the next few hours. 

Latest HRRR is running out to 8 hours. Unfortunately, it's showing the Sound being stuck at 38 degrees 'til then. 

[umadbro]

Starting to look like forecast lows around the region are too low. Add about two or three degrees to the forecast and that's your best bet.

[Cloud]

5 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said:

But the models look really good 10 days out.

The 10 days or end of run hype was on point today. 

[Cloud]

HRRR has SEA stuck at 38-39F for most of the night through 7AM tomorrow. Doesn't seems like it'll be cold enough for snow. Gonna wait to see what the GFS and Euro says. 

[The Blob]

Forgot to post this this morning, nice and frosty at work.

[Chewbacca Defense]

Dropped to 30 earlier but is now back up to 33, I'm assuming clouds have moved in.

[MossMan]

4 minutes ago, The Blob said:

Forgot to post this this morning, nice and frosty at work.

Must be a Mazda, 90% of forum members have one! 

[MossMan]

34. 

[TacomaWaWx]

7 minutes ago, Cloud said:

HRRR has SEA stuck at 38-39F for most of the night through 7AM tomorrow. Doesn't seems like it'll be cold enough for snow. Gonna wait to see what the GFS and Euro says. 

Tonight hasn’t really been the best opportunity for snow on the models for days now anyways. More looking forward to the nights coming up after this. I think Tuesday night/Wednesday morning is really our best shot. 

[The Blob]

5 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Must be a Mazda, 90% of forum members have one! 

Nope, Chevy 

[Poulsbo Snowman]

3 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Tonight hasn’t really been the best opportunity for snow on the models for days now anyways. More looking forward to the nights coming up after this. I think Tuesday night/Wednesday morning is really our best shot. 

I'm thinking next weekend is how this will shake out for anything meaningful to sea-level around Seattle

[TheNewCulverJosh]

2 minutes ago, The Blob said:

Nope, Chevy 

They are all pretty much built the same today.  Plug a dumb computer in them and diagnose.  

[TacomaWaWx]

1 minute ago, Poulsbo Snowman said:

I'm thinking next weekend is how this will shake out for anything meaningful to sea-level around Seattle

We will see. Some decent chances for snow this week too. Definitely had a feeling tonight wasn’t going to work out with the clouds moving in right at sunset. More opportunities coming. 

[Front Ranger]

28 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Temps are going in the opposite direction for some. It's up to 40, DP 30 at SEA after getting down to 39 last hour. This is thanks to the cloud moving in and the southerlies picking up at 8mph. Same for BFI, it's up to 39

Yeah, temps cooling to freezing before precip moves in doesn't necessarily mean anything. 

[Timmy]

6 minutes ago, The Blob said:

Nope, Chevy 

Suburban, ram 2500 Cummins, Nissan Pathfinder 

[TheNewCulverJosh]

5 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

We will see. Some decent chances for snow this week too. Definitely had a feeling tonight wasn’t going to work out with the clouds moving in right at sunset. More opportunities coming. 

But over here is working out perfectly.  Precipitation may be the biggest issue, need that southern energy to intensify.  Tuesday looks a lot better.

[TacomaWaWx]

1 minute ago, TheNewCulverJosh said:

But over here is working out perfectly.  Precipitation may be the biggest issue, need that southern energy to intensify.  Tuesday looks a lot better.

Lol you’ll do just fine this week. Must be nice to live in a place that still gets snow even in a sh*t winter. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Think HOT and A/C's blowing on full blast. Sunburns and Lemonade. Think melting popsicles and ice cream cones! Think 850s +22c to +28c. Think death ridges!

🌤️🌥

[FroYoBro]

I hope everyone gets snow besides CulverJosh. 
 

His little conference forecast cost me big time. I ended up cancelling my grandmas funeral a week out because he convinced me the big storm was coming. Most of my family won’t answer my calls anymore.  

[TheNewCulverJosh]

4 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said:

Lol you’ll do just fine this week. Must be nice to live in a place that still gets snow even in a sh*t winter. 

You would be surprised.  Can be quite a donut hole.  Watching the clouds stop on the east slopes.  

But better than Tacoma which isn't saying that much :).

 

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS Day 1

(Past 4 runs)

[TheNewCulverJosh]

1 minute ago, FroYoBro said:

I hope everyone gets snow besides CulverJosh. 
 

His little conference forecast cost me big time. I ended up cancelling my grandmas funeral a week out because he convinced me the big storm was coming. Most of my family won’t answer my calls anymore.  

The originality just keeps flowing.  Good on you, I hope you can make a better post next time, I really do.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

The end of the 18z was a little interesting. 

[TheNewCulverJosh]

Currently 21.4 here.  

[MossMan]

35. 

[Parksvillewx]

34F here. Nice to see the radar starting to fill in off the coast.

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 2

(Past 4 runs)

[kokaneekidz]

Today is the anniversary of the coldest temperature ever recorded in Alaska 50 years ago today! -80 degrees

 

https://www.adn.com/alaska-news/science/2021/01/23/alaskas-all-time-cold-record-turns-50/

[TheNewCulverJosh]

2 minutes ago, hcr32 said:

34F here. Nice to see the radar starting to fill in off the coast.

I don't know much about Van. Island.  What is the largest population, with elevation, that gets a lot of snow?

[Poulsbo Snowman]

1 minute ago, TheNewCulverJosh said:

I don't know much about Van. Island.  What is the largest population, with elevation, that gets a lot of snow?

Buffalo

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 3

(Past 4 runs)  Block trending east?