The Blob Posted May 28, 2021 Report Share Posted May 28, 2021 Sunday looks like nice weather for being outside 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 28, 2021 Report Share Posted May 28, 2021 54 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: 2 old-growth firs are about toast here in the downtown & Washburne districts of Springfield. These houses are only 160 years old so them being destroyed isn't that big of a deal. I'll make sure to send pictures of the devastation if I survive it. The houses were built in 1860?  Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 28, 2021 Report Share Posted May 28, 2021 63 and mostly sunny here. Nice comfortable day out there. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300â Monthly rainfall-3.56â Warm season rainfall-11.14â Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0   Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 28, 2021 Report Share Posted May 28, 2021 Thisâll be the second year in a row May outperformed April in terms of rainfall. Itâs also looking like we will have less 70+ high temps in May compared to April. We might hit 80 here near the water on Sunday itâll be close...could still wind up with our first May without an 80+ reading since 2013. Itâs already a lock for coolest May since 2012 despite the warm weather coming. Finished the month with about 80% of normal rainfall as well. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300â Monthly rainfall-3.56â Warm season rainfall-11.14â Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0   Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 28, 2021 Report Share Posted May 28, 2021 Gfs was nice if your hoping for rain in the first week of June. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300â Monthly rainfall-3.56â Warm season rainfall-11.14â Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0   Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 28, 2021 Report Share Posted May 28, 2021 22 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Thisâll be the second year in a row May outperformed April in terms of rainfall. Itâs also looking like we will have less 70+ high temps in May compared to April. We might hit 80 here near the water on Sunday itâll be close...could still wind up with our first May without an 80+ reading since 2013. Itâs already a lock for coolest May since 2012 despite the warm weather coming. Finished the month with about 80% of normal rainfall as well. The convective tendencies and overall circulation(s) in the tropics do increasingly resemble the fabled pre-2013 regime, where -PMM/-PDO dominated. Never saw this canonical -ENSO IPWP structure in 2016, 2017, or 2020 (all of which were -ENSO summers). Could be over-thinking things, but I find it interesting. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 28, 2021 Report Share Posted May 28, 2021 Dr. Paul Roundy seems to have made a similar observation. I think it ties back to the IPWP being so well established (even have a return to -IOD now).  Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 57 minutes ago, Phil said: Dr. Paul Roundy seems to have made a similar observation. I think it ties back to the IPWP being so well established (even have a return to -IOD now).   1 Quote Elevation 580â Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 Oh Spotify you know me so well.  63 with mostly sunny skies. Kind of surprised to have IPA and Spotify on the deck weather today after yesterdayâs storminess. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 36 minutes ago, T-Town said: Oh Spotify you know me so well.  63 with mostly sunny skies. Kind of surprised to have IPA and Spotify on the deck weather today after yesterdayâs storminess. Nice! Iâm drinking a Margarita in a can and listening to the Octonauts theme song... 2 1 Quote Elevation 580â Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 Lovely day. 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferencesâ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 2 hours ago, TT-SEA said: The houses were built in 1860?  Yes and they have been upkept since the settlers arrived. Some of the oldest homes in the PNW. They were built before the city was founded. 3 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25â Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4  Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 64/48 today. Running -0.8 for May as of today. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300â Monthly rainfall-3.56â Warm season rainfall-11.14â Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Â Â Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 54 minutes ago, MossMan said: Nice! Iâm drinking a Margarita in a can and listening to the Octonauts theme song... Nice!  We are more in the âmaybe the kids should get their own cell phone plans seeing as they are done with grad school and have jobsâ phase of our lives. But we have enjoying a drink on the deck in common. And we like snow. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 Silverton was founded in 1853. Even up here Silver Falls City had a couple hundred people in the 1880s. Some of the early pioneer orchards survive at the park though none of the original structures exist. The great Silverton Fire of 1865 burned over a million acres along the Cascade foothills and west slopes. I imagine some of the areas that burned in the Beachie Creek and Riverside Fires probably burned then. 3 Quote Snowfall                 Precip 2022-23: 95.0"           2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6"          2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0"          2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5"          2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5"          2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3"          2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2"          2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75"         2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75"         2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75"         2012-13: 78.45  2011-12: 98.5"          2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil.  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 00Z runs are just perpetual deep troughing... I wonder how deep the troughs will be when the troughy period starts in late June? Â 2 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 We will be enjoying the present and not worrying about what late June may or may not bring. Nice day today. Even better tomorrow and Sunday and Monday!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 16 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 00Z runs are just perpetual deep troughing... I wonder how deep the troughs will be when the troughy period starts in late June?  Models might have overestimated the duration of WPAC influence? Thereâs also the jet retraction that carries the retrograde to GOA ridge/-PNA. But the tropics still arenât fully in support of western troughing until later on. Convection doesnât fully re-establish in IO/EHEM for a few weeks at least. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 Just imagine for a moment if we were sitting at the end of a record wet spring with a week of rainy weather ahead (including a holiday!!1!) yet complaining about some ridging on the clown range of the GFS. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 5 minutes ago, Jesse said: Just imagine for a moment if we were sitting at the end of a record wet spring with a week of rainy weather ahead (including a holiday!!1!) yet complaining about some ridging on the clown range of the GFS. Just pointing out that the overall pattern looks to be quite troughy after a break for a few days.  Not quite the first half of June that Phil was describing.  And you complain about everything. Your profile pic fits perfectly.  Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 Then again, how often do ridgy PNW summers occur in the middle of multiyear -ENSO/-PDO regimes? As far as I know, there arenât any recent examples of such, going back to at least the 1970s. Pretty much all of the 2013-2020 period had +PMM/+PDO and an extended warm pool during the warm season. So this is the first negative phase since 2012. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Silverton was founded in 1853. Even up here Silver Falls City had a couple hundred people in the 1880s. Some of the early pioneer orchards survive at the park though none of the original structures exist. The great Silverton Fire of 1865 burned over a million acres along the Cascade foothills and west slopes. I imagine some of the areas that burned in the Beachie Creek and Riverside Fires probably burned then. Very snowy winter followed! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 1 minute ago, Phil said: Then again, how often do ridgy PNW summers occur in the middle of multiyear -ENSO/-PDO regimes? As far as I know, there arenât any examples of that, back to at least the 1970s. How often do record dry springs occur!!?? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 4 minutes ago, Phil said: Then again, how often do ridgy PNW summers occur in the middle of multiyear -ENSO/-PDO regimes? As far as I know, there arenât any recent examples of such, going back to at least the 1970s. Pretty much all of the 2013-2020 period had +PMM/+PDO and an extended warm pool during the warm season. So this is the first negative phase since 2012. Hope we can pull off a July-Sept 2012 this year. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 Along our road this evening... they were just getting their bearings and still have wobbly legs.  5 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Hope we can pull off a July-Sept 2012 this year. Aug/Sep warm risks abound, yes. There are still ways to avoid the death ridge scenario. But seems maâ nature always wants to go there if itâs even remotely possible, so...shruggie. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 After a -3 departure today and a good shot at a minus tomorrow it appears SEA will average below normal for the month as will many places. That will make 3 out of the last 4 months below normal. Right now it looks like a pretty major cool period coming up in June after the brief warm spell as well. 1 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies!  Winter 2023-24 stats  Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 Brrrr. Waking up to 38.6 degrees this morning. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow maniac Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 Cold morning for all those tent campers out there this morning 37 degrees. I wonât be surprised if I get some checking  out early. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farmboy Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 Lots of frost here this morning. Here's to hoping we can avoid that extended period of troughing, I think we've had enough rain for awhile... 3 Quote "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 39 for a low. Quote Elevation 580â Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 26 minutes ago, snow maniac said: Cold morning for all those tent campers out there this morning 37 degrees. I wonât be surprised if I get some checking  out early. Camping đ in the cold is fine as long as itâs dry.  Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 Low of 47 this morning...I see quite a few places dipped in the mid 30s to low 40s though. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300â Monthly rainfall-3.56â Warm season rainfall-11.14â Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0   Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 8 hours ago, snow_wizard said: After a -3 departure today and a good shot at a minus tomorrow it appears SEA will average below normal for the month as will many places. That will make 3 out of the last 4 months below normal. Right now it looks like a pretty major cool period coming up in June after the brief warm spell as well. Itâs looking like we will finish just slightly below average at this point in Tacoma. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300â Monthly rainfall-3.56â Warm season rainfall-11.14â Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0   Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 44 minutes ago, Farmboy said: Lots of frost here this morning. Here's to hoping we can avoid that extended period of troughing, I think we've had enough rain for awhile... No. 1 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 Salem is 1.0F above average on the month. Well below normal precip too. At least places with elevation were able to squeeze out more precip this month. Quote Snowfall                 Precip 2022-23: 95.0"           2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6"          2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0"          2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5"          2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5"          2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3"          2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2"          2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75"         2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75"         2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75"         2012-13: 78.45  2011-12: 98.5"          2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil.  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 OT, butâŚ50.8°F and dropping at 1130AM in *late May*. Thick mist and low cloud deck licking the treetops. HEAVEN. Outside enjoying every second of it. How anyone could prefer death ridging to this is beyond me. Thereâs a reason they donât call it âlife ridgingâ. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 Beautiful morning here. 54 degrees. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 FWIW, interesting almost all of the top-10 record low maxes for the date are La Niùa years, and none are from developing niùos. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted May 29, 2021 Report Share Posted May 29, 2021 4 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: I know right?! Wanting sun and comfortable temps in the 70s? The nerve of some people! Thatâs nice too. Was poking fun at Farmboy. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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